
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Holy Cross FCS | W 19–17 | -22.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 5 | @ 84Maryland | L 9–20 | -10.9 | — | BTN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 71Mississippi State | L 10–38 | -22.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 54San Diego State | L 3–6 | -3.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 85Miami (OH)CONF | L 14–25 | -16.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 117Eastern MichiganCONF | L 10–16 | -13.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 68OhioCONF | L 21–48 | -22.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 132Ball StateCONF | W 21–7 | -3.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 5 | @ 33ToledoCONF | L 3–42 | -20.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 12 | @ 136MassachusettsCONF | W 45–3 | +9.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 18 | vs 67Western MichiganCONF | L 19–35 | -18.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 28 | vs 129Kent StateCONF | L 31–35 | -19.8 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 35.3% | 132nd | 44.0% | 92nd |
| Rushing success rate | 39.5% | 112th | 46.7% | 110th |
| Passing success rate | 27.5% | 136th | 40.0% | 53rd |
| Explosive run rate | 12.0% | 110th | 14.5% | 79th |
| Explosive pass rate | 5.6% | 134th | 7.3% | 11th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.00 | 82nd | 3.29 | 114th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.5% | 107th | 40.2% | 100th |
| Stuff rate | 16.2% | 55th | 14.3% | 112th |
| Sack rate | 6.1% | 90th | 4.0% | 117th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33.3% | 127th | 43.2% | 101st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 45.5% | 120th | 56.8% | 66th |
| Havoc rate | 10.9% | 56th | 9.5% | 120th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 17.1 | 130th | 27.0 | 73rd |
| Yards / game | 285.9 | 132nd | 357.3 | 56th |
| Yards / play | 4.49 | 128th | 5.29 | 58th |
| Pass yards / game | 98.8 | 134th | 165.3 | 19th |
| Yards / pass att. | 4.86 | 135th | 6.58 | 39th |
| Completion % | 52.9% | 134th | 59.3% | 35th |
| Rush yards / game | 187.1 | 29th | 183.3 | 114th |
| Yards / carry | 4.48 | 59th | 4.59 | 95th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 31.8% | 128th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 16th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.58 | 38th | 1.17 | 127th |
| Penalty yards / game | 38.0 | 10th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →