
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs 5Stanford | W 16–6 | +22.4 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs Eastern Illinois FCS | W 41–0 | +6.4 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 61Duke | W 19–10 | +13.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 109Ball State | W 24–19 | -8.3 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 68MinnesotaCONF | W 27–0 | +22.7 | — | BTN |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @ 8MichiganCONF | L 0–38 | -14.7 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 34IowaCONF | L 10–40 | -21.8 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 24 | @ 41NebraskaCONF | W 30–28 | +9.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 58Penn StateCONF | W 23–21 | +2.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 99PurdueCONF | W 21–14 | -3.3 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 21 | @ 24WisconsinCONF | W 13–7 | +17.0 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 28 | vs 77IllinoisCONFNEUTRAL | W 24–14 | +8.4 | — | ESPNU |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 9TennesseeNEUTRAL | L 6–45 | -17.6 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 35.0% | 118th | 36.0% | 11th |
| Rushing success rate | 36.2% | 118th | 39.7% | 39th |
| Passing success rate | 33.0% | 118th | 33.0% | 7th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.6% | 110th | 12.4% | 23rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.4% | 113th | 8.2% | 26th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.78 | 99th | 2.73 | 31st |
| Opportunity rate | 34.5% | 108th | 33.9% | 18th |
| Stuff rate | 20.5% | 88th | 19.8% | 53rd |
| Sack rate | 6.9% | 92nd | 5.7% | 62nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.4% | 32nd | 35.7% | 27th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 43.2% | 123rd | 60.7% | 67th |
| Havoc rate | 13.8% | 93rd | 13.2% | 49th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 21.2 | 119th | 33.4 | 79th |
| Yards / game | 327.1 | 116th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 4.33 | 121st | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 138.5 | 120th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 5.12 | 126th | — | — |
| Completion % | 49.4% | 118th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 188.5 | 42nd | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.08 | 85th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.7% | 58th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.23 | 72nd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 39.7 | 14th | — | — |
55 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Matt Alviti | QB | ||||
| 10 | Zack Oliver | QB | ||||
| 18 | Clayton Thorson | QB | ||||
| 12 | Auston Anderson | RB | ||||
| 21 | Justin Jackson | RB | ||||
| 36 | Corey Acker | RB | ||||
| 83 | Chad Hanaoka | RB | ||||
| 40 | Danny Vitale | FB | ||||
| 4 | Solomon Vault | WR | ||||
| 5 | Miles Shuler | WR | ||||
| 6 | Mike McHugh | WR | ||||
| 8 | Stephen Buckley | WR | ||||
| 11 | Pierre Youngblood-Ary | WR | ||||
| 14 | Christian Jones | WR | ||||
| 19 | Cameron Dickerson | WR | ||||
| 44 | James Prather | WR | ||||
| 80 | Austin Carr | WR | ||||
| 81 | Jelani Roberts | WR | ||||
| 82 | Andrew Scanlan | WR | ||||
| 86 | Flynn Nagel | WR | ||||
| 87 | Garrett Kidd | WR | ||||
| 9 | Garrett Dickerson | TE | ||||
| 1 | Max Chapman | DL | ||||
| 90 | Cameron Robbins | DL | ||||
| 93 | Greg Kuhar | DL | ||||
| 99 | Jordan Thompson | DL | ||||
| 7 | Ifeadi Odenigbo | DE | ||||
| 13 | Deonte Gibson | DE | ||||
| 56 | Xavier Washington | DE | ||||
| 94 | Dean Lowry | DE | ||||
| 1 | Tyler Lancaster | DT | ||||
| 13 | Warren Long | LB | ||||
| 18 | Anthony Walker Jr. | LB | ||||
| 31 | Tommy Vitale | LB | ||||
| 32 | Nate Hall | LB | ||||
| 35 | Tom Hruby | LB | ||||
| 42 | Joe Jones | LB | ||||
| 51 | Jaylen Prater | LB | ||||
| 53 | Cameron Queiro | LB | ||||
| 55 | Drew Smith | LB | ||||
| 9 | Jermiah Rainey | DB | ||||
| 17 | Marcus McShepard | DB | ||||
| 3 | Keith Watkins II | CB | ||||
| 23 | Nick VanHoose | CB | ||||
| 24 | Montre Hartage | CB | ||||
| 27 | Matthew Harris | CB | ||||
| 2 | Traveon Henry | S | ||||
| 6 | Tray Mitchell | S | ||||
| 16 | Godwin Igwebuike | S | ||||
| 21 | Kyle Queiro | S | ||||
| 26 | Terrance Brown | S | ||||
| 28 | Vince Speller | S | ||||
| 8 | Jack Mitchell | PK | ||||
| 38 | Arthur Omilian | PK | ||||
| 32 | Hunter Niswander | P |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →