
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 50UCFNEUTRAL | W 26–24 | +4.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 96Akron | W 21–3 | +8.4 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 13 | @ 65RutgersCONF | W 13–10 | +5.0 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 114Massachusetts | W 48–7 | +16.5 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 74NorthwesternCONF | L 6–29 | -26.9 | — | BTN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 11 | @ 61MichiganCONF | L 13–18 | -2.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 2Ohio StateCONF | L 24–31 | +9.6 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 62MarylandCONF | L 19–20 | -3.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 86IndianaCONF | W 13–7 | +3.3 | — | BTN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | vs 70Temple | W 30–13 | +13.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 84IllinoisCONF | L 14–16 | -4.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 7Michigan StateCONF | L 10–34 | -11.9 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 43Boston CollegeNEUTRAL | W 31–30 | +5.3 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.1% | 112th | 36.3% | 11th |
| Rushing success rate | 36.4% | 122nd | 37.3% | 14th |
| Passing success rate | 39.2% | 81st | 35.3% | 16th |
| Explosive run rate | 8.4% | 126th | 12.2% | 24th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.5% | 114th | 6.4% | 3rd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.29 | 125th | 2.47 | 9th |
| Opportunity rate | 29.9% | 125th | 31.6% | 9th |
| Stuff rate | 25.8% | 124th | 26.2% | 4th |
| Sack rate | 8.3% | 118th | 6.9% | 32nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.3% | 90th | 32.0% | 3rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 38.9% | 127th | 48.6% | 16th |
| Havoc rate | 13.3% | 93rd | 13.4% | 34th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.0 | 114th | 18.5 | 3rd |
| Yards / game | 335.3 | 114th | 269.6 | 2nd |
| Yards / play | 4.39 | 121st | 3.97 | 2nd |
| Pass yards / game | 233.4 | 62nd | 168.3 | 12th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.11 | 110th | 5.75 | 7th |
| Completion % | 55.5% | 88th | 52.9% | 13th |
| Rush yards / game | 101.9 | 120th | 84.6 | 1st |
| Yards / carry | 2.94 | 125th | 2.55 | 1st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.5% | 74th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.38 | 122nd | 2.50 | 36th |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.1 | 42nd | — | — |
41 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Christian Hackenberg | QB | ||||
| 17 | D.J. Crook | QB | ||||
| 1 | Bill Belton | RB | ||||
| 22 | Akeel Lynch | RB | ||||
| 28 | Zach Zwinak | RB | ||||
| 33 | Cole Chiappialle | RB | ||||
| 5 | Geno Lewis | WR | ||||
| 5 | DaeSean Hamilton | WR | ||||
| 12 | Chris Godwin Jr. | WR | ||||
| 13 | Saeed Blacknall | WR | ||||
| 82 | Gregg Garrity | WR | ||||
| 11 | Brent Wilkerson | TE | ||||
| 18 | Jesse James | TE | ||||
| 87 | Kyle Carter | TE | ||||
| 88 | Mike Gesicki | TE | ||||
| 18 | Deion Barnes | DE | ||||
| 31 | Brad Bars | DE | ||||
| 86 | C.J. Olaniyan | DE | ||||
| 90 | Garrett Sickels | DE | ||||
| 95 | Carl Nassib | DE | ||||
| 98 | Anthony Zettel | DE | ||||
| 41 | Parker Cothren | DT | ||||
| 88 | Tyrone Smith | DT | ||||
| 91 | Tarow Barney | DT | ||||
| 99 | Austin Johnson | DT | ||||
| 5 | Nyeem Wartman-White | LB | ||||
| 25 | Von Walker | LB | ||||
| 26 | Brandon Bell | LB | ||||
| 43 | Mike Hull | LB | ||||
| 1 | Chris Campbell | CB | ||||
| 10 | Trevor Williams | CB | ||||
| 15 | Grant Haley | CB | ||||
| 2 | Marcus Allen | S | ||||
| 4 | Adrian Amos | S | ||||
| 9 | Jordan Lucas | S | ||||
| 23 | Ryan Keiser | S | ||||
| 39 | Jesse Della Valle | S | ||||
| 37 | Chris Gulla | PK | ||||
| 97 | Sam Ficken | PK | ||||
| 92 | Daniel Pasquariello | P | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →