
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs Weber State FCS | W 45–6 | +6.3 | — | MWN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | @ 8USC | L 7–45 | -13.5 | — | PACN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 63Arkansas State | W 34–20 | +11.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 24 | vs 52Air ForceCONF | L 20–27 | -6.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Oct 1 | @ 29Boise StateCONF | L 10–21 | -1.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 57Colorado StateCONF | L 24–31 | -3.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 123Fresno StateCONF | W 38–20 | +2.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 31San Diego StateCONF | L 13–40 | -21.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 68WyomingCONF | L 28–52 | -22.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 80New MexicoCONF | L 21–24 | -8.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 109NevadaCONF | L 37–38 | -7.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 26 | @ 35BYU | L 10–28 | -9.6 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.5% | 111th | 43.6% | 69th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.5% | 93rd | 47.2% | 95th |
| Passing success rate | 36.7% | 109th | 38.2% | 34th |
| Explosive run rate | 20.2% | 7th | 14.3% | 47th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.8% | 79th | 10.3% | 65th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.05 | 66th | 3.08 | 69th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.7% | 78th | 39.7% | 70th |
| Stuff rate | 19.4% | 82nd | 17.5% | 75th |
| Sack rate | 6.0% | 70th | 6.5% | 49th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.9% | 96th | 42.8% | 85th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.0% | 84th | 62.2% | 60th |
| Havoc rate | 15.2% | 113th | 11.5% | 88th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.9 | 112th | 29.3 | 58th |
| Yards / game | 376.3 | 97th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.50 | 73rd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 205.8 | 93rd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.46 | 103rd | — | — |
| Completion % | 57.6% | 78th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 170.5 | 70th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.98 | 42nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.8% | 77th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.33 | 85th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.0 | 85th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →