The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 88Appalachian State | W 52–14 | +21.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 34Notre Dame | L 0–31 | -18.0 | — | NBC |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 120Miami (OH) | W 34–10 | +8.4 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 20 | vs 30Utah | L 10–26 | -11.4 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 44MinnesotaCONF | L 14–30 | -14.3 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 65RutgersCONF | L 24–26 | 0.0 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 57Penn StateCONF | W 18–13 | +3.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 7Michigan StateCONF | L 11–35 | -7.2 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 86IndianaCONF | W 34–10 | +16.5 | — | BTN |
| 11 | Nov 8 | @ 74NorthwesternCONF | W 10–9 | +1.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 62MarylandCONF | L 16–23 | -9.2 | — | BTN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 2Ohio StateCONF | L 28–42 | +7.4 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.1% | 72nd | 40.3% | 41st |
| Rushing success rate | 44.8% | 57th | 38.6% | 20th |
| Passing success rate | 39.1% | 83rd | 41.9% | 78th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.0% | 15th | 10.5% | 5th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.6% | 89th | 9.3% | 48th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.14 | 47th | 2.62 | 14th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.8% | 44th | 31.2% | 7th |
| Stuff rate | 18.1% | 56th | 23.9% | 11th |
| Sack rate | 7.1% | 95th | 8.2% | 14th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.6% | 78th | 38.0% | 34th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.5% | 46th | 55.9% | 33rd |
| Havoc rate | 13.2% | 90th | 12.4% | 57th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 22.0 | 103rd | 21.6 | 18th |
| Yards / game | 333.0 | 115th | 311.3 | 10th |
| Yards / play | 5.14 | 92nd | 4.60 | 18th |
| Pass yards / game | 170.2 | 112th | 173.0 | 19th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.26 | 103rd | 6.78 | 49th |
| Completion % | 58.0% | 69th | 59.8% | 82nd |
| Rush yards / game | 162.8 | 64th | 117.7 | 15th |
| Yards / carry | 4.60 | 49th | 3.21 | 11th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.1% | 78th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.25 | 83rd | 2.42 | 40th |
| Penalty yards / game | 31.8 | 3rd | — | — |
48 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Russell Bellomy | QB | ||||
| 11 | Shane Morris | QB | ||||
| 98 | Devin Gardner | QB | ||||
| 4 | De'Veon Smith | RB | ||||
| 7 | Justice Hayes | RB | ||||
| 20 | Drake Johnson | RB | ||||
| 27 | Derrick Green | RB | ||||
| 36 | Joe Kerridge | FB | ||||
| 39 | Sione Houma | FB | ||||
| 80 | Khalid Hill | FB | ||||
| 3 | Bo Dever | WR | ||||
| 8 | Freddy Canteen | WR | ||||
| 10 | Da'Mario Jones | WR | ||||
| 19 | Devin Funchess | WR | ||||
| 23 | Dennis Norfleet | WR | ||||
| 82 | Amara Darboh | WR | ||||
| 86 | Jehu Chesson | WR | ||||
| 81 | Keith Heitzman | TE | ||||
| 84 | A.J. Williams | TE | ||||
| 88 | Jake Butt | TE | ||||
| 9 | Ondre Pipkins | DL | ||||
| 90 | Bryan Mone | DL | ||||
| 91 | Wyatt Shallman | DL | ||||
| 33 | Taco Charlton | DE | ||||
| 53 | Mario Ojemudia | DE | ||||
| 57 | Frank Clark | DE | ||||
| 97 | Brennen Beyer | DE | ||||
| 43 | Chris Wormley | DT | ||||
| 69 | Willie Henry | DT | ||||
| 96 | Ryan Glasgow | DT | ||||
| 99 | Matthew Godin | DT | ||||
| 9 | Mike McCray | LB | ||||
| 15 | James Ross | LB | ||||
| 35 | Joe Bolden | LB | ||||
| 42 | Ben Gedeon | LB | ||||
| 47 | Jake Ryan | LB | ||||
| 6 | Raymon Taylor | DB | ||||
| 24 | Delonte Hollowell | DB | ||||
| 8 | Channing Stribling | CB | ||||
| 24 | Blake Countess | CB | ||||
| 26 | Jourdan Lewis | CB | ||||
| 34 | Jeremy Clark | CB | ||||
| 5 | Jabrill Peppers | S | ||||
| 22 | Jarrod Wilson | S | ||||
| 25 | Dymonte Thomas | S | ||||
| 44 | Lano Hill | S | ||||
| 45 | Matt Wile | PK | ||||
| 40 | Will Hagerup | P |
Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →