Big Ten · 2020 · Final

Northwestern Wildcats 2020

7-26-1 in conference
Final TDC rank
#23
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+7.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-2.8
92nd in FBS
Defense
+10.0
2nd in FBS
Schedule
+3.1
22nd toughest
Preseason
-2.5
rating going in

2020 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+7.2 now, -2.5 preseason · up 69 spots since preseason
-50+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#23

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
8Oct 24vs86MarylandCONFW 43–3+24.9—BTN
9Oct 31@8IowaCONFW 21–20+15.4—ESPN
10Nov 7vs73NebraskaCONFW 21–13+5.3—BTN
11Nov 14@80PurdueCONFW 27–20+7.1—BTN
12Nov 21vs18WisconsinCONFW 17–7+16.6—ABC
13Nov 28@94Michigan StateCONFL 20–29-11.8—ESPN
14Dec 5@60MinnesotaCONFNorthwestern −4.5 · o/u 45.4—62%FS1
15Dec 12vs100IllinoisCONFW 28–10+9.3—ESPN2
16Dec 19vs2Ohio StateNEUTRALL 10–22+6.4—FOX
BowlsJan 1vs34AuburnNEUTRALW 35–19+21.2—ABC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate39.6%98th38.9%22nd
Rushing success rate35.5%120th46.6%78th
Passing success rate44.5%44th32.8%5th
Explosive run rate10.7%115th17.6%95th
Explosive pass rate6.8%116th6.0%2nd
Line yards / carry2.52117th3.1484th
Opportunity rate31.3%119th45.4%119th
Stuff rate22.5%100th22.1%29th
Sack rate3.8%24th3.9%105th
3rd-down conversion41.3%68th29.1%4th
Red-zone TD rate68.8%40th32.0%1st
Havoc rate12.5%63rd13.5%44th
Box score · season totals
Points / game24.791st15.95th
Yards / game360.793rd341.222nd
Yards / play4.70108th4.7515th
Pass yards / game197.996th182.921st
Yards / pass att.6.0079th5.221st
Completion %61.3%60th51.9%5th
Rush yards / game162.865th145.946th
Yards / carry3.0080th4.4574th
3rd-down conv. %39.3%69th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.6787th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.4424th1.56101st
Penalty yards / game40.417th——

Players

62 players who recorded a stat in 2020 (from box scores)

62 players

Final ratings for 2020, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2020 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2020 power rankings →