Big Ten · 2014 · Final

Northwestern Wildcats 2014

5-73-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#74
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
-1.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-3.8
91st in FBS
Defense
+2.3
46th in FBS
Schedule
-0.1
61st toughest
Preseason
-0.5
rating going in

2014 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-1.5 now, -0.5 preseason · up 1 spot since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#74

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30vs69CaliforniaL 24–31-10.3—ABC
2Sep 6vs63Northern IllinoisL 15–23-10.4—BTN
3—Bye
4Sep 20vsWestern Illinois FCSW 24–7-4.1—ESPNEWS
5Sep 27@57Penn StateCONFW 29–6+26.6—BTN
6Oct 4vs19WisconsinCONFW 20–14+14.2—ESPN2
7Oct 11@44MinnesotaCONFL 17–24-0.5—BTN
8Oct 18vs29NebraskaCONFL 17–38-15.3—BTN
9—Bye
10Nov 1@59IowaCONFL 7–48-26.7—BTN
11Nov 8vs61MichiganCONFL 9–10-2.9—ESPN2
12Nov 15@34Notre DameW 43–40+11.4—NBC
13Nov 22@101PurdueCONFW 38–14+18.5—ESPNU
14Nov 29vs84IllinoisCONFL 33–47-21.4—ESPNU

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate39.6%101st41.0%50th
Rushing success rate39.5%112th42.7%50th
Passing success rate39.6%76th39.1%50th
Explosive run rate11.6%111th13.2%41st
Explosive pass rate5.5%127th9.8%67th
Line yards / carry2.8094th2.8033rd
Opportunity rate31.9%119th36.3%37th
Stuff rate18.3%60th17.9%80th
Sack rate6.6%85th4.1%106th
3rd-down conversion41.5%71st40.0%51st
Red-zone TD rate61.5%70th58.1%45th
Havoc rate11.2%49th10.2%107th
Box score · season totals
Points / game22.0103rd25.246th
Yards / game353.1107th384.357th
Yards / play4.35122nd5.1551st
Pass yards / game216.578th205.248th
Yards / pass att.5.71121st6.4832nd
Completion %57.4%75th55.4%35th
Rush yards / game136.6103rd169.973rd
Yards / carry3.37114th4.2464th
3rd-down conv. %39.6%73rd——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.83104th1.42107th
Penalty yards / game43.537th——

Players

51 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)

51 players

Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →