Mountain West · 2026

North Dakota State Bison

Head coach Tim Polasek · Fargodome
4-01-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#57
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+1.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-0.3
72nd in FBS
Defense
+2.2
41st in FBS
Schedule so far
-10.9
123rd toughest
Projected
9.6-2.4
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+1.9 now, -8.0 preseason · up 77 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#57

Final record odds

9.6-2.4 expected · most likely 10-2 (29%)
6-67-513%8-424%9-329%10-221%11-16%12-0

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29vs100Jacksonville StateW 33–7+17.5—CBSSN
1Sep 5vsFordham FCSW 38–0+1.7—MW+
2Sep 12@90Air ForceCONFW 38–32+6.2—FS1
3Sep 19@133Sacramento StateW 31–10+11.6—ESPN
4—Bye
5Oct 3vs134WyomingCONFNorth Dakota State −17.3 · o/u 38.8—87%CW
6Oct 10@91UNLVCONFNorth Dakota State −1.9 · o/u 41.8—55%CW
7Oct 17vs125NevadaCONFNorth Dakota State −13.6 · o/u 41.6—82%CBSSN
8Oct 24@35New MexicoCONFNew Mexico −5.9 · o/u 44.9—35%CW
9Oct 31vs127UTEPCONFNorth Dakota State −14.2 · o/u 50.7—83%MW+
10—Bye
11Nov 14@111Hawai'iCONFNorth Dakota State −4.7 · o/u 47.3—62%CW
12Nov 21vs137Northern IllinoisCONFNorth Dakota State −19.4 · o/u 45.8—90%CW
13Nov 27@122San José StateCONFNorth Dakota State −7.4 · o/u 49.2—69%CBSSN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.17568th-0.1815th
Success rate40.6%105th39.0%63rd
Explosiveness1.44614th1.0217th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.4%108th39.8%67th
Rushing success rate34.4%126th41.3%77th
Passing success rate48.9%38th37.8%56th
Explosive run rate12.8%87th8.3%26th
Explosive pass rate14.3%39th11.5%98th
Line yards / carry2.92100th3.0584th
Opportunity rate32.8%122nd35.8%68th
Stuff rate16.0%76th16.5%92nd
Sack rate4.5%71st4.9%76th
3rd-down conversion44.2%55th45.2%106th
Red-zone TD rate70.0%55th50.0%37th
Havoc rate12.7%68th15.2%55th
Box score · season totals
Points / game35.054th12.318th
Yards / game370.592nd254.818th
Yards / play5.7088th4.2327th
Pass yards / game211.887th154.523rd
Yards / pass att.8.7039th6.1848th
Completion %67.0%54th58.0%43rd
Rush yards / game158.878th100.338th
Yards / carry4.00104th2.9931st
3rd-down conv. %42.3%66th37.3%70th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.5022nd2.505th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.2552nd1.7571st
Penalty yards / game61.089th58.359th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Tim Polasek

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
0Preston BrownQBSO6' 1"215Festus, MO
2Nathan HayesQBSR6' 3"228West Chicago, IL
10Trey DrakeQBJR6' 3"213Jamestown, NY
13Zander SmithQBFR6' 3"225Lakeland, FL
16Henry NelsonQBFR6' 3"210Meridian, ID
4Nyeoti PunniRBSR6' 1"225Lebanon, NH
5Myles MitchellRBFR5' 9"205Chicago, IL
7DJ ScottRBJR5' 11"215Oviedo, FL
22Charles Ross IIIRBFR5' 9"200Kansas City, MO
25Godson Rufus-OkomhanruRBFR6' 0"187Mounds View, MN
28Cortez LeGrantRBJR5' 10"200Sun Prairie, WI
32Barry KpeenuRBSO5' 10"205West Fargo, ND
34Jonathan HarveyRBSR5' 10"200Mahtomedi, MN
45Gatlin EmpeyFBFR6' 1"235Stoughton, WI
3Jeremiah PattersonWRSR5' 9"175San Francisco, CA
11Jordan McCantsWRSR5' 11"190Birmingham, AL
12Myles EllisWRFR5' 9"160Flossmoor, IL
15Mekhi CollinsWRSR6' 4"215North Mankato, MN
17Isiah St. RomainWRSO6' 0"200Williston, ND
19John GoresWRSR5' 6"175Fargo, ND
20Drake SchlosserWRFR6' 1"195Stanley, ND
21Chris KielWRFR5' 11"205Mount Horeb, WI
23Kye SchlichtingWRFR6' 3"201Horace, ND
27Joaquin JordanWRFR6' 3"196Homewood, IL
80Jacob KilzerWRSO6' 3"205Maple Grove, MN
82SJ GreenWRFR5' 10"185Tampa, FL
83Cade OstermanWRJR6' 1"192Elk River, MN
84Logan ConklinWRSO6' 4"205Minot, ND
89Tochi OkoroWRJR6' 3"195Dodge City, KS
9Gabriel CunninghamTEFR6' 3"242Wentzville, MO
43Cash DannerTEFR6' 5"235Thompson, ND
44Luke KokatTESR6' 3"250Sturtevant, WI
49Colten GundersonTEFR6' 7"240Savage, MN
81Reis KesselTESO6' 5"245Fargo, ND
87Noah NelsonTEFR6' 5"240Hawley, MN
88Isaac EllisonTEFR6' 4"225Menomonie, WI
96Abraham MyersTEJR6' 2"250Sioux Falls, SD
55Kene AneneOLSO6' 5"310Cottage Grove, MN
63Trey McPartlandOLFR6' 5"285Valley City, ND
67Earl BrownOLFR6' 5"310Pillager, MN
75Josh MaginOTSR6' 6"308Shakopee, MN
76Ryan BabatzOTSO6' 5"315Montrose, MN
77Austin SchultzOTJR6' 4"305Moorhead, MN
78Noah StommesOTSO6' 6"300Richmond, MN
61Gage SchmidtCSO6' 3"300North Mankato, MN
0Victor IseleDEJR6' 2"260Grand Island, NE
9Kelton McCaslinDESR6' 5"250St. Charles, IL
11Matthew StenbrotenDESO6' 4"250Lake Mills, WI
48Blake SchiltzDEFR6' 2"250Pine Island, MN
56Allante BurleyDESR6' 3"240Lawrenceville, GA
90Truman GriffithDESO6' 2"260Shawnee, KS
92Daniel DevineDEFR6' 4"245Saint Paul, MN
93Anthony OkesDEJR6' 3"260Great Falls, MT
53Chase EvinkDTFR6' 5"285Hancock, MN
58Zach HellendrungDTFR6' 3"275Boyceville, WI
60Thomas RobertsDTFR6' 4"275Albion, NE
64Jason HunterDTFR6' 5"265Fargo, ND
65Brody ClubbDTFR6' 3"290Tiffin, IA
94Logan LarsonDTSR6' 3"290Woodbury, MN
98Jack HansenDTSO6' 3"282Eagan, MN
99Obald NiyonkuruDTJR5' 11"290Altoona, IA
3Gavin SellLBFR6' 2"230Woodville, WI
25Ray James Jr.LBSO6' 2"240Eden Prairie, MN
35Ryland SatterLBSO6' 1"235Sioux Falls, SD
38Ben ScheppLBFR6' 1"210Velva, ND
41Peder HaugoLBSO6' 1"230Fargo, ND
42Alex ElliottLBJR6' 2"220Hutchinson, MN
44Carter ApplLBFR6' 2"215Menasha, WI
50Damian DevineLBFR6' 3"230Saint Paul, MN
55Oliver LuchtLBJR6' 1"228Fargo, ND
2EJ DavisCBSO6' 1"190Orlando, FL
4Najee NelsonCBJR5' 11"197Lakeville, MN
16Marion MooreCBFR5' 11"190Madison, WI
19Will RosenmeyerCBSO6' 0"188Highlands Ranch, CO
23Kegan HuberCBSR6' 0"190Lake Geneva, WI
24Kobe RussellCBFR6' 1"197Prescott, WI
28Kendrick CarterCBFR5' 10"179Dallas, TX
31Q BarnslaterCBFR6' 0"170Burnsville, MN
32Brayden DozierCBFR6' 0"189Maple Grove, MN
34Deron RussellCBFR6' 1"180Waseca, MN
6Jaylin CrumbySJR5' 11"200Tampa, FL
13Mikhale FordSFR5' 11"190Lincoln, NE
14Taylen EadySSO6' 0"205Toano, VA
20Will SteilSSO6' 2"205Cold Spring, MN
22Hudson ArtzSSR6' 0"205Fairmont, MN
26Evrett TaitSFR6' 0"205Chippewa Falls, WI
27Landon MeierSSO5' 11"195Fargo, ND
29Darius GivanceSSR6' 2"215Champlin, MN
30Jaylen ArchibaldSFR6' 1"205Frisco, TX
33Walker BraatenSFR6' 3"190Westhope, ND
37Drew KleinPKSR5' 9"185Hortonville, WI
38Jayden OnuongaPKFR6' 4"205Forest Lake, MN
39Aaron BickertonPSR6' 3"225Stoke, England
51Caleb McGrathPJR6' 3"205Apple Valley, MN
48CJ AndersonLSSR6' 1"240Elgin, SC
59James NellisGFR6' 3"290Grafton, WI
62Griffin EmpeyGJR6' 3"302Stoughton, WI
66Jack LiwienskiGJR6' 3"297Chanhassen, MN
68Coy OkesonGSO6' 5"310Minot, ND
72Nate SchnecklothGJR6' 5"300Eldridge, IA

Updated Sep 24, 5:53 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →