Big Ten · 2014 · Final

Michigan State Spartans 2014

11-27-1 in conference
Final TDC rank
#7
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+14.5
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+8.3
13th in FBS
Defense
+6.1
16th in FBS
Schedule
+0.2
57th toughest
Preseason
+6.5
rating going in

2014 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+14.5 now, +6.5 preseason · up 9 spots since preseason
0+5+10+15FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#7

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29vsJacksonville State FCSW 45–7+7.8—BTN
2Sep 6@1OregonL 27–46+3.1—FOX
3—Bye
4Sep 20vs128Eastern MichiganW 73–14+13.2—BTN
5Sep 27vs106WyomingW 56–14+19.2—ESPN2
6Oct 4vs29NebraskaCONFW 27–22+10.7—ABC
7Oct 11@101PurdueCONFW 45–31+8.5—ABC
8Oct 18@86IndianaCONFW 56–17+26.5—ESPN
9Oct 25vs61MichiganCONFW 35–11+22.1—ABC
10—Bye
11Nov 8vs2Ohio StateCONFL 37–49+4.6—ABC
12Nov 15@62MarylandCONFW 37–15+24.6—BTN
13Nov 22vs65RutgersCONFW 45–3+27.5—BTN
14Nov 29@57Penn StateCONFW 34–10+27.6—ABC
BowlsJan 1vs6BaylorNEUTRALW 42–41+16.0—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate49.3%12th34.3%4th
Rushing success rate49.3%23rd34.6%6th
Passing success rate49.3%7th34.0%6th
Explosive run rate13.8%77th13.2%41st
Explosive pass rate12.1%31st8.8%34th
Line yards / carry3.1838th2.447th
Opportunity rate39.7%59th28.4%1st
Stuff rate14.9%20th20.2%43rd
Sack rate2.9%5th8.6%10th
3rd-down conversion53.2%3rd31.3%2nd
Red-zone TD rate78.2%7th70.8%111th
Havoc rate8.1%5th13.2%40th
Box score · season totals
Points / game43.07th21.719th
Yards / game500.811th293.57th
Yards / play6.4817th4.5713th
Pass yards / game265.636th173.620th
Yards / pass att.8.6312th6.0014th
Completion %59.0%60th50.3%5th
Rush yards / game235.221st97.56th
Yards / carry5.1527th3.4321st
3rd-down conv. %49.7%7th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)0.855th3.0811th
Penalty yards / game58.088th——

Players

51 players who recorded a stat in 2014 (from box scores)

51 players

Final ratings for 2014, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2014 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2014 power rankings →