SEC · 2026

Missouri Tigers

Head coach Eliah Drinkwitz · Memorial Stadium
6-23-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#18
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+15.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.4
34th in FBS
Defense
+9.6
9th in FBS
Schedule so far
+3.1
30th toughest
Projected
7.9-4.1
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+15.0 now, +10.2 preseason · up 10 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#19

Final record odds

7.9-4.1 expected · most likely 8-4 (41%)
6%6-626%7-541%8-424%9-310-2

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vsArkansas-Pine Bluff FCSW 54–14 ›-3.0—SEC Network
2Sep 11@40KansasW 38–21 ›+28.3—FOX
3Sep 19vs107TroyW 27–17 ›-4.8—SECN+
4Sep 26@45Mississippi StateCONFL 24–31 ›+3.4—SEC Network
5Oct 3vs19FloridaCONFW 45–17 ›+36.7—ABC
6Oct 10vs25Texas A&MCONFW 27–6 ›+30.1—ABC
7Oct 17@10Ole MissCONFL 3–31 ›+0.2—SEC Network
8—Bye
9Oct 31@68ArkansasCONFW 34–10 ›+29.0—SEC Network
10Nov 7vs9TexasCONFTexas −3.7 · o/u 43.3—40%ESPN
11Nov 14@5GeorgiaCONFGeorgia −12.8 · o/u 50.2—20%ABC
12Nov 21vs30KentuckyCONFMissouri −6.8 · o/u 49.0—68%
13Nov 28vs31OklahomaCONFMissouri −6.8 · o/u 42.4—67%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.17851st-0.01322nd
Success rate41.3%79th35.7%17th
Explosiveness1.31041st1.346118th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.2%89th36.2%20th
Rushing success rate37.2%124th37.3%26th
Passing success rate45.2%39th35.3%18th
Explosive run rate12.8%90th10.3%26th
Explosive pass rate13.7%21st8.1%36th
Line yards / carry2.94101st2.7224th
Opportunity rate33.8%122nd34.8%42nd
Stuff rate19.7%104th20.6%34th
Sack rate2.1%8th5.6%71st
3rd-down conversion43.6%45th40.4%79th
Red-zone TD rate48.1%118th47.1%23rd
Havoc rate14.0%83rd17.7%11th
Box score · season totals
Points / game31.551st18.423rd
Yards / game424.639th325.137th
Yards / play6.1238th4.6525th
Pass yards / game257.133rd226.992nd
Yards / pass att.8.0042nd6.6545th
Completion %62.9%71st56.8%23rd
Rush yards / game167.553rd98.316th
Yards / carry4.6053rd2.9414th
3rd-down conv. %41.6%52nd37.4%61st
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.627th1.6222nd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.0013th2.3844th
Penalty yards / game65.3101st71.811th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
10.3
22nd of 138
YAC per catch
4.9
105th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
15%
57th of 138
Shotgun
94%
83rd of 138
No-huddle
87%
26th of 138
QB pressured
9%
122nd of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
37th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.3
63rd of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws249 throws charted

63% comp10.3 avg. depth4.9 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds16–2 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (5%), 12 caught (100%), 35 yds, 2.9 per throw12100% · 35yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (9%), 17 caught (77%), 119 yds, 5.4 per throw2277% · 119yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (10%), 16 caught (62%), 209 yds, 8.0 per throw2662% · 209yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 27 throws (11%), 12 caught (44%), 162 yds, 6.0 per throw2744% · 162yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 8 caught (80%), 159 yds, 15.9 per throw1080% · 159yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 90 yds, 15.0 per throw667% · 90yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 7 throws (3%), 6 caught (86%), 51 yds, 7.3 per throw786% · 51yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 47 yds, 11.8 per throw4100% · 47yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 7 caught (50%), 71 yds, 5.1 per throw1450% · 71yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 18 throws (7%), 11 caught (61%), 209 yds, 11.6 per throw1861% · 209yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 102 yds, 20.4 per throw580% · 102yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 64 yds, 12.8 per throw540% · 64yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 11 throws (4%), 2 caught (18%), 93 yds, 8.5 per throw1118% · 93yRight, Behind air yards: 15 throws (6%), 12 caught (80%), 45 yds, 3.0 per throw1580% · 45yRight, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 9 caught (69%), 64 yds, 4.9 per throw1369% · 64yRight, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (7%), 17 caught (94%), 157 yds, 8.7 per throw1894% · 157yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 4 caught (31%), 49 yds, 3.8 per throw1331% · 49yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 109 yds, 15.6 per throw771% · 109yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 2 caught (33%), 50 yds, 8.3 per throw633% · 50yRight, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 65 yds, 9.3 per throw729% · 65y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on263 throws charted

56% comp9.0 avg. depth5.3 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds13–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 23 throws (9%), 21 caught (91%), 160 yds, 7.0 per throw2391% · 160yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 9 caught (60%), 59 yds, 3.9 per throw1560% · 59yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 6 caught (46%), 56 yds, 4.3 per throw1346% · 56yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 10 yds, 2.5 per throw425% · 10yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 96 yds, 12.0 per throw863% · 96yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 6 caught (46%), 168 yds, 12.9 per throw1346% · 168yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 12 yds, 3.0 per throw475% · 12yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 9 caught (60%), 83 yds, 5.5 per throw1560% · 83yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (9%), 13 caught (57%), 125 yds, 5.4 per throw2357% · 125yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 25 throws (10%), 14 caught (56%), 247 yds, 9.9 per throw2556% · 247yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 7 caught (70%), 141 yds, 14.1 per throw1070% · 141yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 32 yds, 4.6 per throw714% · 32yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 32 yds, 10.7 per throw333% · 32yRight, Behind air yards: 22 throws (8%), 14 caught (64%), 65 yds, 3.0 per throw2264% · 65yRight, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (9%), 16 caught (67%), 100 yds, 4.2 per throw2467% · 100yRight, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 12 caught (80%), 87 yds, 5.8 per throw1580% · 87yRight, 10–14 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 8 caught (50%), 119 yds, 7.4 per throw1650% · 119yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 38 yds, 5.4 per throw729% · 38yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 102 yds, 14.6 per throw743% · 102yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (2%), 1 caught (17%), 43 yds, 7.2 per throw617% · 43y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction270 carries

Left
18%
2.9 YPC · 25% succ.
Middle
59%
5.8 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
24%
4.9 YPC · 41% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced238 carries

Left
18%
5.4 YPC · 51% succ.
Middle
63%
4.3 YPC · 42% succ.
Right
19%
2.9 YPC · 33% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Eliah Drinkwitz

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
7Gavin SidwarQBFR6' 3"195Wyndmoor, PA
10Nick EversQBSR6' 3"195Flower Mound, TX
13Austin SimmonsQBSR6' 4"220Miami, FL
14Brett BrownQBSR6' 1"185Brentwood, TN
20Jamal RobertsRBSR6' 0"216St. Louis, MO
21Malae FonotiRBJR5' 10"209Laie, HI
24Xai'Shaun EdwardsRBJR5' 9"198League City, TX
26Brady HultmanRBSR5' 11"201St. Charles, MO
28Preston HatfieldRBFR5' 9"170Lee's Summit, MO
29Ahmad HardyRBJR5' 10"210Oma, MS
31Anthony FavrowRBSR5' 8"198San Clemente, CA
0Naeshaun MontgomeryWRSO6' 1"190Central Falls, RI
1Donovan OlugbodeWRSO6' 2"210Chicago, IL
2Caleb Goodie Sr.WRSR6' 1"183Breaux Bridge, LA
3DaMarion FowlkesWRSO5' 9"188Montgomery Village, MD
11Jabari BradyWRFR6' 1"212North Lauderdale, FL
12Devyon Hill-LomaxWRFR6' 3"193Edwardsville, IL
17Kenric Lanier IIWRSR6' 1"205Decatur, GA
19Cayden LeeWRSR5' 11"180Kennesaw, GA
33DJ McBride IIWRFR6' 3"190Lakeland, FL
80Jayden BoltonWRSR6' 2"190Frisco, TX
81Noah FlaskampWRSR6' 1"200Collierville, TN
82Karsten FieneWRFR6' 2"195Lee's Summit, MO
18Isaac JensenTEFR6' 6"240Omaha, NE
84Adam MolitorTEJR6' 6"230Minneapolis, MN
86Jordon HarrisTESR6' 4"268Pine Bluff, AR
87Brett NorfleetTESR6' 6"255O' Fallon, MO
88Gavin HoffmanTEJR6' 5"245Leawood, KS
89Jude JamesTEJR6' 2"235St. Charles, MO
52Zack OwensOLSR6' 6"330Mcdonough, GA
54Josh AtkinsOLSR6' 3"315Arlington, TX
55Will KemnaOLSO6' 4"290Eldon, MO
56Dominick GiudiceOLSR6' 3"305Freehold, NJ
58Khalief Canty Jr.OLFR6' 4"311Detroit, MI
63Chace MissouriOLJR6' 0"304Mcdonough, GA
64Joe SchranzOLSO6' 4"283Kearney, MO
66Logan ReichertOLSR6' 6"335Kansas City, MO
69Braylon EllisonOLFR6' 4"300Boonville, MO
70Cayden GreenOLSR6' 5"324Lee's Summit, MO
71Ryan JostesOLJR6' 6"317Washington, MO
72Colin SorensenOLJR6' 3"292Niceville, FL
74Whit HaferOLJR6' 6"310Joplin, MO
75Jack LangeOLSO6' 8"318Eureka, MO
77Curtis PeaglerOLSR6' 4"335Demopolis, AL
78DJ JonesOLFR6' 6"315Bradenton, FL
3Marquis GracialDTSR6' 4"315St. Louis, MO
8Donta SimpsonDTSO6' 4"300Hollywood, FL
57Mark HensleyDTSR6' 3"290Washington, MO
92Jason DowellDTSO6' 2"295Cahokia, IL
93Jocques FelixDTFR6' 3"275St. Louis, MO
95Jalen MarshallDTSR6' 4"335Overland Park, KS
98Tajh OvertonDTFR6' 3"284Owasso, OK
99Jadon FrickDTJR6' 0"270Orlando, FL
5Nicholas RodriguezLBJR6' 0"225Miami, FL
6Jeremiah BeasleyLBJR6' 0"235Detroit, MI
9Dante McClellanLBSO6' 1"227Canton, OH
17Brian HuffLBJR6' 2"226Jonesboro, AR
25Jason KingLBSO6' 0"225St. Louis, MO
33JJ BushLBFR6' 1"222Mobile, AL
38Keenan HarrisLBFR6' 0"224St. Louis, MO
46Jackson DailyLBJR6' 1"235Alma, AR
53Tommy ReeseLBSR6' 0"222Newport Beach, CA
35Ahmod BillinsDBFR6' 1"165Abbeville, AL
1Chris Graves Jr.CBSR6' 0"187Fort Myers, FL
2Sione LauleaCBSR6' 4"200Mountain View, CA
20Cameron KeysCBJR5' 11"181Panama City, FL
21Jahlil FlorenceCBSR6' 1"192San Diego, CA
24Nick DeLoach Jr.CBSR6' 0"190Cahokia, IL
26Jaxson GatesCBFR6' 0"185Fontana, CA
31Nasir PogueCBSR6' 2"202Montgomery, AL
36Trashundon NealCBFR6' 2"180Liberty, MO
4Trajen GrecoSJR6' 0"196Buford, GA
7Kensley Louidor-FaustinSJR5' 11"190Naples, FL
14CJ Bass IIISSO6' 2"205St. Louis, MO
15Santana BannerSSR6' 3"215Flint, MI
18JaDon BlairSSO6' 5"213Winston-Salem, NC
22Elijah DotsonSSO6' 1"190Detroit, MI
28Jayden McGregorySFR6' 2"198West Des Moines, IA
30Carter StewartSFR6' 1"185Pearland, TX
32Brody JonesSFR6' 3"190Fayetteville, AR
34Jackson HancockSJR6' 0"200Canton, GA
39Maddux HermestroffSSO6' 0"182Mundelein, IL
41Graham FaustSFR6' 3"175St. Louis, MO
19Blake CraigPKSR5' 11"200Kansas City, MO
40Brunno ReusPKSO6' 0"206Sarasota, FL
48Oliver RobbinsPKJR5' 10"181Palm Beach Gardens, FL
34Mark ShenoudaPSR6' 2"202Mount Juliet, TN
43John ButcherPSR6' 1"213San Diego, CA
36Sean GrossLSSO6' 0"219St. Louis, MO
38Henry CrosbyLSSO6' 2"190Memphis, TN
49Brett Le BlancLSSR6' 3"215Elkhorn, WI
10Daeden HopkinsEDGESO6' 6"250Hermann, MO
11Langden KitchenEDGESR6' 6"265Huntsville, MO
12Malik BryantEDGESR6' 2"240Orlando, FL
13Jaden JonesEDGESR6' 5"260Montgomery, AL
19Darris SmithEDGESR6' 5"265Baxley, GA
29Kamauryn MorganEDGESO6' 4"250Dallas, TX
52Demarcus JohnsonEDGEJR6' 6"270Roseland, LA
96Aidan DubbertEDGESR6' 3"240Columbia, MO
97CJ MayEDGESO6' 3"245Highland Home, AL

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2023 (+11.6, #14) · worst: 2021 (-2.8, #85)
-50+5+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#28
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-23-2#18+15.0+5.4+9.6
20258-54-4#28+7.4+1.4+6.0
202410-35-3#28+7.2+1.3+5.9
202311-26-2#14+11.6+5.0+6.5
20226-73-5#64+1.3-1.3+2.6
20216-73-5#85-2.8+2.8-5.7
20205-55-5#83-2.4-0.9-1.5
20196-63-5#41+3.6-1.1+4.7
20188-54-4#15+10.1+7.7+2.4
20177-64-4#55+2.0+7.2-5.2
20164-82-6#81-2.6-0.8-1.8
20155-71-7#71-0.2-9.7+9.5
201411-37-1#23+9.6+1.9+7.7

Missouri's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →