The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | @ 29UCLA | L 16–34 | -8.5 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs 11Notre Dame | L 27–34 | +2.0 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs William & Mary FCS | W 35–29 | -17.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 25 | vs 26Boise State | L 14–56 | -24.4 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 10 | @ 52PittsburghCONF | L 19–26 | -1.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 83SyracuseCONF | W 44–38 | +0.2 | — | ESPN3 |
| 8 | Oct 24 | @ 19North CarolinaCONF | L 13–26 | -0.7 | — | ESPN3 |
| 9 | Oct 31 | vs 57Georgia TechCONF | W 27–21 | +6.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @ 55MiamiCONF | L 21–27 | -0.6 | — | ESPN3 |
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 45LouisvilleCONF | L 31–38 | +0.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 61DukeCONF | W 42–34 | +7.5 | — | ESPN3 |
| 13 | Nov 28 | vs 48Virginia TechCONF | L 20–23 | -1.6 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.3% | 82nd | 44.9% | 92nd |
| Rushing success rate | 40.1% | 100th | 47.6% | 106th |
| Passing success rate | 42.4% | 50th | 42.5% | 79th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.1% | 94th | 17.4% | 107th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.0% | 94th | 12.5% | 102nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.82 | 95th | 2.97 | 68th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.1% | 92nd | 40.5% | 95th |
| Stuff rate | 21.7% | 98th | 22.3% | 27th |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 26th | 5.6% | 66th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.8% | 27th | 38.9% | 57th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 54.8% | 104th | 55.8% | 38th |
| Havoc rate | 13.9% | 98th | 14.9% | 18th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.6 | 67th | 64.7 | 126th |
| Yards / game | 383.0 | 75th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.36 | 75th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 238.3 | 51st | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.92 | 77th | — | — |
| Completion % | 61.0% | 43rd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 144.8 | 100th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.10 | 84th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.6% | 44th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.75 | 49th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 63.8 | 102nd | — | — |
49 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Connor Brewer | QB | ||||
| 15 | Matt Johns | QB | ||||
| 4 | Taquan Mizzell | RB | ||||
| 5 | Albert Reid | RB | ||||
| 10 | Jordan Ellis | RB | ||||
| 22 | Daniel Hamm | RB | ||||
| 30 | Andrew Weidinger | FB | ||||
| 41 | Connor Wingo-Reeves | FB | ||||
| 47 | Vincent Croce | FB | ||||
| 8 | T.J. Thorpe | WR | ||||
| 9 | Canaan Severin | WR | ||||
| 14 | Andre Levrone | WR | ||||
| 19 | Doni Dowling | WR | ||||
| 33 | Olamide Zaccheaus | WR | ||||
| 82 | David Eldridge | WR | ||||
| 85 | Keeon Johnson | WR | ||||
| 88 | Ryan Santoro | WR | ||||
| 16 | Brendan Marshall | TE | ||||
| 45 | Evan Butts | TE | ||||
| 86 | Charlie Hopkins | TE | ||||
| 67 | Jack English | OT | ||||
| 9 | Andrew Brown | DE | ||||
| 32 | Mike Moore | DE | ||||
| 34 | Kwontie Moore | DE | ||||
| 43 | Trent Corney | DE | ||||
| 59 | Mark Hall | DE | ||||
| 1 | Donte Wilkins | DT | ||||
| 55 | David Dean | DT | ||||
| 56 | Andre Miles-Redmond | DT | ||||
| 1 | Eric Gallon II | LB | ||||
| 17 | Malcolm Cook | LB | ||||
| 31 | Chris Peace | LB | ||||
| 40 | C.J. Stalker | LB | ||||
| 51 | Zach Bradshaw | LB | ||||
| 53 | Micah Kiser | LB | ||||
| 1 | Demetrious Nicholson | CB | ||||
| 5 | Tim Harris | CB | ||||
| 10 | Kirk Garner | CB | ||||
| 11 | Divante Walker | CB | ||||
| 21 | Juan Thornhill | CB | ||||
| 26 | Maurice Canady | CB | ||||
| 39 | Darious Latimore | CB | ||||
| 3 | Quin Blanding | S | ||||
| 28 | Wilfred Wahee | S | ||||
| 38 | Kelvin Rainey | S | ||||
| 14 | Ian Frye | PK | ||||
| 91 | Dylan Sims | PK | ||||
| 18 | Nicholas Conte | P | ||||
| 32 | James Coleman | P |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →