The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | @ 65Rutgers | L 31–34 | +0.2 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 87West Virginia | W 17–10 | +0.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 2Ohio State | L 9–37 | -1.4 | — | Peacock |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs Gardner-Webb FCS | W 52–35 | -7.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 113Bowling GreenCONF | W 35–20 | +3.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 132Ball StateCONF | L 14–20 | -17.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 119Northern IllinoisCONF | W 48–21 | +11.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 117Eastern MichiganCONF | W 28–21 | -0.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 4 | vs 85Miami (OH)CONF | W 24–20 | -1.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 11 | @ 67Western MichiganCONF | L 13–17 | -0.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 18 | vs 136MassachusettsCONF | W 42–14 | -1.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 14 | Nov 28 | @ 109BuffaloCONF | W 31–26 | +0.2 | — | ESPNU |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 64UNLVNEUTRAL | W 17–10 | +7.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.2% | 43rd | 41.7% | 65th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.2% | 55th | 43.3% | 70th |
| Passing success rate | 45.2% | 32nd | 40.1% | 58th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.2% | 19th | 15.9% | 113th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.4% | 86th | 9.9% | 68th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.40 | 14th | 3.10 | 82nd |
| Opportunity rate | 39.9% | 53rd | 40.8% | 108th |
| Stuff rate | 11.5% | 4th | 17.4% | 65th |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 101st | 5.5% | 72nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.9% | 47th | 34.4% | 18th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 72.1% | 12th | 47.1% | 25th |
| Havoc rate | 9.6% | 23rd | 11.8% | 72nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.8 | 74th | 24.4 | 57th |
| Yards / game | 411.5 | 37th | 352.1 | 51st |
| Yards / play | 5.98 | 30th | 5.64 | 91st |
| Pass yards / game | 184.2 | 109th | 196.5 | 52nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.67 | 46th | 7.51 | 95th |
| Completion % | 61.5% | 74th | 64.2% | 101st |
| Rush yards / game | 227.4 | 9th | 144.0 | 62nd |
| Yards / carry | 5.30 | 16th | 4.36 | 84th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.4% | 41st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.54 | 101st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 66th | 1.69 | 100th |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.3 | 42nd | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →