The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs Merrimack FCS | W 21–17 | -20.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 4Texas Tech | L 14–62 | -11.7 | — | TNT |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 109BuffaloCONF | L 28–31 | -13.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 43Florida State | L 10–66 | -28.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 21Oklahoma | L 0–44 | -18.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 136MassachusettsCONF | W 42–6 | +1.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 33ToledoCONF | L 10–45 | -19.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 113Bowling GreenCONF | W 24–21 | -8.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 5 | @ 132Ball StateCONF | L 13–17 | -15.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 11 | @ 120AkronCONF | W 42–35 | -1.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 19 | vs 96Central MichiganCONF | L 16–28 | -20.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 14 | Nov 28 | @ 119Northern IllinoisCONF | W 35–31 | -4.1 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 36.8% | 123rd | 43.7% | 87th |
| Rushing success rate | 36.6% | 129th | 45.1% | 89th |
| Passing success rate | 37.0% | 111th | 42.1% | 76th |
| Explosive run rate | 8.4% | 135th | 15.4% | 103rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.3% | 14th | 11.2% | 102nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.63 | 133rd | 3.16 | 94th |
| Opportunity rate | 32.2% | 129th | 38.4% | 76th |
| Stuff rate | 19.8% | 110th | 15.9% | 89th |
| Sack rate | 7.2% | 111th | 5.1% | 89th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 32.3% | 131st | 42.5% | 88th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 38.9% | 132nd | 58.3% | 77th |
| Havoc rate | 13.9% | 118th | 10.9% | 96th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 21.3 | 117th | 33.6 | 121st |
| Yards / game | 294.3 | 128th | 427.4 | 125th |
| Yards / play | 4.91 | 113th | 5.65 | 93rd |
| Pass yards / game | 197.1 | 99th | 221.3 | 98th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.07 | 31st | 7.28 | 79th |
| Completion % | 55.6% | 126th | 59.6% | 38th |
| Rush yards / game | 97.3 | 131st | 191.4 | 121st |
| Yards / carry | 2.92 | 130th | 4.65 | 101st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 27.6% | 135th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.08 | 44th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.25 | 97th | 2.00 | 69th |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.8 | 46th | — | — |
71 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →