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SEC · 2026

Tennessee Volunteers

Head coach Josh Heupel · Neyland Stadium
6-23-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#13
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+16.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+7.9
19th in FBS
Defense
+9.1
15th in FBS
Schedule so far
+3.3
28th toughest
Projected
8.4-3.6
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+16.9 now, +14.0 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15+20FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#13

Final record odds

8.4-3.6 expected · most likely 8-4 (36%)
6-615%7-536%8-435%9-312%10-2

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
George MacIntyre
QB · FR · 139th in FBS
728yds
2 TD · 3 INT
Rushing
DeSean Bishop
RB · JR · 6th in FBS
957yds
171 car · 11 TD
Receiving
Mike Matthews
WR · JR · 61st in FBS
528yds
34 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Amare Campbell
LB · SR · 177th in FBS
52tkl
8 TFL
Sacks
Tyree Weathersby
DL · 7th in FBS
7sacks
3 hurries
Interceptions
Dejuan Lane
DB · JR · 16th in FBS
3INT
4 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsFurman FCSW 56–9 ›+2.1—SECN+
2Sep 12@78Georgia TechW 45–24 ›+22.4—ESPN
3Sep 19vs112Kennesaw StateW 42–9 ›+11.0—SECN+
4Sep 26vs9TexasCONFL 17–20 ›+15.7—ABC
5Oct 3vs27AuburnCONFW 24–14 ›+18.6—ESPN
6Oct 10@68ArkansasCONFW 24–17 ›+12.0—SEC Network
7Oct 17vs7AlabamaCONFW 26–10 ›+35.1—ABC
8Oct 24@28South CarolinaCONFL 24–27 ›+12.8—ESPN
9—Bye
10Nov 7vs30KentuckyCONFTennessee −8.7 · o/u 52.1—72%ESPN
11Nov 14@25Texas A&MCONFTennessee −0.4 · o/u 48.5—51%
12Nov 21vs4LSUCONFLSU −4.1 · o/u 54.5—39%
13Nov 28@64VanderbiltCONFTennessee −11.0 · o/u 50.7—77%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.13868th-0.0964th
Success rate43.8%54th37.6%27th
Explosiveness1.123127th1.0987th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.8%46th39.2%40th
Rushing success rate48.3%27th40.4%53rd
Passing success rate39.7%95th38.2%39th
Explosive run rate15.9%34th16.5%123rd
Explosive pass rate7.8%116th5.2%3rd
Line yards / carry3.4221st3.21101st
Opportunity rate43.0%23rd40.4%106th
Stuff rate13.2%18th18.1%66th
Sack rate7.7%113th12.4%1st
3rd-down conversion40.6%73rd31.1%9th
Red-zone TD rate72.0%18th57.9%64th
Havoc rate12.3%46th20.0%3rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game32.346th16.317th
Yards / game394.561st288.415th
Yards / play5.4586th4.3816th
Pass yards / game181.5116th165.69th
Yards / pass att.7.0090th5.615th
Completion %64.3%56th62.3%78th
Rush yards / game213.016th122.836th
Yards / carry4.8040th3.8454th
3rd-down conv. %36.4%95th31.7%24th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3876th1.7514th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.50108th4.381st
Penalty yards / game62.193rd74.08th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
6.9
130th of 138
YAC per catch
6.8
11th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
9%
130th of 138
Shotgun
97%
54th of 138
No-huddle
74%
53rd of 138
QB pressured
15%
43rd of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
24%
1st of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.7
105th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws203 throws charted

64% comp6.9 avg. depth6.8 YAC/catch9% 20+ air yds9–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 21 throws (10%), 19 caught (90%), 139 yds, 6.6 per throw2190% · 139yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 9 caught (82%), 93 yds, 8.5 per throw1182% · 93yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (10%), 9 caught (45%), 87 yds, 4.3 per throw2045% · 87yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 22 yds, 11.0 per throw250% · 22yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 83 yds, 27.7 per throw367% · 83yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 20 yds, 5.0 per throw425% · 20yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 45 yds, 11.3 per throw425% · 45yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 22 yds, 7.3 per throw367% · 22yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 13 throws (6%), 9 caught (69%), 59 yds, 4.5 per throw1369% · 59yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (5%), 9 caught (82%), 81 yds, 7.4 per throw1182% · 81yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 4 caught (44%), 102 yds, 11.3 per throw944% · 102yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 82 yds, 11.7 per throw757% · 82yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 55 yds, 27.5 per throw250% · 55yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 57 yds, 28.5 per throw250% · 57yRight, Behind air yards: 25 throws (12%), 21 caught (84%), 112 yds, 4.5 per throw2584% · 112yRight, 0–4 air yards: 30 throws (15%), 27 caught (90%), 195 yds, 6.5 per throw3090% · 195yRight, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (9%), 8 caught (42%), 75 yds, 3.9 per throw1942% · 75yRight, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw60% · 0yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 71 yds, 14.2 per throw560% · 71yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 22 yds, 7.3 per throw333% · 22yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 30 yds, 10.0 per throw333% · 30y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on227 throws charted

62% comp6.4 avg. depth4.7 YAC/catch8% 20+ air yds4–8 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 17 throws (7%), 14 caught (82%), 64 yds, 3.8 per throw1782% · 64yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 28 throws (12%), 21 caught (75%), 140 yds, 5.0 per throw2875% · 140yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 27 throws (12%), 15 caught (56%), 135 yds, 5.0 per throw2756% · 135yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 44 yds, 7.3 per throw650% · 44yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 49 yds, 24.5 per throw2100% · 49yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 49 yds, 9.8 per throw540% · 49yLeft, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 30 yds, 10.0 per throw333% · 30yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), -7 yds, -1.4 per throw580% · -7yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 7 caught (70%), 69 yds, 6.9 per throw1070% · 69yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (10%), 13 caught (59%), 194 yds, 8.8 per throw2259% · 194yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 62 yds, 10.3 per throw667% · 62yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 15 yds, 5.0 per throw333% · 15yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 22 yds, 22.0 per throw1100% · 22yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 43 yds, 43.0 per throw1100% · 43yRight, Behind air yards: 28 throws (12%), 21 caught (75%), 126 yds, 4.5 per throw2875% · 126yRight, 0–4 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 15 caught (75%), 76 yds, 3.8 per throw2075% · 76yRight, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (10%), 14 caught (64%), 109 yds, 5.0 per throw2264% · 109yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 6 caught (50%), 98 yds, 8.2 per throw1250% · 98yRight, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 16 yds, 5.3 per throw333% · 16yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction318 carries

Left
12%
5.2 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
74%
5.3 YPC · 49% succ.
Right
14%
9.2 YPC · 59% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced215 carries

Left
20%
4.4 YPC · 42% succ.
Middle
60%
5.3 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
20%
7.3 YPC · 57% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Josh Heupel

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
8Ryan StaubQBJR6' 1"204Stevenson Ranch, CA
11Faizon BrandonQBFR6' 4"225Greensboro, NC
12George MacIntyreQBFR6' 6"208Franklin, TN
13Mason PhillipsQBFR6' 1"188Kodak, TN
2Justin BakerRBSO5' 10"210Stone Mountain, GA
6Javin GordonRBSO5' 10"212Toccoa, GA
17Daune MorrisRBSO5' 10"200Chattanooga, TN
18DeSean BishopRBJR5' 10"215Knoxville, TN
24Hunter BarnesRBSR6' 0"200Memphis, TN
34Will RajeckiRBFR5' 11"208Canton, GA
1Travis Smith Jr.WRSO6' 3"215Atlanta, GA
3Radarious JacksonWRSO6' 2"208Memphis, TN
4Mike MatthewsWRJR6' 1"198Lilburn, GA
5TK KeysWRFR6' 2"198Hattiesburg, MS
9Joakim DodsonWRFR6' 0"197Memphis, TN
14Braylon StaleyWRSO6' 0"190Aiken, SC
19Tyreek KingWRFR5' 11"175Knoxville, TN
26Doren SachaWRJR6' 1"180Denver, CO
29Jack-Henry JakobikWRJR6' 4"198Brentwood, TN
30Jacolby CooperWRFR6' 0"170Alcoa, TN
31Lane CopeWRFR5' 9"180Maryville, TN
35Ben PetermannWRFR6' 3"208Chicago, IL
36Nathan RobertsWRJR6' 4"209Morristown, TN
38Brayden CarrollWRFR6' 1"188Cleveland, TN
81Ian DuarteWRJR5' 10"181Santa Clarita, CA
88Deon HardinWRSR6' 0"189Knoxville, TN
0Ethan DavisTEJR6' 5"247Atlanta, GA
7DaSaahn BrameTESO6' 5"240Derby, KS
44Drake MartinezTESR6' 3"245Houston, TX
80Cole HarrisonTESO6' 5"239San Mateo, CA
51Jeremias HeardOLSO6' 8"335Rome, GA
55Antoni OgumoroOLSO6' 4"320Saipan, Northern Marianas
56Sam PendletonOLJR6' 4"315Lawsonville, NC
58Nic MooreOLFR6' 3"313Talbott, TN
59Charlie Powell IIIOLFR6' 3"314Cincinnati, OH
60Thomas StormOLFR6' 4"281Brighton, MI
63Jeremy George-ElOLFR6' 4"310Knoxville, TN
65Michael KostantonovOLSO6' 4"322Northbrook, IL
66Kamari BlairOLFR6' 6"290Clarksville, TN
69Donovan HaslamOLSR6' 3"350Perry, GA
70David Sanders Jr.OLSO6' 6"310Charlotte, NC
71Ed BakerOLFR6' 4"322Baltimore, MD
72Jesse PerryOLSO6' 6"320Murfreesboro, TN
75Wendell Moe Jr.OLSR6' 2"330Long Beach, CA
78Gage GintherOLSO6' 5"310Fort Collins, CO
79Gabriel OsendaOLFR6' 8"330Airdrie, Canada
2Xavier GilliamDLSO6' 2"305Montgomery Village, MD
5Daevin HobbsDLSR6' 4"290Concord, NC
9Mariyon DyeDLSO6' 5"270Elkhart, IN
19Nathan RobinsonDLJR6' 7"295Greenbrier, TN
26JJ FinchDLFR6' 3"293Indianapolis, IN
33Jordan NormanDLJR6' 4"265Hoover, AL
35Carson GentleDLSO6' 3"265Chattanooga, TN
36Carter GoodenDLFR6' 4"267Marion, MA
37Kedric Golston IIDLFR6' 3"243Leesburg, VA
39Darryl RiversDLFR6' 5"287Powder Springs, GA
44Christian GassDLFR6' 3"245Covington, GA
47Isaiah CampbellDLSO6' 4"295Durham, NC
55Mike Bethea IIDLSR6' 1"221Destin, FL
56Zach GrovesDLFR6' 4"250Cross Plains, TN
59Dereon AlbertDLFR6' 1"309Jackson, MS
85CJ EdwardsDLFR6' 3"230Edison, NJ
87Nuk SimmonsDLFR6' 3"300Columbus, GA
95Breeze CarterDLFR6' 3"255Douglasville, GA
97Hezekiah HarrisDLFR6' 6"248Huntsville, AL
99Charles House IIIDLFR6' 3"290Charlotte, NC
0Amare CampbellLBSR6' 0"230Manassas, VA
7Arion CarterLBSR6' 1"238Smyrna, TN
11Jordan BurnsLBSO6' 1"227Conyers, GA
12Jaedon HarmonLBSO6' 0"225Rome, GA
13Edwin SpillmanLBSO6' 1"225Nashville, TN
22Jeremiah TelanderLBSR6' 2"235Gainesville, GA
27Jadon PerlotteLBSO6' 4"214Buford, GA
28Brayden RouseLBFR6' 3"225Woodstock, GA
50Ryan ScottLBSO6' 1"220Knoxville, TN
57Grier ShortLBSO6' 1"222Franklin, TN
1TJ MetcalfDBSR6' 1"205Birmingham, AL
3Tre Poteat IIIDBSO6' 0"192Fitchburg, WI
4Ty RedmondDBSO6' 3"200Alpharetta, GA
6Qua MossDBSR5' 10"188West Point, GA
8Jadais RichardDBSR6' 1"202West Monroe, LA
10Dejuan LaneDBJR6' 2"215Jessup, MD
14Kayin LeeDBSR5' 11"190Ellenwood, GA
15Edrees FarooqDBJR6' 0"202Columbia, MD
20Tevis MetcalfDBSO5' 10"202Birmingham, AL
24Dylan LewisDBSO6' 0"197Atlanta, GA
25Tim MerrittDBSO6' 1"194Birmingham, AL
29Isaiah HardgeDBJR5' 10"182Hollywood, FL
30Javonte SmithDBFR6' 0"183Jackson, TN
34Zay AndersonDBFR6' 0"175Greeneville, TN
38Jowell CombayDBFR6' 1"200Kennesaw, GA
40KJ McClainDBFR6' 0"188Rahway, NJ
42DJ BurksDBSR6' 0"196Maryville, TN
43Jackson MathewsDBSO6' 0"196Franklin, TN
28Cooper RanvierPKSO6' 2"199Lexington, KY
93Grady DangerfieldPKFR6' 0"215Charleston, SC
98Jackson RossPSR6' 4"203Melbourne, Australia
99Logan FoleyPFR6' 6"234Melbourne, Australia
48Bennett BradyLSSR6' 1"210Memphis, TN
53Blake HowardLSJR6' 2"222Cincinnati, OH

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2022 (+15.6, #5) · worst: 2017 (-4.4, #92)
0+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#25
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far6-23-2#13+16.9+7.9+9.1
20258-54-4#25+8.0+9.9-2.0
202410-36-2#12+11.3+3.0+8.3
20239-44-4#16+9.7+4.7+5.0
202211-26-2#5+15.6+12.7+3.0
20217-64-4#37+5.3+7.3-2.0
20203-73-7#85-2.6-3.1+0.5
20198-55-3#46+2.5-2.0+4.4
20185-72-6#84-2.5-4.1+1.5
20174-80-8#92-4.4-4.2-0.2
20169-44-4#22+8.1+9.0-0.9
20159-45-3#9+11.7+6.7+4.9
20147-63-5#35+6.0+2.1+4.0

Tennessee's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →