
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 36West Virginia | W 38–15 | +25.0 | — | NBC |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Delaware FCS | W 63–7 | +12.0 | — | Peacock |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 75IllinoisCONF | W 30–13 | +17.7 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 51IowaCONF | W 31–0 | +26.6 | — | CBS |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 70NorthwesternCONF | W 41–13 | +26.6 | — | BTN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 128Massachusetts | W 63–0 | +21.9 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 4Ohio StateCONF | L 12–20 | +12.1 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 92IndianaCONF | W 33–24 | +2.0 | — | CBS |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 29MarylandCONF | W 51–15 | +37.1 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 1MichiganCONF | L 15–24 | +10.6 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 57RutgersCONF | W 27–6 | +19.7 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 95Michigan StateCONF | W 42–0 | +27.7 | — | NBC |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 15Ole MissNEUTRAL | L 25–38 | -2.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.8% | 25th | 33.1% | 1st |
| Rushing success rate | 49.0% | 22nd | 31.8% | 3rd |
| Passing success rate | 44.5% | 36th | 34.4% | 7th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.4% | 98th | 8.8% | 4th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.6% | 118th | 9.7% | 51st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.36 | 35th | 2.24 | 2nd |
| Opportunity rate | 40.6% | 47th | 30.1% | 4th |
| Stuff rate | 10.9% | 3rd | 25.0% | 3rd |
| Sack rate | 3.1% | 12th | 11.8% | 1st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.1% | 59th | 30.7% | 8th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 77.4% | 7th | 45.5% | 8th |
| Havoc rate | 4.4% | 2nd | 14.8% | 1st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 36.2 | 13th | 13.5 | 3rd |
| Yards / game | 400.1 | 55th | 247.6 | 2nd |
| Yards / play | 5.51 | 71st | 3.91 | 1st |
| Pass yards / game | 215.0 | 79th | 145.7 | 4th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.77 | 93rd | 6.58 | 24th |
| Completion % | 59.6% | 84th | 58.5% | 38th |
| Rush yards / game | 185.2 | 29th | 75.5 | 1st |
| Yards / carry | 4.67 | 39th | 2.26 | 1st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.5% | 55th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.62 | 4th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.23 | 18th | 3.77 | 1st |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.3 | 32nd | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →