The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 51South CarolinaNEUTRAL | L 11–24 | -10.0 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 11Vanderbilt | L 20–44 | -14.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 32Old Dominion | L 26–45 | -15.8 | — | ACCNX |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs Wofford FCS | W 38–6 | +2.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 27 | @ 42NC StateCONF | W 23–21 | +9.2 | — | CW |
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 57Wake ForestCONF | L 23–30 | -7.6 | — | CW |
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 38Georgia TechCONF | L 20–35 | -7.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 24 | vs 82CaliforniaCONF | W 42–34 | +2.6 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 24LouisvilleCONF | L 16–28 | -6.8 | — | CW |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 43Florida StateCONF | L 14–34 | -12.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 6MiamiCONF | L 17–34 | -2.4 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 30VirginiaCONF | L 7–27 | -10.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.8% | 89th | 46.4% | 121st |
| Rushing success rate | 48.3% | 28th | 46.1% | 100th |
| Passing success rate | 33.4% | 129th | 46.8% | 126th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.6% | 24th | 14.8% | 88th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.5% | 103rd | 12.2% | 116th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.44 | 10th | 3.19 | 101st |
| Opportunity rate | 44.0% | 10th | 38.3% | 71st |
| Stuff rate | 13.6% | 17th | 15.4% | 99th |
| Sack rate | 7.5% | 117th | 4.4% | 110th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.4% | 64th | 48.2% | 129th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 53.3% | 90th | 63.3% | 106th |
| Havoc rate | 10.8% | 52nd | 9.9% | 116th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.8 | 83rd | 30.2 | 94th |
| Yards / game | 348.8 | 97th | 378.1 | 71st |
| Yards / play | 5.26 | 90th | 5.71 | 96th |
| Pass yards / game | 166.3 | 119th | 211.8 | 77th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.24 | 122nd | 7.75 | 112th |
| Completion % | 56.3% | 123rd | 67.2% | 128th |
| Rush yards / game | 182.4 | 34th | 153.3 | 75th |
| Yards / carry | 4.91 | 28th | 4.31 | 79th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.4% | 72nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.17 | 56th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.42 | 104th | 1.58 | 108th |
| Penalty yards / game | 64.3 | 117th | — | — |
73 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →