Big Ten · 2015 · Final

Illinois Fighting Illini 2015

5-72-6 in conference
Final TDC rank
#77
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-1.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.6
98th in FBS
Defense
+3.0
41st in FBS
Schedule
+1.0
45th toughest
Preseason
-2.7
rating going in

2015 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-1.6 now, -2.7 preseason · up 8 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#77

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 4vs110Kent StateIllinois −12.6 · o/u 32.8—81%BTN
1Sep 5vs110Kent StateW 52–3+18.5—
2Sep 12vsWestern Illinois FCSW 44–0+7.5—BTN
3Sep 19@19North CarolinaL 14–48-15.2—ESPN2
4Sep 26vs73Middle TennesseeW 27–25-1.0—ESPNEWS
5Oct 3vs41NebraskaCONFW 14–13+4.0—BTN
6Oct 10@34IowaCONFL 20–29+0.2—ESPN2
7—Bye
8Oct 24vs24WisconsinCONFL 13–24-4.9—BTN
9Oct 31@58Penn StateCONFL 0–39-23.9—ESPN2
10Nov 7@99PurdueCONFW 48–14+22.2—BTN
11Nov 14vs2Ohio StateCONFL 3–28-9.0—ABC
12Nov 21@68MinnesotaCONFL 23–32-6.4—ESPNEWS
13Nov 28vs59NorthwesternCONFNEUTRALL 14–24-7.9—ESPNU

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate38.0%107th40.6%50th
Rushing success rate40.1%100th43.6%71st
Passing success rate36.8%98th37.1%28th
Explosive run rate13.6%87th11.5%14th
Explosive pass rate8.3%106th8.1%22nd
Line yards / carry2.70109th2.7129th
Opportunity rate33.7%114th38.1%69th
Stuff rate18.6%60th23.6%18th
Sack rate3.6%23rd4.2%103rd
3rd-down conversion35.7%110th35.3%20th
Red-zone TD rate46.9%120th58.3%51st
Havoc rate9.7%15th14.3%26th
Box score · season totals
Points / game24.7104th24.031st
Yards / game372.788th——
Yards / play4.82110th——
Pass yards / game243.447th——
Yards / pass att.5.63117th——
Completion %54.9%93rd——
Rush yards / game129.3111th——
Yards / carry4.0090th——
3rd-down conv. %36.3%95th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.6745th——
Penalty yards / game49.144th——

Players

64 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)

64 players

Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →