The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 118UConn | W 24–14 | +2.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 7Notre Dame | L 24–45 | -7.8 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs VMI FCS | W 45–7 | +5.7 | — | CW |
| 4 | Sep 22 | @ 101VirginiaCONF | W 24–21 | -0.1 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 29 | vs 23LouisvilleCONF | L 10–13 | +2.1 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 99Marshall | W 48–41 | -0.8 | — | CW |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 26DukeCONF | L 3–24 | -11.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 21ClemsonCONF | W 24–17 | +12.4 | — | CW |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 33MiamiCONF | W 20–6 | +16.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 82Wake ForestCONF | W 26–6 | +19.2 | — | CW |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 47Virginia TechCONF | W 35–28 | +12.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 39North CarolinaCONF | W 39–20 | +20.6 | — | ACC Network |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 11Kansas StateNEUTRAL | L 19–28 | +4.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.2% | 94th | 38.4% | 21st |
| Rushing success rate | 41.3% | 96th | 39.6% | 31st |
| Passing success rate | 39.0% | 87th | 37.5% | 25th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.4% | 72nd | 14.4% | 63rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.5% | 108th | 8.4% | 21st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.20 | 59th | 3.03 | 43rd |
| Opportunity rate | 41.3% | 37th | 37.7% | 64th |
| Stuff rate | 14.7% | 44th | 19.6% | 26th |
| Sack rate | 5.6% | 65th | 5.7% | 72nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.8% | 73rd | 29.3% | 6th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.9% | 46th | 59.4% | 61st |
| Havoc rate | 7.9% | 60th | 9.3% | 40th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.1 | 77th | 20.8 | 25th |
| Yards / game | 350.4 | 93rd | 332.1 | 29th |
| Yards / play | 5.17 | 89th | 5.18 | 51st |
| Pass yards / game | 193.9 | 102nd | 195.8 | 43rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.65 | 98th | 6.66 | 30th |
| Completion % | 59.1% | 87th | 56.5% | 17th |
| Rush yards / game | 156.5 | 67th | 116.5 | 25th |
| Yards / carry | 4.25 | 72nd | 4.00 | 52nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.9% | 59th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 34th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 52nd | 2.54 | 31st |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.3 | 47th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →