
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | @ 51Western Michigan | W 37–24 | +19.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs 25Oregon | W 31–28 | +9.2 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 60Air Force | W 35–21 | +13.7 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 74Central Michigan | W 30–10 | +17.1 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 99PurdueCONF | W 24–21 | -7.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @ 94RutgersCONF | W 31–24 | +3.9 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 17 | @ 8MichiganCONF | W 27–23 | +18.2 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 76IndianaCONF | W 52–26 | +21.1 | — | ABC |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 7 | @ 41NebraskaCONF | L 38–39 | +6.9 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 14 | vs 87MarylandCONF | W 24–7 | +10.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 21 | @ 2Ohio StateCONF | W 17–14 | +23.2 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 28 | vs 58Penn StateCONF | W 55–16 | +29.7 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Dec 5 | vs 34IowaNEUTRAL | W 16–13 | +9.7 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 1AlabamaNEUTRAL | L 0–38 | -8.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.6% | 66th | 40.9% | 54th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.8% | 73rd | 43.8% | 72nd |
| Passing success rate | 42.3% | 53rd | 38.5% | 39th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.8% | 107th | 14.2% | 62nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.1% | 33rd | 12.3% | 98th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.85 | 91st | 2.88 | 50th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.3% | 98th | 37.5% | 60th |
| Stuff rate | 18.1% | 48th | 21.4% | 38th |
| Sack rate | 4.8% | 40th | 7.3% | 21st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.7% | 13th | 36.7% | 35th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.3% | 34th | 61.5% | 69th |
| Havoc rate | 10.7% | 30th | 11.4% | 88th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.2 | 56th | 20.5 | 12th |
| Yards / game | 385.5 | 73rd | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.33 | 77th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 234.2 | 55th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.45 | 52nd | — | — |
| Completion % | 55.5% | 90th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 151.3 | 94th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.84 | 102nd | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 48.3% | 10th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.50 | 38th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 42.9 | 24th | — | — |
42 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Damion Terry | QB | ||||
| 7 | Tyler O'Connor | QB | ||||
| 18 | Connor Cook | QB | ||||
| 3 | LJ Scott | RB | ||||
| 22 | Delton Williams | RB | ||||
| 24 | Gerald Holmes | RB | ||||
| 28 | Madre London | RB | ||||
| 35 | Phillip-Michael Williams | RB | ||||
| 37 | Trevon Pendleton | FB | ||||
| 5 | DeAnthony Arnett | WR | ||||
| 12 | R.J. Shelton | WR | ||||
| 16 | Aaron Burbridge | WR | ||||
| 19 | Aj Troup | WR | ||||
| 84 | Felton Davis III | WR | ||||
| 85 | Macgarrett Kings Jr. | WR | ||||
| 86 | Matt Macksood | WR | ||||
| 88 | Monty Madaris | WR | ||||
| 11 | Jamal Lyles | TE | ||||
| 82 | Josiah Price | TE | ||||
| 83 | Paul Lang | TE | ||||
| 66 | Jack Allen | C | ||||
| 93 | Damon Knox | DL | ||||
| 8 | Lawrence Thomas | DE | ||||
| 89 | Shilique Calhoun | DE | ||||
| 98 | Demetrius Cooper | DE | ||||
| 4 | Malik McDowell | DT | ||||
| 92 | Joel Heath | DT | ||||
| 99 | Craig Evans | DT | ||||
| 23 | Chris Frey | LB | ||||
| 28 | Jon Reschke | LB | ||||
| 30 | Riley Bullough | LB | ||||
| 44 | Grayson Miller | LB | ||||
| 45 | Darien Harris | LB | ||||
| 13 | Vayante Copeland | CB | ||||
| 36 | Arjen Colquhoun | CB | ||||
| 39 | Jermaine Edmondson | CB | ||||
| 7 | Demetrious Cox | S | ||||
| 9 | Montae Nicholson | S | ||||
| 26 | RJ Williamson | S | ||||
| 4 | Michael Geiger | PK | ||||
| 25 | Jake Hartbarger | P | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →