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Big Ten · 2026

Wisconsin Badgers

Head coach Luke Fickell · Camp Randall Stadium
5-33-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#33
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+11.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.9
58th in FBS
Defense
+9.5
11th in FBS
Schedule so far
+5.1
17th toughest
Projected
8.1-3.9
bowl-eligible >99%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+11.5 now, +11.7 preseason · down 8 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#33

Final record odds

8.1-3.9 expected · most likely 8-4 (42%)
6-618%7-542%8-437%9-3

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Colton Joseph
QB · SR · 89th in FBS
1346yds
11 TD · 5 INT
Rushing
Colton Joseph
QB · SR · 156th in FBS
371yds
91 car · 4 TD
Receiving
Tyrell Henry
WR · SR · 146th in FBS
397yds
30 rec · 1 TD
Tackles
Cooper Catalano
LB · SO · 15th in FBS
76tkl
2.5 TFL
Sacks
Sebastian Cheeks
LB · SR · 17th in FBS
6sacks
6 hurries
Interceptions
Marvin Burks Jr.
S · SR · 49th in FBS
2INT
1 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 6vs1Notre DameNEUTRALL 13–41 ›+1.5—NBC
2Sep 12vsWestern Illinois FCSW 36–9 ›-0.7—BTN
3Sep 19vs124Eastern MichiganW 54–10 ›+11.5—Peacock
4Sep 26@26Penn StateCONFW 24–20 ›+20.1—Peacock
5Oct 3vs66Michigan StateCONFW 31–3 ›+23.7—BTN
6—Bye
7Oct 17@17UCLACONFL 7–17 ›+9.2—NBC
8Oct 24vs23USCCONFW 24–7 ›+26.8—NBC
9Oct 31@16IowaCONFL 0–30 ›-6.4—Fox
10Nov 7vs94RutgersCONFWisconsin −22.3 · o/u 53.8—93%BTN
11Nov 14@79MarylandCONFWisconsin −10.1 · o/u 46.5—75%
12Nov 21@71PurdueCONFWisconsin −7.3 · o/u 51.4—69%
13Nov 27vs52MinnesotaCONFWisconsin −10.4 · o/u 40.0—76%NBC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.09291st-0.03213th
Success rate37.8%124th39.4%44th
Explosiveness1.36814th1.0151st
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate37.9%123rd40.1%52nd
Rushing success rate37.7%120th39.2%43rd
Passing success rate38.1%107th40.9%75th
Explosive run rate10.7%116th7.5%6th
Explosive pass rate10.6%61st6.7%13th
Line yards / carry3.0387th2.9253rd
Opportunity rate35.8%107th28.6%3rd
Stuff rate15.8%50th13.2%124th
Sack rate3.4%24th3.6%115th
3rd-down conversion42.0%56th46.3%123rd
Red-zone TD rate50.0%113th47.8%26th
Havoc rate12.8%55th13.3%80th
Box score · season totals
Points / game23.697th17.119th
Yards / game318.3127th290.116th
Yards / play5.3993rd4.209th
Pass yards / game179.9118th188.334th
Yards / pass att.7.2081st5.9315th
Completion %56.0%124th60.2%54th
Rush yards / game138.496th101.923rd
Yards / carry4.2080th2.8613th
3rd-down conv. %41.8%50th40.6%97th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1248th1.1278th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.2525th1.7593rd
Penalty yards / game58.079th35.9133rd

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.0
104th of 138
YAC per catch
6.2
30th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
12%
106th of 138
Shotgun
92%
97th of 138
No-huddle
4%
134th of 138
QB pressured
13%
68th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
12%
97th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.2
65th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws190 throws charted

56% comp8.0 avg. depth6.2 YAC/catch12% 20+ air yds11–6 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 20 throws (11%), 16 caught (80%), 95 yds, 4.8 per throw2080% · 95yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (9%), 10 caught (56%), 52 yds, 2.9 per throw1856% · 52yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (9%), 9 caught (53%), 110 yds, 6.5 per throw1753% · 110yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 11 throws (6%), 4 caught (36%), 49 yds, 4.5 per throw1136% · 49yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 2 caught (40%), 34 yds, 6.8 per throw540% · 34yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 93 yds, 23.3 per throw475% · 93yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 1 caught (100%), 32 yds, 32.0 per throw1100% · 32yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 3 caught (43%), 11 yds, 1.6 per throw743% · 11yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 4 caught (100%), 32 yds, 8.0 per throw4100% · 32yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 62 yds, 10.3 per throw667% · 62yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (3%), 1 caught (20%), 72 yds, 14.4 per throw520% · 72yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (2%), 1 caught (33%), 23 yds, 7.7 per throw333% · 23yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (3%), 3 caught (60%), 162 yds, 32.4 per throw560% · 162yRight, Behind air yards: 20 throws (11%), 13 caught (65%), 125 yds, 6.3 per throw2065% · 125yRight, 0–4 air yards: 17 throws (9%), 12 caught (71%), 93 yds, 5.5 per throw1771% · 93yRight, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (11%), 12 caught (57%), 117 yds, 5.6 per throw2157% · 117yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (5%), 6 caught (67%), 95 yds, 10.6 per throw967% · 95yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (4%), 2 caught (29%), 43 yds, 6.1 per throw729% · 43yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (4%), 2 caught (25%), 55 yds, 6.9 per throw825% · 55yRight, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on245 throws charted

60% comp7.4 avg. depth5.2 YAC/catch11% 20+ air yds6–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 12 throws (5%), 11 caught (92%), 47 yds, 3.9 per throw1292% · 47yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 27 throws (11%), 19 caught (70%), 121 yds, 4.5 per throw2770% · 121yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (10%), 18 caught (72%), 163 yds, 6.5 per throw2572% · 163yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 6 caught (60%), 82 yds, 8.2 per throw1060% · 82yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 118 yds, 16.9 per throw771% · 118yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 45 yds, 6.4 per throw714% · 45yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 2 caught (100%), 13 yds, 6.5 per throw2100% · 13yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 10 caught (67%), 98 yds, 6.5 per throw1567% · 98yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 8 caught (73%), 72 yds, 6.5 per throw1173% · 72yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 4 caught (50%), 85 yds, 10.6 per throw850% · 85yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 36 yds, 12.0 per throw367% · 36yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 55 yds, 18.3 per throw367% · 55yMiddle, 30+ air yards: noneRight, Behind air yards: 17 throws (7%), 13 caught (76%), 49 yds, 2.9 per throw1776% · 49yRight, 0–4 air yards: 40 throws (16%), 27 caught (68%), 209 yds, 5.2 per throw4068% · 209yRight, 5–9 air yards: 26 throws (11%), 13 caught (50%), 107 yds, 4.1 per throw2650% · 107yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 6 caught (50%), 75 yds, 6.3 per throw1250% · 75yRight, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 58 yds, 11.6 per throw540% · 58yRight, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 2 caught (29%), 67 yds, 9.6 per throw729% · 67yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction244 carries

Left
16%
4.2 YPC · 35% succ.
Middle
67%
4.7 YPC · 38% succ.
Right
16%
5.3 YPC · 48% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced262 carries

Left
17%
2.4 YPC · 24% succ.
Middle
65%
3.6 YPC · 34% succ.
Right
18%
4.7 YPC · 47% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Luke Fickell

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Colton JosephQBSR6' 2"215Newport Beach, CA
5Carter SmithQBSO6' 4"208Fort Myers, FL
8Deuce AdamsQBJR6' 2"207Austin, TX
10Ryan HopkinsQBFR6' 3"205Newport Beach, CA
18Danny O'NeilQBJR6' 0"202Indianapolis, IN
3Abu Sama IIIRBSR5' 11"214Des Moines, IA
6Darrion DupreeRBJR5' 11"218Chicago, IL
15Nate PalmerRBJR5' 10"205Decatur, TX
20JuJu PopeRBJR5' 11"195Pope, MS
21Bryan Jackson IIRBJR6' 2"238McKinney, TX
32Harrison BortolottiRBSO5' 9"202Whitefish Bay, WI
38Mason LaneRBJR6' 1"220Lodi, WI
41McCoy SmithFBFR5' 11"231Waunakee, WI
42Tyler JanseyFBSR6' 1"236Batavia, IL
0Tyrell HenryWRSR6' 0"184Roseville, MI
2Chris Brooks Jr.WRSR6' 2"224St. Louis, MO
4Malachi ColemanWRSR6' 5"205Lincoln, NE
7Shamar RigbyWRJR6' 4"198St. Petersburg, FL
9Jaylon DomingeauxWRSR6' 3"211Lafayette, LA
11Kash BrockWRFR6' 3"190Chandler, AZ
12Zion KearneyWRJR6' 3"210Fresno, TX
13Eugene Hilton Jr.WRSO6' 2"204Zionsville, IN
14Keeyshawn TabuteauWRFR5' 11"188Montreal, Canada
19Langdon NordgaardWRJR6' 3"214West De Pere, WI
22Dorsett SteckerWRFR5' 9"195Newport Beach, CA
24Zion LegreeWRFR5' 11"202Pensacola, FL
26Eli AdamsWRJR6' 0"188Austin, TX
81Mason KelleyWRSO6' 1"199Mukwonago, WI
87Jackson McGohanWRSR6' 4"220Miamisburg, OH
17Nizyi DavisTESO6' 5"237Indianapolis, IN
49Aydon FickellTEFR6' 4"242Madison, WI
82Emmett BorkTESO6' 6"257Oconomowoc, WI
84Ryan SchwendemanTESR6' 4"252O' Fallon, MO
85Grant StecTEJR6' 6"258Sleepy Hollow, IL
86Jack SieversTEFR6' 4"245Everett, WA
89Jacob HarrisTESR6' 6"265Columbus, OH
50Ryan CoryOLJR6' 4"310Gibsonia, PA
51Austin KaweckiOLSR6' 4"310Frisco, TX
53Cam ClarkOLSO6' 7"300Dexter, MI
54Brady BekkenhuisOLFR6' 7"323Arlington, MA
55Kevin HeywoodOLJR6' 9"320Limerick, PA
58Michael RoeskeOLSO6' 8"324Wautoma, WI
60Nolan DavenportOLSO6' 6"308Massillon, OH
64Evan BrownOLSR6' 4"315Tallahassee, FL
65Aiden DirksenOLFR6' 6"338Green Bay, WI
70Barrett NelsonOLSR6' 6"308Stoughton, WI
72Lucas Simmons-JohanssonOLSR6' 7"323Stockholm, Sweden
73Blake CherryOLSO6' 5"310Claremore, OK
75Emerson MandellOLJR6' 5"325Mounds View, MN
76Stylz BlackmonOLJR6' 4"316Grain Valley, MO
77Peyton LangeOLSR6' 9"345Minneapolis, MN
78Colin CubberlyOLJR6' 6"325Lagrangeville, NY
79Logan PowellOLSO6' 5"308Phoenix, AZ
30Charles PerkinsDLSR6' 2"333Memphis, TN
76Dillan JohnsonDLJR6' 2"315Plainfield, IL
90Djidjou BahDLFR6' 3"278Memphis, TN
91Hammond Russell IVDLSR6' 4"320Columbus, OH
93DeNigel CooperDLJR6' 3"277Kingsland, GA
95Jacob AndersonDLSR6' 4"305Davis, IL
96Arthur Scott IIIDLFR6' 3"307Streetsboro, OH
97Junior PoyserDLSR6' 2"331Brampton, Canada
0Justus BooneLBSR6' 5"278Sumter, SC
7Tyreese FearbryLBSR6' 4"255Pittsburgh, PA
8Mason PosaLBSO6' 3"235Albuquerque, NM
12Nicolas ClaytonLBSO6' 5"247Gainesville, FL
14Liam DanitzLBSR6' 4"243West Branch, MI
15Sebastian CheeksLBSR6' 3"243Skokie, IL
19Thomas HeibergerLBJR6' 4"230Sioux Falls, SD
23Landon GauthierLBJR6' 3"237Green Bay, WI
28Jon Jon KamaraLBJR6' 4"243Goodyear, AZ
34Ashton FickellLBFR6' 4"248Madison, WI
37Treve StoffelLBFR6' 4"214Mosinee, WI
39Jayden LoftinLBSO6' 4"250Somerville, NJ
43Taylor SchaeferLBJR6' 3"242Sturgeon Bay, WI
44Cooper CatalanoLBSO6' 1"232Richfield, WI
45Yahya GaadLBFR6' 4"258Medina, TN
50Sam LatejuLBSO6' 5"240Lagos, Nigeria
51Micheal GarnerLBSR6' 7"315Chicago Heights, IL
55Drew BraamLBJR6' 1"230Oak Creek, WI
98Will McDonaldLBSR6' 4"270Houlton, WI
1Eric Fletcher Jr.CBJR6' 1"193Fort Myers, FL
2Javan RobinsonCBSR5' 11"184Orlando, FL
3Cai BatesCBJR6' 3"200West Orlando, FL
6Jai'mier ScottCBSO6' 1"192Mount Healthy, OH
17Carsen ElomsCBFR6' 0"194Fishers, IN
18Donovan DunmoreCBFR6' 1"202Clovis, CA
31Dashaun MossCBFR6' 0"180St. Louis, MO
4Marvin Burks Jr.SSR6' 2"210St. Louis, MO
16Grant DeanSSO6' 1"200Neenah, WI
20Luke EmmerichSSO6' 2"195Monticello, MN
21Cairo SkanesSSO6' 2"195Asheville, NC
25Will MikonowiczSFR6' 0"212Reedsburg, WI
27Raphael DunnSJR6' 4"220Lawrenceville, NJ
29Matthew JungSSR6' 3"213Neenah, WI
94Brady MelumPKFR6' 0"221Sun Prairie, WI
97Gavin LahmPKSR6' 1"218Kaukauna, WI
90Will KellyPFR5' 11"165Madison, WI
98Ethan TranelPSR6' 1"225Blue Mounds, WI
53Andrew GoodmanLSSR5' 11"223Montreal, Canada
56James RoeLSJR6' 0"219Kennesaw, GA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2017 (+18.5, #4) · worst: 2025 (-0.6, #72)
0+10+20FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#72
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-33-2#33+11.5+1.9+9.5
20254-82-7#72-0.6-6.8+6.3
20245-73-6#58+1.3-2.6+3.9
20237-65-4#44+3.4-1.4+4.7
20227-64-5#38+4.2-0.8+5.0
20219-46-3#13+9.7+0.4+9.3
20204-33-3#18+8.7-1.2+9.9
201910-47-2#6+15.6+5.2+10.4
20188-55-4#28+7.5+2.9+4.5
201713-19-0#4+18.5+6.3+12.2
201611-37-2#9+12.7+1.0+11.6
201510-36-2#24+8.6-2.1+10.6
201411-37-1#19+10.6+3.0+7.6

Wisconsin's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →