Mountain West · 2026

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Head coach Timmy Chang · Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
1-20-1 in conference
TDC Rank
#111
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-5.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-3.0
100th in FBS
Defense
-2.8
103rd in FBS
Schedule so far
-5.3
55th toughest
Projected
5.6-6.4
bowl-eligible 52%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-5.8 now, -0.3 preseason · down 41 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#111

Final record odds

5.6-6.4 expected · most likely 6-6 (22%)
2-108%3-915%4-822%5-722%6-617%7-59%8-49-310-2

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29@116StanfordL 27–37-13.6—ACC Network
1Sep 5vs91UNLVCONFL 6–21-21.0—CW
2Sep 12vs115New Mexico StateW 29–19+0.6—MW+
3—Bye
4Sep 26@134WyomingCONFHawai'i −3.7 · o/u 41.2—60%CW
5Oct 3vs122San José StateCONFHawai'i −5.7 · o/u 51.6—65%MW+
6Oct 10@63Arizona StateArizona State −9.7 · o/u 50.8—26%
7Oct 17vs35New MexicoCONFNew Mexico −7.6 · o/u 47.3—31%
8Oct 24@137Northern IllinoisCONFHawai'i −5.8 · o/u 48.2—65%MW+
9—Bye
10Nov 7@127UTEPCONFHawai'i −0.7 · o/u 53.1—52%
11Nov 14vs57North Dakota StateCONFNorth Dakota State −4.7 · o/u 47.3—38%CW
12Nov 21@125NevadaCONFHawai'i −0.1 · o/u 44.0—50%
13Nov 28vs133Sacramento StateHawai'i −9.6 · o/u 46.0—74%MW+

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.033110th+0.13098th
Success rate37.4%121st43.4%102nd
Explosiveness1.163100th1.25974th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate37.9%119th45.1%112th
Rushing success rate40.3%99th48.1%122nd
Passing success rate36.7%113th41.6%85th
Explosive run rate11.1%104th15.1%107th
Explosive pass rate6.5%117th12.5%109th
Line yards / carry2.88105th3.51126th
Opportunity rate38.9%68th44.3%126th
Stuff rate19.4%101st11.3%128th
Sack rate5.4%88th1.1%131st
3rd-down conversion39.2%91st46.2%112th
Red-zone TD rate54.5%102nd87.5%126th
Havoc rate14.6%102nd12.3%103rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game20.7118th25.792nd
Yards / game346.3107th404.0109th
Yards / play4.50128th5.97112th
Pass yards / game269.341st227.394th
Yards / pass att.5.70128th7.84104th
Completion %58.5%104th56.3%34th
Rush yards / game77.0134th176.7112th
Yards / carry2.90134th4.73110th
3rd-down conv. %41.5%70th43.9%114th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.0048th1.0079th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.67115th1.3396th
Penalty yards / game42.326th52.781st

Roster

100 players · Head coach Timmy Chang

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
10Bjorn JurgensenQBFR6' 3"200Orlando, FL
12Micah AlejadoQBSO5' 10"180Las Vegas, NV
14Isaac Jaramilla-PheQBSR6' 1"200Pasadena, CA
16Hazyn BotelhoQBFR6' 0"170Kaneohe, HI
0Cam BarfieldRBSR5' 7"190Las Vegas, NV
1DeVon RiceRBSO5' 9"180Las Vegas, NV
26Sitani MikaeleRBSO5' 11"230Waiahole, HI
28TJ Fo'ilefutuRBFR6' 0"240Peoria, AZ
30James Steffany-FiameRBFR5' 8"175Ewa Beach, HI
31Noah BartleyRBSR5' 9"220Waianae, HI
2Audric HarrisWRJR6' 1"190Bellflower, CA
3Carson BrownWRSR6' 2"200Des Moines, IA
4Jarvis HeimuliWRSO6' 3"200Fort Worth, TX
5Pofele AshlockWRSR6' 2"180Euless, TX
6Kainoa CarvalhoWRFR5' 6"165Laie, HI
7Tre' GriffithsWRSO6' 3"205Keller, TX
11Devin AlvesWRSR6' 3"195Melbourne, FL
13Koa EldredgeWRSR6' 0"190Honolulu, HI
17Nick DelgadilloWRJR6' 0"190Paramount, CA
18Blaze KamokuWRSR5' 6"185Kapolei, HI
19Diezel KamokuWRSO5' 9"185Kapolei, HI
22Titan LacadenWRFR5' 6"175Kapolei, HI
80Robert Haynes IVWRFR6' 2"175Houston, TX
83Josiah FetuiWRSO6' 3"185Ewa Beach, HI
84Dillon BoothWRFR5' 9"180Rosamond, CA
86Brandon GaeaWRFR6' 0"190Honolulu, HI
9Devon TauaefaTESR6' 5"230Honolulu, HI
45Micah Kaonohi-KaihenuiTESR5' 11"255Waimanalo, HI
46Matthew BailiffTEJR6' 1"235Kaysville, UT
74Andrew PriceTEFR6' 5"235Boise, ID
81Frank AbreuTEFR6' 4"235Kula, HI
85Oakie Salave'aTESR6' 2"240Leone, American Samoa
88Anthony HickmanTESO6' 3"235Las Vegas, NV
50Tu'i MutiOLSO6' 1"300La'ie, HI
51Eric McFallOLSO6' 4"305Neiafu, Samoa
52Dean BriskiOLSR6' 5"305Pago Pago, American Samoa
53Kawika HallumsOLFR6' 2"295Aiea, HI
54Jordan KernaghanOLFR6' 3"285Ewa Beach, HI
55Jay Tauala-HarrisOLSO6' 3"290Long Beach, CA
56Boogie HendersonOLSO6' 4"310Los Angeles, CA
57Ethan SpencerOLSR6' 2"300Kailua, HI
58Denaris DeRosa Jr.OLSR6' 3"285Redwood City, CA
60Ezekiel SalanoaOLFR5' 11"290Honolulu, HI
62Lautaimi ManumaOLSO6' 3"300Ewa Beach, HI
65Vake HeheaOLJR6' 4"300Melbourne, Australia
72Josh TavuiOLFR6' 2"300Ewa Beach, HI
73Lipe MoalaOLJR6' 6"345Riverside, CA
74Vainuupo FanuaeaOLFR6' 4"275Nanakuli, HI
77Uluaki TaukiuveaOLFR6' 5"300West Valley City, UT
79Judah KaioOLSR6' 3"305Kaneohe, HI
10Ka'eo AkanaDLSR6' 3"245Honolulu, HI
26Nazaiah CaravalloDLSO6' 2"235Ewa Beach, HI
51Lesterlaisene LagafuainaDLJR6' 4"245Nu'uuli, American Samoa
52Luther McCoyDLSR6' 5"270St. Johns, FL
55Zoram PeteloDLSO6' 4"270Saleaula, Samoa
56Spencer ElliottDLSR6' 3"255Bend, OR
90Ha'aheo Dela CruzDLSO6' 2"260Honolulu, HI
91Josh SagapoluteleDLJR6' 0"255Waimanalo, HI
95Geoffrey Speight Jr.DLSR6' 1"280Mcdonough, GA
96Iosefa LetuliDLSO6' 5"270Oceanside, CA
97Jordan LynchDLSO6' 3"290College Station, TX
98Tonga PaeaDLJR6' 4"315Auckland, New Zealand
99Ozzy PollardDLSO6' 4"300Carmel, IN
7Julian SmithLBJR6' 0"210Bakersfield, CA
8Matteus IoaneLBSO6' 2"225Wahiawa, HI
11Jamih OtisLBSR5' 11"220Las Vegas, NV
12Wynden Ho'ohuliLBSR6' 3"240Kapolei, HI
17Ben HudsonLBSR6' 2"225Miami, FL
18Zaden MariteragiLBFR6' 1"230Kahuku, HI
31Aisiah PaogofieLBFR6' 1"220Waianae, HI
35Junior FiauiLBSO6' 3"215San Jose, CA
43Alika Cavaco-AmoyLBSO6' 0"215Waimanalo, HI
47Kingston CostalesLBFR5' 11"210Waianae, HI
48Kolo KaululaauLBJR6' 0"215Kaneohe, HI
49Tasi TadioLBJR5' 11"225Wahiawa, HI
0Jeremiah HughesDBJR6' 0"180Las Vegas, NV
2Kona MooreDBJR6' 0"190Kapolei, HI
3Joenel FigueroaDBSR6' 0"190Lawrence, MA
4Elijah PalmerDBSR5' 8"185Las Vegas, NV
5Jaylon EdmondDBSO5' 10"170Long Beach, CA
6Zion AllenDBSR6' 1"175Stockton, CA
13Elijah GipsonDBSR6' 0"170Los Angeles, CA
19Kela MooreDBJR6' 0"185Kapolei, HI
21Makana MeyerDBJR5' 9"185Waipahu, HI
22Ezekiel RodriguesDBSO6' 0"195Kaneohe, HI
23Kydel StoneDBFR6' 1"185Chicago, IL
24Kodi DeCambraDBJR5' 11"190Honolulu, HI
27Jahren AlturaDBFR5' 10"175Honolulu, HI
28Marquis RichardsonDBFR6' 2"190Chandler, AZ
29Kainoa OntaiDBJR5' 11"180Manteca, CA
30Avin HoustonDBFR6' 3"185San Antonio, TX
34Brayton CorreaDBFR5' 10"185Honolulu, HI
36Jordan FetuDBJR5' 10"175Ewa Beach, HI
16Hudson BorsariPKFR5' 10"175Las Vegas, NV
98Sean Olvera-HarlePKSR6' 0"205San Juan Capistrano, CA
23Bryce MilfordPSO6' 5"190Melbourne, Australia
43Gannon MillerPFR6' 0"190Boise, ID
47Gehrig HeilPFR6' 1"195Phoenix, AZ
33Jack MowreyLSJR6' 3"235Charlotte, NC
45Nick PangLSSR5' 10"220Honolulu, HI

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →