Final TDC rank
#28
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
+7.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.9
34th in FBS
Defense
+4.5
30th in FBS
Schedule
+1.5
38th toughest
Preseason
+10.1
rating going in
2018 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+7.5 now, +10.1 preseason · down 24 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 111Western Kentucky | W 34–3 | +13.0 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs 109New Mexico | W 45–14 | +13.9 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs 57BYU | L 21–24 | -3.5 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 22 | @ 13IowaCONF | W 28–17 | +24.6 | — | FOX |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 6 | vs 63NebraskaCONF | W 41–24 | +15.6 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 13 | @ 7MichiganCONF | L 13–38 | -8.0 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 20 | vs 104IllinoisCONF | W 49–20 | +14.3 | — | FS1 |
| 9 | Oct 27 | @ 40NorthwesternCONF | L 17–31 | -6.9 | — | FOX |
| 10 | Nov 3 | vs 110RutgersCONF | W 31–17 | +0.9 | — | BTN |
| 11 | Nov 10 | @ 9Penn StateCONF | L 10–22 | +2.8 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 17 | @ 37PurdueCONF | W 47–44 | +10.6 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 48MinnesotaCONF | L 15–37 | -21.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 29MiamiNEUTRAL | W 35–3 | +33.3 | — | ESPN |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 51.6% | 6th | 41.3% | 54th |
| Rushing success rate | 58.2% | 2nd | 43.8% | 65th |
| Passing success rate | 40.8% | 77th | 38.7% | 40th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.6% | 14th | 13.2% | 43rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.9% | 106th | 9.8% | 47th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.86 | 1st | 2.85 | 40th |
| Opportunity rate | 52.4% | 1st | 39.3% | 86th |
| Stuff rate | 11.6% | 2nd | 19.0% | 60th |
| Sack rate | 7.6% | 98th | 5.1% | 82nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.4% | 43rd | 37.7% | 42nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.1% | 40th | 50.0% | 11th |
| Havoc rate | 10.3% | 22nd | 14.9% | 19th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.7 | 77th | 23.1 | 31st |
| Yards / game | 431.1 | 36th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.23 | 16th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 157.7 | 119th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.74 | 100th | — | — |
| Completion % | 58.9% | 72nd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 273.4 | 6th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 6.22 | 4th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.3% | 49th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 44th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.5 | 57th | — | — |
Players
55 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
55 players
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Alex Hornibrook | QB | ||||
| 15 | Danny Vanden Boom | QB | ||||
| 17 | Jack Coan | QB | ||||
| 5 | Chris James | RB | ||||
| 23 | Jonathan Taylor | RB | ||||
| 28 | Taiwan Deal | RB | ||||
| 37 | Garrett Groshek | RB | ||||
| 34 | Mason Stokke | FB | ||||
| 45 | Alec Ingold | FB | ||||
| 1 | Aron Cruickshank | WR | ||||
| 3 | Kendric Pryor | WR | ||||
| 4 | A.J. Taylor | WR | ||||
| 6 | Danny Davis | WR | ||||
| 16 | Jack Dunn | WR | ||||
| 24 | Adam Krumholz | WR | ||||
| 81 | Tajudeen Mustapha | WR | ||||
| 49 | Kyle Penniston | TE | ||||
| 84 | Jake Ferguson | TE | ||||
| 84 | Seth Currens | TE | ||||
| 85 | Zander Neuville | TE | ||||
| 53 | Kendrick Green | OL | ||||
| 71 | Cole Van Lanen | OL | ||||
| 76 | Kayden Lyles | OL | ||||
| 64 | Kyle Stapley | C | ||||
| 52 | David Pfaff | DE | ||||
| 92 | Matt Henningsen | DT | ||||
| 99 | Olive Sagapolu | DT | ||||
| 91 | Bryson Williams | NT | ||||
| 41 | Noah Burks | LB | ||||
| 43 | Ryan Connelly | LB | ||||
| 47 | Griffin Grady | LB | ||||
| 49 | Christian Bell | LB | ||||
| 53 | T.J. Edwards | LB | ||||
| 54 | Chris Orr | LB | ||||
| 56 | Zack Baun | LB | ||||
| 57 | Jack Sanborn | LB | ||||
| 12 | Donte Burton | DB | ||||
| 21 | Reggie Pearson | DB | ||||
| 31 | Madison Cone | DB | ||||
| 5 | Rachad Wildgoose | CB | ||||
| 5 | Deron Harrell | CB | ||||
| 11 | Alexander Smith | CB | ||||
| 20 | Faion Hicks | CB | ||||
| 21 | Caesar Dancy-Williams | CB | ||||
| 9 | Scott Nelson | S | ||||
| 13 | Evan Bondoc | S | ||||
| 14 | D'Cota Dixon | S | ||||
| 25 | Eric Burrell | S | ||||
| 26 | Travian Blaylock | S | ||||
| 27 | Rafael Gaglianone | PK | ||||
| 39 | Zach Hintze | PK | ||||
| 15 | Anthony Lotti | P | ||||
| 90 | Connor Allen | P | ||||
| 50 | Jackson Subbert | LS | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →