Final TDC rank
#30
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+7.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+2.6
43rd in FBS
Defense
+4.4
27th in FBS
Schedule
+3.2
23rd toughest
Preseason
+2.0
rating going in
2014 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+7.0 now, +2.0 preseason · up 21 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 28 | vs Idaho State FCS | W 56–14 | +9.2 | — | PACN |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 85Fresno State | W 59–27 | +19.4 | — | PACN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 61Michigan | W 26–10 | +18.9 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 80Washington StateCONF | L 27–28 | -6.1 | — | PACN |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 18UCLACONF | W 30–28 | +15.1 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 16 | @ 79Oregon StateCONF | W 29–23 | +5.8 | — | PACN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 15USCCONF | W 24–21 | +12.0 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 21Arizona StateCONF | L 16–19 | +9.5 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 8 | vs 1OregonCONF | L 27–51 | -6.7 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 16StanfordCONF | W 20–17 | +16.7 | — | PACN |
| 13 | Nov 22 | vs 27ArizonaCONF | L 10–42 | -20.5 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 90ColoradoCONF | W 38–34 | +1.2 | — | PACN |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | vs 46Colorado StateNEUTRAL | W 45–10 | +31.4 | — | ABC |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.2% | 97th | 39.2% | 26th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.0% | 101st | 44.3% | 65th |
| Passing success rate | 39.2% | 81st | 34.7% | 11th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.1% | 91st | 15.9% | 85th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.7% | 86th | 9.7% | 61st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.11 | 52nd | 3.07 | 76th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.4% | 71st | 41.0% | 92nd |
| Stuff rate | 17.2% | 43rd | 18.2% | 72nd |
| Sack rate | 7.7% | 107th | 10.7% | 1st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.4% | 72nd | 37.6% | 29th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.1% | 75th | 67.7% | 95th |
| Havoc rate | 12.2% | 73rd | 13.5% | 27th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.0 | 47th | 24.9 | 41st |
| Yards / game | 388.1 | 79th | 403.1 | 74th |
| Yards / play | 5.18 | 89th | 5.06 | 40th |
| Pass yards / game | 197.7 | 95th | 219.8 | 77th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.80 | 79th | 7.08 | 72nd |
| Completion % | 60.6% | 46th | 59.3% | 77th |
| Rush yards / game | 190.4 | 41st | 158.1 | 56th |
| Yards / carry | 4.38 | 59th | 3.89 | 41st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.8% | 63rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.38 | 88th | 4.33 | 1st |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.0 | 73rd | — | — |
Players
56 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)
56 players
Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →