SEC · 2021 · Final

Mississippi State Bulldogs 2021

7-64-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#58
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+2.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.5
65th in FBS
Defense
+1.9
48th in FBS
Schedule
+1.4
29th toughest
Preseason
-1.8
rating going in

2021 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+2.4 now, -1.8 preseason · up 28 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#58

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 4vs108Louisiana TechW 35–34-9.2—ESPNU
2Sep 11vs18NC StateW 24–10+19.8—ESPN2
3Sep 18@79MemphisL 29–31-1.5—ESPN2
4Sep 25vs61LSUCONFL 25–28-3.4—ESPN
5Oct 2@15Texas A&MCONFW 26–22+14.9—SEC Network
6—Bye
7Oct 16vs2AlabamaCONFL 9–49-13.8—ESPN
8Oct 23@125VanderbiltCONFW 45–6+15.9—SEC Network
9Oct 30vs35KentuckyCONFW 31–17+17.3—SEC Network
10Nov 6@25ArkansasCONFL 28–31+6.7—SEC Network
11Nov 13@36AuburnCONFW 43–34+16.8—ESPN
12Nov 20vsTennessee State FCSW 55–10+9.8—SECN+
13Nov 25vs24Ole MissCONFL 21–31-4.8—ESPN
BowlsDec 28vs68Texas TechNEUTRALL 7–34-25.1—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate52.1%6th40.9%37th
Rushing success rate51.9%17th43.0%48th
Passing success rate52.2%5th39.1%32nd
Explosive run rate10.4%121st13.2%41st
Explosive pass rate7.6%120th10.6%66th
Line yards / carry3.1863rd2.9233rd
Opportunity rate38.2%75th36.5%44th
Stuff rate16.0%64th18.7%32nd
Sack rate4.6%31st5.8%75th
3rd-down conversion44.6%33rd41.7%77th
Red-zone TD rate63.5%55th60.6%72nd
Havoc rate8.0%44th8.8%71st
Box score · season totals
Points / game29.260th25.961st
Yards / game441.529th331.323rd
Yards / play5.6965th5.2255th
Pass yards / game378.34th213.866th
Yards / pass att.6.9990th7.4077th
Completion %73.6%1st64.6%105th
Rush yards / game63.1130th101.210th
Yards / carry3.04127th3.3514th
3rd-down conv. %45.9%13th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3155th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.6294th2.1769th
Penalty yards / game58.586th——

Players

64 players who recorded a stat in 2021 (from box scores)

64 players

Final ratings for 2021, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2021 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2021 power rankings →