ACC · 2015 · Final

Virginia Cavaliers 2015

4-83-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#80
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-2.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.0
73rd in FBS
Defense
-1.3
74th in FBS
Schedule
+2.7
23rd toughest
Preseason
+1.2
rating going in

2015 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-2.3 now, +1.2 preseason · down 28 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#80

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5@29UCLAL 16–34-8.5—FOX
2Sep 12vs11Notre DameL 27–34+2.0—ABC
3Sep 19vsWilliam & Mary FCSW 35–29-17.5—ESPN3
4Sep 25vs26Boise StateL 14–56-24.4—ESPN
5—Bye
6Oct 10@52PittsburghCONFL 19–26-1.0—ESPN3
7Oct 17vs83SyracuseCONFW 44–38+0.2—ESPN3
8Oct 24@19North CarolinaCONFL 13–26-0.7—ESPN3
9Oct 31vs57Georgia TechCONFW 27–21+6.5—ESPN3
10Nov 7@55MiamiCONFL 21–27-0.6—ESPN3
11Nov 14@45LouisvilleCONFL 31–38+0.4—ESPN3
12Nov 21vs61DukeCONFW 42–34+7.5—ESPN3
13Nov 28vs48Virginia TechCONFL 20–23-1.6—ESPNU

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.3%82nd44.9%92nd
Rushing success rate40.1%100th47.6%106th
Passing success rate42.4%50th42.5%79th
Explosive run rate13.1%94th17.4%107th
Explosive pass rate9.0%94th12.5%102nd
Line yards / carry2.8295th2.9768th
Opportunity rate36.1%92nd40.5%95th
Stuff rate21.7%98th22.3%27th
Sack rate3.9%26th5.6%66th
3rd-down conversion45.8%27th38.9%57th
Red-zone TD rate54.8%104th55.8%38th
Havoc rate13.9%98th14.9%18th
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.667th64.7126th
Yards / game383.075th——
Yards / play5.3675th——
Pass yards / game238.351st——
Yards / pass att.6.9277th——
Completion %61.0%43rd——
Rush yards / game144.8100th——
Yards / carry4.1084th——
3rd-down conv. %41.6%44th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.7549th——
Penalty yards / game63.8102nd——

Players

49 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)

49 players

Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →