The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 40NorthwesternCONF | L 27–31 | -1.8 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs 75Eastern Michigan | L 19–20 | -3.9 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs 15Missouri | L 37–40 | +4.6 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 22 | vs 41Boston College | W 30–13 | +18.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 63NebraskaCONF | W 42–28 | +17.5 | — | BTN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 13 | @ 104IllinoisCONF | W 46–7 | +22.8 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 20 | vs 5Ohio StateCONF | W 49–20 | +38.1 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 27 | @ 39Michigan StateCONF | L 13–23 | -2.8 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 3 | vs 13IowaCONF | W 38–36 | +10.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 10 | @ 48MinnesotaCONF | L 10–41 | -20.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs 28WisconsinCONF | L 44–47 | +2.0 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 68IndianaCONF | W 28–21 | +9.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 17AuburnNEUTRAL | L 14–63 | -22.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.8% | 57th | 46.3% | 104th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.9% | 77th | 46.8% | 103rd |
| Passing success rate | 43.7% | 44th | 45.8% | 107th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.5% | 58th | 14.2% | 54th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.0% | 86th | 11.2% | 82nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.79 | 100th | 3.21 | 107th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.3% | 98th | 40.5% | 99th |
| Stuff rate | 20.1% | 90th | 14.9% | 117th |
| Sack rate | 5.3% | 46th | 4.5% | 112th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.3% | 68th | 37.3% | 38th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.1% | 96th | 57.4% | 36th |
| Havoc rate | 11.8% | 44th | 9.4% | 124th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.7 | 68th | 30.0 | 65th |
| Yards / game | 443.9 | 29th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.15 | 20th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 307.5 | 11th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.86 | 39th | — | — |
| Completion % | 65.4% | 16th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 136.4 | 105th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.43 | 61st | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.5% | 70th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.31 | 74th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 64.4 | 101st | — | — |
52 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Elijah Sindelar | QB | ||||
| 11 | David Blough | QB | ||||
| 17 | Nick Sipe | QB | ||||
| 1 | D.J. Knox | RB | ||||
| 8 | Markell Jones | RB | ||||
| 25 | Tario Fuller | RB | ||||
| 40 | Zander Horvath | FB | ||||
| 4 | Rondale Moore | WR | ||||
| 7 | Isaac Zico | WR | ||||
| 9 | Terry Wright | WR | ||||
| 12 | Jared Sparks | WR | ||||
| 33 | Jackson Anthrop | WR | ||||
| 80 | Jarrett Burgess | WR | ||||
| 83 | Malcolm Dotson | WR | ||||
| 81 | Darius Pittman | TE | ||||
| 84 | Jess Trussell | TE | ||||
| 88 | Cole Herdman | TE | ||||
| 89 | Brycen Hopkins | TE | ||||
| 63 | Alex Palczewski | OT | ||||
| 57 | Jeff Marks | DL | ||||
| 92 | Giovanni Reviere | DL | ||||
| 37 | Robert McWilliams | DE | ||||
| 98 | Kai Higgins | DE | ||||
| 9 | Lorenzo Neal Jr. | DT | ||||
| 50 | Keiwan Jones | DT | ||||
| 96 | Ray Ellis | DT | ||||
| 21 | Markus Bailey | LB | ||||
| 30 | Tobias Larry | LB | ||||
| 36 | Jaylan Alexander | LB | ||||
| 46 | Cornel Jones | LB | ||||
| 55 | Derrick Barnes | LB | ||||
| 97 | Semisi Fakasiieiki | LB | ||||
| 1 | Dedrick Mackey | CB | ||||
| 3 | Kamal Hardy | CB | ||||
| 5 | Marcus Williamson | CB | ||||
| 14 | Antonio Blackmon | CB | ||||
| 20 | Kenneth Major | CB | ||||
| 24 | Tim Cason | CB | ||||
| 28 | Jacob Abrams | CB | ||||
| 27 | Navon Mosley | S | ||||
| 38 | Brennan Thieneman | S | ||||
| 39 | Elijah Ball | S | ||||
| 40 | Ronnie Hill | S | ||||
| 41 | Jacob Thieneman | S | ||||
| 13 | Spencer Evans | PK | ||||
| 85 | J.D. Dellinger | PK | ||||
| 31 | Joe Schopper | P | ||||
| 47 | Ben Makowski | LS | ||||
| 48 | Ryan Sadkowski | LS | ||||
| 29 | Simeon Smiley | DEF | ||||
| 44 | Anthony Watts | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →