ACC · 2015 · Final

Duke Blue Devils 2015

8-54-4 in conference
Final TDC rank
#61
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+1.9
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.6
52nd in FBS
Defense
+0.3
61st in FBS
Schedule
-2.3
78th toughest
Preseason
+2.9
rating going in

2015 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+1.9 now, +2.9 preseason · down 23 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#61

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3@118TulaneW 37–7+14.4—CBSSN
2Sep 12vsNorth Carolina Central FCSW 55–0+11.3—ESPN3
3Sep 19vs59NorthwesternL 10–19-9.3—ESPN3
4Sep 26vs57Georgia TechCONFW 34–20+14.5—ESPN2
5Oct 3vs72Boston CollegeCONFW 9–7-1.0—ESPN3
6Oct 10@108ArmyW 44–3+21.5—CBSSN
7—Bye
8Oct 24@48Virginia TechCONFW 45–43+8.4—ESPNU
9Oct 31vs55MiamiCONFL 27–30-2.5—ESPNU
10Nov 7@19North CarolinaCONFL 31–66-15.6—ESPN2
11Nov 14vs52PittsburghCONFL 13–31-16.9—ESPNEWS
12Nov 21@80VirginiaCONFL 34–42-7.8—ESPN3
13Nov 28@91Wake ForestCONFW 27–21+3.1—ESPN3
BowlsDec 26vs76IndianaNEUTRALW 44–41+1.9—ABC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.7%78th40.6%50th
Rushing success rate43.6%65th41.2%49th
Passing success rate40.1%72nd39.8%53rd
Explosive run rate12.6%100th11.4%12th
Explosive pass rate6.1%123rd13.4%113th
Line yards / carry3.0846th2.7737th
Opportunity rate36.1%92nd34.1%21st
Stuff rate13.8%6th18.2%82nd
Sack rate3.2%15th3.4%118th
3rd-down conversion42.5%52nd40.4%64th
Red-zone TD rate50.0%113th66.7%90th
Havoc rate10.8%33rd11.3%90th
Box score · season totals
Points / game36.334th27.554th
Yards / game439.436th——
Yards / play5.4366th——
Pass yards / game246.545th——
Yards / pass att.6.29105th——
Completion %57.8%71st——
Rush yards / game192.937th——
Yards / carry4.7938th——
3rd-down conv. %43.3%32nd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3827th——
Penalty yards / game47.339th——

Players

56 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)

56 players

Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →