The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Oct 23 | vs 100IllinoisCONF | W 45–7 | +20.2 | — | BTN |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 73NebraskaCONF | Wisconsin −7.4 · o/u 42.1 | — | FS1 | |
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 80PurdueCONF | Wisconsin −12.6 · o/u 48.4 | — | ||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 61MichiganCONF | W 49–11 | +31.4 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 21 | @ 23NorthwesternCONF | L 7–17 | -0.8 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 28 | vs 60MinnesotaCONF | Wisconsin −10.0 · o/u 47.0 | — | BTN | |
| 14 | Dec 5 | vs 15IndianaCONF | L 6–14 | -0.9 | — | ABC |
| 15 | Dec 12 | @ 8IowaCONF | L 7–28 | -6.6 | — | FS1 |
| 16 | Dec 19 | vs 60MinnesotaCONF | W 20–17 | +1.6 | — | BTN |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 53Wake ForestNEUTRAL | W 42–28 | +15.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.6% | 60th | 35.4% | 5th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.9% | 37th | 33.9% | 5th |
| Passing success rate | 39.8% | 83rd | 36.6% | 12th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.1% | 72nd | 8.3% | 4th |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.5% | 119th | 11.6% | 88th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.93 | 65th | 2.36 | 5th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.1% | 89th | 30.0% | 4th |
| Stuff rate | 19.5% | 69th | 24.4% | 17th |
| Sack rate | 5.7% | 55th | 4.2% | 103rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 35.9% | 99th | 32.9% | 10th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.8% | 31st | 58.8% | 36th |
| Havoc rate | 11.5% | 43rd | 12.1% | 73rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.1 | 89th | 17.4 | 9th |
| Yards / game | 345.6 | 103rd | 299.9 | 5th |
| Yards / play | 4.77 | 103rd | 4.88 | 20th |
| Pass yards / game | 181.0 | 108th | 194.9 | 36th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.00 | 79th | 6.54 | 20th |
| Completion % | 61.4% | 58th | 50.5% | 2nd |
| Rush yards / game | 164.6 | 62nd | 96.1 | 5th |
| Yards / carry | 3.00 | 80th | 3.35 | 14th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.0% | 78th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.71 | 91st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.71 | 36th | 1.57 | 100th |
| Penalty yards / game | 42.3 | 21st | — | — |
48 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Chase Wolf | QB | ||||
| 5 | Graham Mertz | QB | ||||
| 8 | Jalen Berger | RB | ||||
| 14 | Nakia Watson | RB | ||||
| 20 | Isaac Guerendo | RB | ||||
| 29 | Brady Schipper | RB | ||||
| 32 | Julius Davis | RB | ||||
| 37 | Garrett Groshek | RB | ||||
| 34 | Mason Stokke | FB | ||||
| 44 | John Chenal | FB | ||||
| 3 | Kendric Pryor | WR | ||||
| 7 | Danny Davis | WR | ||||
| 10 | Stephan Bracey Jr. | WR | ||||
| 13 | Chimere Dike | WR | ||||
| 16 | Jack Dunn | WR | ||||
| 24 | Adam Krumholz | WR | ||||
| 86 | Devin Chandler | WR | ||||
| 89 | A.J. Abbott | WR | ||||
| 41 | Jack Eschenbach | TE | ||||
| 42 | Jaylan Franklin | TE | ||||
| 84 | Jake Ferguson | TE | ||||
| 99 | Isaiah Mullens | DE | ||||
| 95 | Keeanu Benton | DT | ||||
| 91 | Bryson Williams | NT | ||||
| 7 | Spencer Lytle | LB | ||||
| 19 | Nick Herbig | LB | ||||
| 39 | Tatum Grass | LB | ||||
| 41 | Noah Burks | LB | ||||
| 45 | Leo Chenal | LB | ||||
| 57 | Jack Sanborn | LB | ||||
| 59 | Aaron Witt | LB | ||||
| 98 | C.J. Goetz | LB | ||||
| 6 | Dean Engram | DB | ||||
| 12 | Donte Burton | DB | ||||
| 1 | Faion Hicks | CB | ||||
| 5 | Rachad Wildgoose | CB | ||||
| 5 | Deron Harrell | CB | ||||
| 21 | Caesar Dancy-Williams | CB | ||||
| 9 | Scott Nelson | S | ||||
| 12 | Titus Toler | S | ||||
| 25 | Eric Burrell | S | ||||
| 19 | Collin Larsh | PK | ||||
| 26 | Jack Van Dyke | PK | ||||
| 38 | Andy Vujnovich | P | ||||
| 96 | Conor Schlichting | P | ||||
| 51 | Adam Bay | LS | ||||
| 18 | Collin Wilder | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →