Big Ten · 2018 · Final

Illinois Fighting Illini 2018

4-82-7 in conference
Final TDC rank
#104
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-9.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.8
85th in FBS
Defense
-7.1
113th in FBS
Schedule
-0.4
58th toughest
Preseason
-5.9
rating going in

2018 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-9.0 now, -5.9 preseason · up 8 spots since preseason
-10-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#104

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1vs124Kent StateW 31–24-9.0—BTN
2Sep 8vsWestern Illinois FCSW 34–14-3.8—BTN
3Sep 15vs97South FloridaNEUTRALL 19–25-12.0—BTN
4Sep 21vs9Penn StateCONFL 24–63-19.4—FS1
5—Bye
6Oct 6@110RutgersCONFW 38–17+12.8—BTN
7Oct 13vs37PurdueCONFL 7–46-26.5—FS1
8Oct 20@28WisconsinCONFL 20–49-15.8—FS1
9Oct 27@61MarylandCONFL 33–63-22.4—BTN
10Nov 3vs48MinnesotaCONFW 55–31+24.7—BTN
11Nov 10@63NebraskaCONFL 35–54-15.5—BTN
12Nov 17vs13IowaCONFL 0–63-29.0—BTN
13Nov 24@40NorthwesternCONFL 16–24-0.9—BTN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate43.6%60th50.5%126th
Rushing success rate49.6%18th53.5%124th
Passing success rate35.5%110th47.2%117th
Explosive run rate19.5%15th21.6%128th
Explosive pass rate8.9%106th12.9%107th
Line yards / carry3.3219th3.64128th
Opportunity rate48.6%6th48.1%125th
Stuff rate18.4%56th13.9%125th
Sack rate6.6%74th4.0%117th
3rd-down conversion37.3%104th42.6%90th
Red-zone TD rate54.5%114th70.7%100th
Havoc rate15.0%102nd11.2%114th
Box score · season totals
Points / game29.478th37.5105th
Yards / game408.763rd——
Yards / play5.7852nd——
Pass yards / game165.7115th——
Yards / pass att.6.04119th——
Completion %53.8%110th——
Rush yards / game243.012th——
Yards / carry5.926th——
3rd-down conv. %34.5%112th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.2568th——
Penalty yards / game64.4102nd——

Players

70 players who recorded a stat in 2018 (from box scores)

70 players

Final ratings for 2018, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2018 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2018 power rankings →