The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 110Florida Atlantic | W 39–7 | +15.8 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 5 | vs 119Northern Illinois | W 20–9 | -2.7 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs Towson FCS | W 44–17 | +0.2 | — | Peacock |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 72WisconsinCONF | W 27–10 | +19.2 | — | NBC |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 17WashingtonCONF | L 20–24 | +3.6 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 61NebraskaCONF | L 31–34 | -4.2 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 89UCLACONF | L 17–20 | -4.0 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 1IndianaCONF | L 10–55 | -10.7 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 65RutgersCONF | L 20–35 | -11.8 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 27IllinoisCONF | L 6–24 | -7.7 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 26MichiganCONF | L 20–45 | -19.3 | — | BTN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 83Michigan StateCONFNEUTRAL | L 28–38 | -12.6 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.4% | 98th | 44.1% | 93rd |
| Rushing success rate | 40.6% | 103rd | 45.9% | 99th |
| Passing success rate | 40.3% | 80th | 42.1% | 76th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.0% | 86th | 12.7% | 50th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.6% | 119th | 9.5% | 58th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.90 | 102nd | 3.10 | 84th |
| Opportunity rate | 33.5% | 126th | 40.9% | 109th |
| Stuff rate | 17.6% | 76th | 16.1% | 84th |
| Sack rate | 1.8% | 2nd | 6.0% | 54th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.3% | 55th | 47.9% | 126th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 40.0% | 129th | 59.0% | 83rd |
| Havoc rate | 10.1% | 29th | 13.0% | 37th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.5 | 102nd | 26.5 | 66th |
| Yards / game | 360.0 | 87th | 402.1 | 98th |
| Yards / play | 5.37 | 80th | 5.43 | 71st |
| Pass yards / game | 255.7 | 35th | 211.1 | 72nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.25 | 121st | 7.10 | 68th |
| Completion % | 57.8% | 111th | 63.2% | 85th |
| Rush yards / game | 104.3 | 124th | 175.6 | 101st |
| Yards / carry | 4.11 | 88th | 4.40 | 86th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.2% | 93rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.17 | 56th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.75 | 5th | 2.25 | 47th |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.6 | 69th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →