
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs Alcorn State FCS | W 69–6 | +14.1 | — | ESPN3 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs 118Tulane | W 65–10 | +18.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 11Notre Dame | L 22–30 | +5.9 | — | NBC |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @ 61DukeCONF | L 20–34 | -9.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 19North CarolinaCONF | L 31–38 | +0.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @ 4ClemsonCONF | L 24–43 | -0.8 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 52PittsburghCONF | L 28–31 | -1.9 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 12Florida StateCONF | W 22–16 | +14.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 80VirginiaCONF | L 21–27 | -5.8 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 48Virginia TechCONF | L 21–23 | -0.6 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 21 | @ 55MiamiCONF | L 21–38 | -11.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 28 | vs 28Georgia | L 7–13 | -0.5 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.2% | 47th | 45.2% | 96th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.6% | 18th | 46.3% | 99th |
| Passing success rate | 33.3% | 116th | 44.0% | 97th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.4% | 35th | 14.1% | 56th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.1% | 33rd | 13.5% | 114th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.10 | 40th | 3.11 | 95th |
| Opportunity rate | 44.4% | 11th | 38.8% | 76th |
| Stuff rate | 18.8% | 64th | 19.0% | 69th |
| Sack rate | 7.0% | 94th | 4.2% | 103rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.0% | 102nd | 37.6% | 42nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 73.3% | 13th | 62.9% | 76th |
| Havoc rate | 12.9% | 76th | 8.7% | 125th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.8 | 73rd | 36.9 | 97th |
| Yards / game | 378.0 | 80th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.73 | 48th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 121.8 | 124th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.62 | 46th | — | — |
| Completion % | 42.2% | 128th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 256.2 | 8th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.27 | 15th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.9% | 108th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.33 | 25th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 27.4 | 2nd | — | — |
50 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Justin Thomas | QB | ||||
| 11 | Matthew Jordan | QB | ||||
| 16 | TaQuon Marshall | QB | ||||
| 18 | Tim Byerly | QB | ||||
| 1 | Qua Searcy | RB | ||||
| 3 | Isiah Willis | RB | ||||
| 4 | Brady Swilling | RB | ||||
| 22 | Broderick Snoddy | RB | ||||
| 24 | Marcus Allen | RB | ||||
| 27 | Lynn Darien Griffin | RB | ||||
| 29 | Austin McClellan | RB | ||||
| 34 | Marcus Marshall | RB | ||||
| 38 | Roberto Hinojosa | RB | ||||
| 39 | Ryan Braswell | RB | ||||
| 49 | Clinton Lynch | RB | ||||
| 7 | Patrick Skov | FB | ||||
| 2 | Ricky Jeune | WR | ||||
| 37 | Mikell Lands-Davis | WR | ||||
| 83 | Brad Stewart | WR | ||||
| 84 | Mike Summers Jr. | WR | ||||
| 86 | Antonio Messick | WR | ||||
| 72 | Eric Smith | OT | ||||
| 32 | Jabari Hunt-Days | DL | ||||
| 54 | Kyle Cerge-Henderson | DL | ||||
| 91 | Patrick Gamble | DL | ||||
| 92 | Francis Kallon | DL | ||||
| 93 | Antonio Simmons | DL | ||||
| 41 | Rod Rook-Chungong | DE | ||||
| 42 | KeShun Freeman | DE | ||||
| 94 | Anree Saint-Amour | DE | ||||
| 99 | Tyler Stargel | DE | ||||
| 96 | Adam Gotsis | DT | ||||
| 9 | Victor Alexander | LB | ||||
| 23 | Domonique Noble | LB | ||||
| 33 | Beau Hankins | LB | ||||
| 35 | Tyler Marcordes | LB | ||||
| 40 | P.J. Davis | LB | ||||
| 48 | Chase Alford | LB | ||||
| 51 | Brant Mitchell | LB | ||||
| 6 | Chris Milton | DB | ||||
| 12 | Demond Smith | DB | ||||
| 15 | A.J. Gray | DB | ||||
| 17 | Lance Austin | DB | ||||
| 20 | Lawrence Austin | DB | ||||
| 44 | Shaun Kagawa | DB | ||||
| 28 | D.J. White | CB | ||||
| 4 | Jamal Golden | S | ||||
| 14 | Corey Griffin | S | ||||
| 87 | Harrison Butker | PK | ||||
| 85 | Ryan Rodwell | P |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →