The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs 58Georgia TechCONFNEUTRAL | W 39–34 | +6.1 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Murray State FCS | W 56–0 | +12.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 92IndianaNEUTRAL | W 21–14 | +2.5 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 91Boston CollegeCONF | W 56–28 | +18.3 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 32NC StateCONF | W 13–10 | +10.7 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 7Notre Dame | W 33–20 | +26.2 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 84PittsburghCONF | L 21–38 | -18.0 | — | CW |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 26DukeCONF | W 23–0 | +27.5 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 47Virginia TechCONF | W 34–3 | +27.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 101VirginiaCONF | W 31–24 | -1.2 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 33MiamiCONF | W 38–31 | +14.6 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 41Kentucky | L 31–38 | -5.6 | — | ABC |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs 10Florida StateNEUTRAL | L 6–16 | +3.7 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 25USCNEUTRAL | L 28–42 | -6.9 | — | FOX |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 50.1% | 8th | 37.2% | 14th |
| Rushing success rate | 53.4% | 5th | 37.6% | 17th |
| Passing success rate | 46.7% | 20th | 36.8% | 20th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.5% | 51st | 15.5% | 83rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.1% | 55th | 12.8% | 116th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.19 | 63rd | 2.68 | 10th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.1% | 39th | 35.3% | 30th |
| Stuff rate | 18.6% | 102nd | 21.5% | 14th |
| Sack rate | 6.5% | 84th | 7.3% | 33rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.7% | 74th | 31.9% | 12th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 62.2% | 69th | 56.2% | 36th |
| Havoc rate | 10.0% | 114th | 12.0% | 7th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.7 | 45th | 21.3 | 34th |
| Yards / game | 415.1 | 42nd | 316.9 | 21st |
| Yards / play | 5.97 | 43rd | 5.11 | 43rd |
| Pass yards / game | 236.6 | 57th | 200.6 | 50th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.12 | 36th | 7.31 | 76th |
| Completion % | 65.2% | 23rd | 55.5% | 11th |
| Rush yards / game | 178.5 | 38th | 99.6 | 10th |
| Yards / carry | 4.69 | 38th | 3.33 | 16th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.9% | 82nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.36 | 62nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.29 | 88th | 2.43 | 39th |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.6 | 56th | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →