The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs 1AlabamaNEUTRAL | L 17–35 | +2.3 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs 114Miami (OH) | W 58–0 | +20.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 97Troy | W 28–3 | +16.0 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 121Hawai'i | W 28–0 | +8.4 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 34IowaCONF | L 6–10 | +0.3 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @ 41NebraskaCONF | W 23–21 | +9.9 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 99PurdueCONF | W 24–7 | +6.7 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 24 | @ 77IllinoisCONF | W 24–13 | +11.8 | — | BTN |
| 9 | Oct 31 | vs 94RutgersCONF | W 48–10 | +20.8 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @ 87MarylandCONF | W 31–24 | +5.2 | — | BTN |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 59NorthwesternCONF | L 7–13 | -6.3 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 68MinnesotaCONF | W 31–21 | +12.6 | — | BTN |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 18USCNEUTRAL | W 23–21 | +12.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.6% | 53rd | 34.8% | 8th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.3% | 98th | 35.3% | 9th |
| Passing success rate | 47.0% | 18th | 34.3% | 12th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.6% | 122nd | 8.3% | 2nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.4% | 68th | 7.9% | 16th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.82 | 94th | 2.68 | 24th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.0% | 112th | 32.3% | 9th |
| Stuff rate | 16.7% | 33rd | 19.0% | 69th |
| Sack rate | 4.8% | 40th | 6.6% | 41st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.1% | 56th | 34.5% | 13th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.0% | 42nd | 50.0% | 19th |
| Havoc rate | 11.6% | 53rd | 13.2% | 49th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.8 | 90th | 16.2 | 2nd |
| Yards / game | 378.6 | 79th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.15 | 93rd | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 228.3 | 58th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.08 | 72nd | — | — |
| Completion % | 60.1% | 48th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 150.3 | 95th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.82 | 104th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.8% | 55th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 53rd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 53.0 | 56th | — | — |
57 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Joel Stave | QB | ||||
| 13 | Bart Houston | QB | ||||
| 6 | Corey Clement | RB | ||||
| 21 | Mark Saari | RB | ||||
| 22 | Caleb Kinlaw | RB | ||||
| 23 | Dare Ogunbowale | RB | ||||
| 28 | Taiwan Deal | RB | ||||
| 20 | Austin Ramesh | FB | ||||
| 26 | Derek Straus | FB | ||||
| 34 | Derek Watt | FB | ||||
| 51 | Alec Ingold | FB | ||||
| 9 | Jordan Fredrick | WR | ||||
| 11 | Jazz Peavy | WR | ||||
| 15 | Robert Wheelwright | WR | ||||
| 16 | Reggie Love | WR | ||||
| 86 | Alex Erickson | WR | ||||
| 87 | George Rushing | WR | ||||
| 44 | Eric Steffes | TE | ||||
| 46 | Austin Traylor | TE | ||||
| 81 | Troy Fumagalli | TE | ||||
| 91 | Zander Neuville | TE | ||||
| 77 | Foster Bush | OL | ||||
| 34 | Chikwe Obasih | DE | ||||
| 57 | Alec James | DE | ||||
| 93 | Jake Keefer | DE | ||||
| 95 | Arthur Goldberg | DE | ||||
| 96 | Billy Hirschfeld | DE | ||||
| 94 | Conor Sheehy | DT | ||||
| 5 | Garret Dooley | LB | ||||
| 18 | Arrington Farrar | LB | ||||
| 32 | Leon Jacobs | LB | ||||
| 41 | Jesse Hayes | LB | ||||
| 42 | T.J. Watt | LB | ||||
| 43 | Ryan Connelly | LB | ||||
| 47 | Vince Biegel | LB | ||||
| 48 | Jack Cichy | LB | ||||
| 53 | T.J. Edwards | LB | ||||
| 54 | Chris Orr | LB | ||||
| 58 | Joe Schobert | LB | ||||
| 4 | Keelon Brookins | DB | ||||
| 8 | Sojourn Shelton | CB | ||||
| 25 | Derrick Tindal | CB | ||||
| 30 | Serge Trezy | CB | ||||
| 3 | Tanner McEvoy | S | ||||
| 7 | Michael Caputo | S | ||||
| 8 | Joe Ferguson | S | ||||
| 12 | Natrell Jamerson | S | ||||
| 14 | D'Cota Dixon | S | ||||
| 19 | Leo Musso | S | ||||
| 10 | Rafael Gaglianone | PK | ||||
| 37 | Andrew Endicott | PK | ||||
| 97 | Jack Russell | PK | ||||
| 38 | P.J. Rosowski | P | ||||
| 90 | Drew Meyer | P | ||||
| 1 | Noah Borden | LS | ||||
| 52 | Chris Fitzpatrick | LS | ||||
| 85 | Alan Lucy | LS |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →