The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs Illinois State FCS | W 31–14 | -6.5 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 89Iowa State | W 31–17 | +12.0 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 52Pittsburgh | W 27–24 | +4.1 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 128North Texas | W 62–16 | +9.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @ 24WisconsinCONF | W 10–6 | +15.0 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 10 | vs 77IllinoisCONF | W 29–20 | +4.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 59NorthwesternCONF | W 40–10 | +30.7 | — | ABC |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 31 | vs 87MarylandCONF | W 31–15 | +9.3 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 7 | @ 76IndianaCONF | W 35–27 | +9.3 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 68MinnesotaCONF | W 40–35 | +2.7 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 99PurdueCONF | W 40–20 | +9.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 27 | @ 41NebraskaCONF | W 28–20 | +15.9 | — | ABC |
| 14 | Dec 5 | vs 13Michigan StateNEUTRAL | L 13–16 | +8.2 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 5StanfordNEUTRAL | L 16–45 | -10.9 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.0% | 49th | 40.2% | 47th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.8% | 42nd | 42.3% | 60th |
| Passing success rate | 41.6% | 59th | 38.4% | 38th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.7% | 85th | 12.6% | 29th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.4% | 46th | 8.5% | 31st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.90 | 85th | 3.12 | 96th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.0% | 102nd | 34.5% | 25th |
| Stuff rate | 18.8% | 64th | 15.4% | 107th |
| Sack rate | 6.0% | 73rd | 5.7% | 62nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.4% | 42nd | 37.7% | 45th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.9% | 25th | 53.1% | 27th |
| Havoc rate | 11.4% | 48th | 9.4% | 120th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.9 | 64th | 20.4 | 11th |
| Yards / game | 386.1 | 72nd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.59 | 54th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 204.4 | 89th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.76 | 40th | — | — |
| Completion % | 61.5% | 41st | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 181.7 | 49th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.48 | 59th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.7% | 42nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.14 | 67th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.8 | 43rd | — | — |
54 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Tyler Wiegers | QB | ||||
| 16 | C.J. Beathard | QB | ||||
| 25 | Akrum Wadley | RB | ||||
| 26 | Marcel Joly | RB | ||||
| 29 | LeShun Daniels Jr. | RB | ||||
| 32 | Derrick Mitchell Jr. | RB | ||||
| 33 | Jordan Canzeri | RB | ||||
| 38 | Adam Cox | FB | ||||
| 42 | Macon Plewa | FB | ||||
| 45 | Drake Kulick | FB | ||||
| 4 | Tevaun Smith | WR | ||||
| 9 | Jerminic Smith | WR | ||||
| 17 | Jacob Hillyer | WR | ||||
| 20 | Andrew Stone | WR | ||||
| 83 | Riley McCarron | WR | ||||
| 89 | Matt VandeBerg | WR | ||||
| 46 | George Kittle | TE | ||||
| 80 | Henry Krieger-Coble | TE | ||||
| 20 | Jameer Outsey | DL | ||||
| 56 | Faith Ekakitie | DL | ||||
| 61 | Kyle Terlouw | DL | ||||
| 34 | Nate Meier | DE | ||||
| 40 | Parker Hesse | DE | ||||
| 49 | Melvin Spears | DE | ||||
| 95 | Drew Ott | DE | ||||
| 96 | Matt Nelson | DE | ||||
| 67 | Jaleel Johnson | DT | ||||
| 99 | Nathan Bazata | DT | ||||
| 26 | Kevin Ward | LB | ||||
| 29 | Nick Wilson | LB | ||||
| 31 | Aaron Mends | LB | ||||
| 32 | Alejandro Rivera | LB | ||||
| 36 | Cole Fisher | LB | ||||
| 39 | Travis Perry | LB | ||||
| 41 | Bo Bower | LB | ||||
| 43 | Josey Jewell | LB | ||||
| 44 | Ben Niemann | LB | ||||
| 7 | Sean Draper | DB | ||||
| 8 | Jamal Marshall | DB | ||||
| 12 | Anthony Gair | DB | ||||
| 13 | Greg Mabin | DB | ||||
| 19 | Miles Taylor | DB | ||||
| 30 | Jake Gervase | DB | ||||
| 10 | Jonathan Parker | CB | ||||
| 14 | Desmond King II | CB | ||||
| 15 | Josh Jackson | CB | ||||
| 24 | Maurice Fleming | CB | ||||
| 27 | Jordan Lomax | S | ||||
| 27 | Brandon Snyder | S | ||||
| 1 | Marshall Koehn | PK | ||||
| 91 | Miguel Recinos | PK | ||||
| 16 | Dillon Kidd | P | ||||
| 37 | Seth Combs | LS | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →