Big Ten · 2014 · Final

Penn State Nittany Lions 2014

7-62-6 in conference
Final TDC rank
#57
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+1.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-5.7
102nd in FBS
Defense
+7.0
10th in FBS
Schedule
+0.8
51st toughest
Preseason
+0.8
rating going in

2014 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+1.3 now, +0.8 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#57

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30vs50UCFNEUTRALW 26–24+4.8—ESPN2
2Sep 6vs96AkronW 21–3+8.4—ABC
3Sep 13@65RutgersCONFW 13–10+5.0—BTN
4Sep 20vs114MassachusettsW 48–7+16.5—BTN
5Sep 27vs74NorthwesternCONFL 6–29-26.9—BTN
6—Bye
7Oct 11@61MichiganCONFL 13–18-2.1—ESPN2
8—Bye
9Oct 25vs2Ohio StateCONFL 24–31+9.6—ABC
10Nov 1vs62MarylandCONFL 19–20-3.2—ESPN2
11Nov 8@86IndianaCONFW 13–7+3.3—BTN
12Nov 15vs70TempleW 30–13+13.5—ESPN2
13Nov 22@84IllinoisCONFL 14–16-4.6—ESPN2
14Nov 29vs7Michigan StateCONFL 10–34-11.9—ABC
BowlsDec 27vs43Boston CollegeNEUTRALW 31–30+5.3—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate38.1%112th36.3%11th
Rushing success rate36.4%122nd37.3%14th
Passing success rate39.2%81st35.3%16th
Explosive run rate8.4%126th12.2%24th
Explosive pass rate7.5%114th6.4%3rd
Line yards / carry2.29125th2.479th
Opportunity rate29.9%125th31.6%9th
Stuff rate25.8%124th26.2%4th
Sack rate8.3%118th6.9%32nd
3rd-down conversion39.3%90th32.0%3rd
Red-zone TD rate38.9%127th48.6%16th
Havoc rate13.3%93rd13.4%34th
Box score · season totals
Points / game20.0114th18.53rd
Yards / game335.3114th269.62nd
Yards / play4.39121st3.972nd
Pass yards / game233.462nd168.312th
Yards / pass att.6.11110th5.757th
Completion %55.5%88th52.9%13th
Rush yards / game101.9120th84.61st
Yards / carry2.94125th2.551st
3rd-down conv. %39.5%74th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)3.38122nd2.5036th
Penalty yards / game46.142nd——

Players

41 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)

41 players

Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →