
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | vs 100NavyNEUTRAL | W 42–3 | +23.5 | — | NBC |
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Tennessee State FCS | W 56–3 | +10.9 | — | NBC |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 32NC State | W 45–24 | +28.7 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 123Central Michigan | W 41–17 | +10.4 | — | Peacock |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 4Ohio State | L 14–17 | +12.0 | — | NBC |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 26Duke | W 21–14 | +16.6 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 23Louisville | L 20–33 | -2.8 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 25USC | W 48–20 | +29.9 | — | NBC |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 84Pittsburgh | W 58–7 | +27.4 | — | NBC |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 21Clemson | L 23–31 | +2.5 | — | ABC |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 82Wake Forest | W 45–7 | +23.0 | — | NBC |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 113Stanford | W 56–23 | +21.0 | — | PACN |
| Bowls | Dec 29 | vs 20Oregon StateNEUTRAL | W 40–8 | +35.2 | — | CBS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 49.7% | 9th | 35.5% | 8th |
| Rushing success rate | 51.4% | 12th | 38.4% | 25th |
| Passing success rate | 47.8% | 15th | 32.6% | 3rd |
| Explosive run rate | 18.3% | 17th | 11.9% | 23rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.9% | 9th | 5.9% | 2nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.41 | 22nd | 2.91 | 26th |
| Opportunity rate | 45.2% | 11th | 36.9% | 52nd |
| Stuff rate | 14.0% | 35th | 20.1% | 19th |
| Sack rate | 4.6% | 39th | 7.3% | 33rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.1% | 38th | 37.6% | 42nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 76.7% | 9th | 44.8% | 5th |
| Havoc rate | 7.9% | 60th | 10.2% | 22nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.7 | 8th | 15.9 | 7th |
| Yards / game | 432.2 | 29th | 275.9 | 5th |
| Yards / play | 6.82 | 9th | 4.27 | 5th |
| Pass yards / game | 246.5 | 49th | 139.5 | 3rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.13 | 12th | 5.50 | 3rd |
| Completion % | 64.7% | 30th | 52.4% | 2nd |
| Rush yards / game | 185.7 | 28th | 118.5 | 27th |
| Yards / carry | 5.28 | 13th | 3.53 | 24th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.2% | 21st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.31 | 50th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.23 | 18th | 2.38 | 44th |
| Penalty yards / game | 47.9 | 52nd | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →