
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | @ 83Michigan State | L 6–23 | -16.8 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 23North Texas | L 30–33 | +2.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 27Illinois | L 0–38 | -18.6 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 33ToledoCONF | W 14–13 | +4.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs Rhode Island FCS | W 47–14 | +2.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 136MassachusettsCONF | W 21–3 | -3.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 132Ball StateCONF | W 42–0 | +13.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 85Miami (OH)CONF | L 17–26 | -9.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 96Central MichiganCONF | W 24–21 | -5.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 11 | vs 68OhioCONF | W 17–13 | +1.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 18 | @ 119Northern IllinoisCONF | W 35–19 | +7.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 25 | @ 117Eastern MichiganCONF | W 31–21 | +2.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 15 | Dec 6 | vs 85Miami (OH)NEUTRAL | W 23–13 | +7.2 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 88Kennesaw StateNEUTRAL | W 41–6 | +24.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.8% | 48th | 37.6% | 16th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.9% | 19th | 38.9% | 18th |
| Passing success rate | 37.2% | 107th | 36.3% | 21st |
| Explosive run rate | 13.0% | 86th | 14.5% | 79th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.0% | 113th | 8.4% | 32nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.34 | 22nd | 3.10 | 79th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.0% | 40th | 35.3% | 32nd |
| Stuff rate | 14.3% | 28th | 14.2% | 115th |
| Sack rate | 6.4% | 95th | 7.5% | 12th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.7% | 73rd | 32.7% | 11th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.0% | 44th | 52.6% | 43rd |
| Havoc rate | 8.9% | 12th | 12.8% | 41st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.9 | 96th | 19.8 | 20th |
| Yards / game | 342.7 | 103rd | 305.5 | 17th |
| Yards / play | 5.05 | 105th | 4.74 | 22nd |
| Pass yards / game | 138.5 | 131st | 156.6 | 13th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.36 | 116th | 6.46 | 33rd |
| Completion % | 60.7% | 83rd | 55.4% | 12th |
| Rush yards / game | 204.2 | 16th | 125.6 | 34th |
| Yards / carry | 4.59 | 47th | 3.75 | 44th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.3% | 62nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.07 | 36th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.57 | 37th | 3.07 | 6th |
| Penalty yards / game | 39.9 | 19th | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →