Basketball ↗
Power RankingsThis WeekTeamsDepth ChartsPlayersPlaysRecruitingBettingAwardsPast SeasonsPortalSOON
SEC · 2026

Kentucky Wildcats

Head coach Will Stein · Kroger Field
7-15-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#30
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+11.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.0
30th in FBS
Defense
+5.9
30th in FBS
Schedule so far
+5.8
14th toughest
Projected
8.6-3.4
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+11.9 now, +0.7 preseason · up 28 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#30

Final record odds

8.6-3.4 expected · most likely 9-3 (34%)
13%7-534%8-434%9-316%10-211-1

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Kenny Minchey
QB · SR · 46th in FBS
1755yds
14 TD · 1 INT
Rushing
CJ Baxter
RB · SR · 82nd in FBS
487yds
88 car · 8 TD
Receiving
Kenny Darby
WR · FR · 69th in FBS
507yds
38 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Grant Godfrey
LB · SR · 24th in FBS
72tkl
4 TFL
Sacks
Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace
DL · SR · 36th in FBS
5sacks
9 hurries
Interceptions
Jordan Castell
DB · SR · 6th in FBS
4INT
3 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsYoungstown State FCSW 45–13 ›+17.5—SECN+
2Sep 12vs7AlabamaCONFL 17–45 ›-6.3—ABC
3Sep 19@25Texas A&MCONFW 31–21 ›+26.6—ESPN
4Sep 26vs106South AlabamaW 45–21 ›+9.5—SEC Network
5Oct 3@28South CarolinaCONFW 35–34 ›+16.8—SEC Network
6Oct 10vs4LSUCONFW 35–34 ›+22.1—ESPN
7Oct 17@31OklahomaCONFW 21–13 ›+23.7—SEC Network
8Oct 24vs64VanderbiltCONFW 34–17 ›+15.5—SEC Network
9—Bye
10Nov 7@13TennesseeCONFTennessee −8.7 · o/u 52.1—28%ESPN
11Nov 14vs19FloridaCONFKentucky −0.6 · o/u 57.7—52%ESPN
12Nov 21@18MissouriCONFMissouri −6.8 · o/u 49.0—33%
13Nov 28vs15LouisvilleLouisville −0.6 · o/u 62.2—49%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.20836th+0.05448th
Success rate48.6%22nd44.2%108th
Explosiveness1.127124th1.21455th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.4%21st44.4%106th
Rushing success rate53.1%4th44.7%102nd
Passing success rate45.6%37th44.3%111th
Explosive run rate14.8%45th10.7%36th
Explosive pass rate10.7%59th7.8%31st
Line yards / carry3.4025th3.0068th
Opportunity rate44.9%8th37.2%70th
Stuff rate15.2%41st17.2%84th
Sack rate6.6%96th5.1%81st
3rd-down conversion35.6%109th51.4%134th
Red-zone TD rate69.4%29th67.9%106th
Havoc rate11.2%25th15.7%31st
Box score · season totals
Points / game32.940th24.870th
Yards / game386.468th362.672nd
Yards / play5.8552nd5.0248th
Pass yards / game219.480th249.4116th
Yards / pass att.7.5065th6.6142nd
Completion %68.4%13th61.6%70th
Rush yards / game167.055th113.330th
Yards / carry4.8040th3.5534th
3rd-down conv. %33.7%115th48.3%131st
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.627th2.254th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0075th2.6230th
Penalty yards / game41.918th43.6121st

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
6.9
127th of 138
YAC per catch
6.8
10th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
11%
115th of 138
Shotgun
91%
106th of 138
No-huddle
17%
118th of 138
QB pressured
14%
56th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
14%
81st of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.5
116th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws228 throws charted

68% comp6.9 avg. depth6.8 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds14–1 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 26 throws (11%), 26 caught (100%), 212 yds, 8.2 per throw26100% · 212yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (10%), 16 caught (73%), 151 yds, 6.9 per throw2273% · 151yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 8 caught (73%), 82 yds, 7.5 per throw1173% · 82yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 14 yds, 4.7 per throw333% · 14yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 2 caught (50%), 33 yds, 8.3 per throw450% · 33yLeft, 20–29 air yards: noneLeft, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 13 yds, 6.5 per throw2100% · 13yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 6 caught (60%), 48 yds, 4.8 per throw1060% · 48yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (8%), 13 caught (72%), 131 yds, 7.3 per throw1872% · 131yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 5 caught (83%), 78 yds, 13.0 per throw683% · 78yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 5 caught (56%), 95 yds, 10.6 per throw956% · 95yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 105 yds, 21.0 per throw560% · 105yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 53 yds, 17.7 per throw333% · 53yRight, Behind air yards: 29 throws (13%), 25 caught (86%), 137 yds, 4.7 per throw2986% · 137yRight, 0–4 air yards: 30 throws (13%), 22 caught (73%), 191 yds, 6.4 per throw3073% · 191yRight, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (7%), 9 caught (53%), 82 yds, 4.8 per throw1753% · 82yRight, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 26 yds, 3.3 per throw825% · 26yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 5 caught (63%), 116 yds, 14.5 per throw863% · 116yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 4 caught (40%), 133 yds, 13.3 per throw1040% · 133yRight, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 32 yds, 6.4 per throw520% · 32y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on286 throws charted

62% comp8.3 avg. depth4.5 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds13–11 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 26 throws (9%), 18 caught (69%), 118 yds, 4.5 per throw2669% · 118yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (8%), 14 caught (64%), 92 yds, 4.2 per throw2264% · 92yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (7%), 10 caught (48%), 82 yds, 3.9 per throw2148% · 82yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 67 yds, 8.4 per throw863% · 67yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 2 caught (33%), 37 yds, 6.2 per throw633% · 37yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 1 caught (13%), 25 yds, 3.1 per throw813% · 25yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (1%), 1 caught (25%), 41 yds, 10.3 per throw425% · 41yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (1%), 4 caught (100%), 26 yds, 6.5 per throw4100% · 26yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 8 caught (73%), 46 yds, 4.2 per throw1173% · 46yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 29 throws (10%), 22 caught (76%), 226 yds, 7.8 per throw2976% · 226yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 18 throws (6%), 7 caught (39%), 140 yds, 7.8 per throw1839% · 140yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 8 caught (67%), 169 yds, 14.1 per throw1267% · 169yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 99 yds, 16.5 per throw667% · 99yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 21 throws (7%), 20 caught (95%), 72 yds, 3.4 per throw2195% · 72yRight, 0–4 air yards: 25 throws (9%), 20 caught (80%), 112 yds, 4.5 per throw2580% · 112yRight, 5–9 air yards: 27 throws (9%), 18 caught (67%), 174 yds, 6.4 per throw2767% · 174yRight, 10–14 air yards: 17 throws (6%), 12 caught (71%), 164 yds, 9.6 per throw1771% · 164yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (2%), 4 caught (57%), 81 yds, 11.6 per throw757% · 81yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 103 yds, 17.2 per throw667% · 103yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 66 yds, 22.0 per throw367% · 66y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction251 carries

Left
23%
5.8 YPC · 56% succ.
Middle
57%
5.5 YPC · 53% succ.
Right
21%
6.2 YPC · 52% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced224 carries

Left
20%
4.6 YPC · 57% succ.
Middle
57%
4.0 YPC · 40% succ.
Right
24%
5.8 YPC · 43% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Will Stein

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
3Kenny MincheyQBSR6' 2"211Hendersonville, TN
9Matt PonatoskiQBFR6' 1"205Cincinnati, OH
14Brennen WardQBSO6' 4"227Gahanna, OH
15Carson CruverQBSR6' 3"203Austin, TX
16JacQai LongQBJR6' 2"203Hurricane, WV
17William Drakeford Jr.QBFR6' 2"195Gaithersburg, MD
82Kendall TamblingQBFR6' 5"240Gainesville, FL
1CJ BaxterRBSR6' 1"230Boynton Beach, FL
2Jovantae BarnesRBSR6' 0"211Las Vegas, NV
21Tovani MizellRBJR6' 0"213Fort Lauderdale, FL
22Delvecchio Alston IIRBFR6' 0"210Trussville, AL
26Jason PattersonRBJR5' 10"204Sneads, FL
28Ahmir SmithRBJR5' 10"200Santee, SC
29Jordan ColbertRBJR6' 2"215Merced, CA
34Isaiah JacksonRBFR5' 10"185Richmond, KY
4Nic AndersonWRSR6' 4"208Katy, TX
5Ja'Kayden FergusonWRSO6' 2"184Houston, TX
6Shane CarrWRSR6' 2"185Bakersfield, CA
7DJ MillerWRSO6' 3"208St. Louis, MO
12Brock CoffmanWRSO6' 0"181Lexington, KY
13Denairius GrayWRFR6' 2"181Boynton Beach, FL
18Xavier DaisyWRJR6' 3"212Norcross, GA
19Kenny DarbyWRFR6' 1"180Bossier City, LA
33Rico CrowderWRJR6' 4"201Glasgow, KY
37Spencer LeadbetterWRSR6' 3"198Glenview, IL
39Saxton HowardWRSO6' 0"177Lexington, KY
80Ashton CozartWRSR6' 3"202Flower Mound, TX
83Prince JeanWRFR6' 1"187Valdosta, GA
84Davis McCrayWRFR6' 2"196San Antonio, TX
89Cash HarneyWRFR5' 9"177Covington, KY
8Mikkel SkinnerTESO6' 4"234Greer, SC
44Justin KattusTEJR6' 1"216Cincinnati, OH
81Willie RodriguezTEJR6' 4"249Taylor Mill, KY
85Elijah BrownTESR6' 6"263Dayton, OH
87Henry BoyerTESR6' 6"270Chicago, IL
50Max AndersonOLJR6' 5"311Frisco, TX
52Cameron Miller Jr.OLFR6' 5"341Hammond, IN
53Lance HeardOLSR6' 6"325Bonita, LA
55Aba SelmOLJR6' 4"327Independence, KY
57Jordan KnoxOLSR6' 2"329Rock Hill, SC
60Mason HowardOLFR6' 4"321Fort Thomas, KY
61Jason EkperuohOLSO6' 6"354Montreal, Canada
62Ben MyersOLFR6' 4"286Paducah, KY
63Kyle MixonOLJR6' 5"321Warner Robins, GA
64Ryan MeekerOLFR6' 1"311Wheelersburg, OH
66Tino MerloOLSR6' 2"278Youngstown, OH
67Mark RobinsonOLJR6' 5"328Altamonte Springs, FL
68Alexander DiMartinoOLSO6' 4"306Fort Lauderdale, FL
69Hank TimonOLFR6' 6"318Guilford, IN
70Rob FoglerOLSR6' 7"325Cincinnati, OH
72Coleton PriceOLSR6' 3"308Bowie, TX
73Olaus AlinenOLSR6' 6"329Pori, Finland
74Jermiel Atkins Jr.OLFR6' 8"326Dayton, OH
75Hayes JohnsonOLJR6' 4"310Campbellsville, KY
77Tegra TshabolaOLSR6' 3"329West Chester, OH
78Cameron JonesOLSR6' 6"335Weirton, WV
79Jay ClarkOLSO6' 4"318Cleveland, OH
7Jamarrion HarklessDLSR6' 3"346Lexington, KY
23Brian RobinsonDLJR6' 5"257Youngstown, OH
90Mi'Quise Humphrey-GraceDLSR6' 4"271Cincinnati, OH
93Kalen EdwardsDLSO6' 4"335Dyersburg, TN
94Tavion GadsonDLSR6' 5"303Savannah, GA
92Ben DuncumDEFR6' 5"224Austin, TX
97Tyler ThomasDESR6' 5"260Mobile, AL
6Ahmad BreauxDTJR6' 3"278Ruston, LA
0Elijah BarnesLBSO6' 1"242Dallas, TX
2Sam GreeneLBSR6' 2"251Washington, DC
3Alex Afari Jr.LBSR6' 2"227Cincinnati, OH
4Antwan SmithLBJR6' 3"226Atlanta, GA
8Lorenzo CowanLBJR6' 3"250Savannah, GA
17Justyn HartleyLBFR6' 1"192Hoover, AL
22Grant GodfreyLBSR6' 3"240Suwanee, GA
25Tavion WallaceLBSO6' 1"241Jesup, GA
31Quintavion NormanLBJR6' 3"223Covington, GA
32Devin SmithLBJR6' 0"231Brunswick, GA
0Martels Carter Jr.DBSO6' 0"205Chattanooga, TN
1Andre Clarke Jr.DBFR6' 1"176Richmond, VA
3Aaron GatesDBSR6' 0"199Newnan, GA
5Jordan CastellDBSR6' 2"211Orlando, FL
11Braxton UrquhartDBSR6' 3"200Birmingham, AL
12Hasaan SykesDBJR6' 0"192Tucker, GA
13Cyrus ReyesDBJR6' 1"192Katy, TX
14Ty BryantDBSR6' 0"196Lexington, KY
16Jesse Anderson IIIDBSR6' 0"185Fort Lauderdale, FL
18Mark Manfred IIIDBSO6' 2"171Marietta, GA
19Kevis ThomasDBSR6' 0"181Perry, FL
20Terhyon NicholsDBJR5' 11"194Cincinnati, OH
21Nasir AddisonDBSR6' 0"204Irvington, NJ
24Jaden SmithDBSO6' 3"205Charlotte, NC
26Andrew PurcellDBSO5' 10"201Enterprise, AL
27Isaiah McMillianDBFR6' 1"176Katy, TX
28Demarcus GardnerDBSO6' 0"177Cedartown, GA
30Grant GraytonDBSO6' 3"194Laurel, MD
33Sam Brown IIISFR5' 11"172San Clemente, CA
35Matthew ObermeierPKFR5' 11"160Carmel, IN
91Jacob KauwePKJR6' 1"216Billings, MT
48Thomas O'HaraPSR6' 1"201Melbourne, Australia
93Wilson BerryPSR6' 4"206Maribyrnong, Australia
40Cole MarszalekLSSR5' 11"197Goodyear, AZ
97Spencer RadnotiLSJR6' 3"237Canton, GA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2018 (+7.9, #26) · worst: 2015 (-4.0, #86)
-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#66
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far7-15-1#30+11.9+6.0+5.9
20255-72-6#66+0.5-1.5+2.0
20244-81-7#60+1.1-2.9+4.0
20237-63-5#41+4.0+2.8+1.1
20227-63-5#51+3.3-3.8+7.1
202110-35-3#35+5.6+2.0+3.5
20205-64-6#58+1.0-4.3+5.3
20198-53-5#36+4.9-1.1+5.9
201810-35-3#26+7.9-0.9+8.8
20177-64-4#71-0.7-0.4-0.3
20167-64-4#67-0.7+1.8-2.5
20155-72-6#86-4.0-1.8-2.3
20145-72-6#67-0.6+1.8-2.4

Kentucky's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →