ACC · 2015 · Final

North Carolina Tar Heels 2015

11-38-0 in conference
Final TDC rank
#19
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+9.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+9.1
6th in FBS
Defense
+0.7
58th in FBS
Schedule
-0.4
61st toughest
Preseason
-1.6
rating going in

2015 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+9.8 now, -1.6 preseason · up 61 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#19

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vs81South CarolinaNEUTRALL 13–17-6.3—ESPN
2Sep 12vsNorth Carolina A&T FCSW 53–14+5.7—ESPN3
3Sep 19vs77IllinoisW 48–14+23.4—ESPN2
4Sep 26vsDelaware FCSW 41–14+1.5—ESPN3
5Oct 3@57Georgia TechCONFW 38–31+12.4—ESPNU
6—Bye
7Oct 17vs91Wake ForestCONFW 50–14+20.4—ESPN3
8Oct 24vs80VirginiaCONFW 26–13+8.3—ESPN3
9Oct 29@52PittsburghCONFW 26–19+13.0—ESPN
10Nov 7vs61DukeCONFW 66–31+27.3—ESPN2
11Nov 14vs55MiamiCONFW 59–21+29.4—ESPNU
12Nov 21@48Virginia TechCONFW 30–27+9.4—ESPN
13Nov 28@46NC StateCONFW 45–34+17.8—ABC
14Dec 5vs4ClemsonNEUTRALL 37–45+7.7—ABC
BowlsDec 29vs7BaylorNEUTRALL 38–49+1.5—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.6%11th46.2%104th
Rushing success rate52.7%5th50.4%119th
Passing success rate46.3%24th40.2%60th
Explosive run rate22.5%3rd14.1%56th
Explosive pass rate14.3%14th7.5%10th
Line yards / carry3.651st3.54126th
Opportunity rate45.3%7th43.5%119th
Stuff rate13.2%3rd12.2%127th
Sack rate4.4%37th5.6%66th
3rd-down conversion47.1%22nd45.8%103rd
Red-zone TD rate64.5%52nd58.0%50th
Havoc rate8.8%6th9.3%121st
Box score · season totals
Points / game40.717th24.937th
Yards / game486.918th——
Yards / play7.162nd——
Pass yards / game262.534th——
Yards / pass att.8.9810th——
Completion %63.8%20th——
Rush yards / game224.418th——
Yards / carry5.963rd——
3rd-down conv. %48.5%8th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.1413th——
Penalty yards / game46.436th——

Players

68 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)

68 players

Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →