The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 4 | vs 21ClemsonCONF | W 28–7 | +26.4 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Lafayette FCS | W 42–7 | +4.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 70Northwestern | W 38–14 | +20.1 | — | ACC Network |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 118UConn | W 41–7 | +20.1 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 7Notre Dame | L 14–21 | +6.2 | — | ABC |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 32NC StateCONF | W 24–3 | +23.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 10Florida StateCONF | L 20–38 | -1.8 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 23LouisvilleCONF | L 0–23 | -12.8 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 82Wake ForestCONF | W 24–21 | -2.9 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 39North CarolinaCONF | L 45–47 | +4.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 101VirginiaCONF | L 27–30 | -6.1 | — | CW |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 84PittsburghCONF | W 30–19 | +4.9 | — | ACC Network |
| Bowls | Dec 23 | vs 19TroyNEUTRAL | W 17–10 | +15.8 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.3% | 69th | 43.7% | 87th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.8% | 80th | 43.8% | 65th |
| Passing success rate | 41.8% | 60th | 43.6% | 102nd |
| Explosive run rate | 15.0% | 60th | 14.5% | 67th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.0% | 100th | 8.1% | 15th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.13 | 74th | 3.23 | 89th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.3% | 63rd | 39.6% | 90th |
| Stuff rate | 18.4% | 99th | 16.1% | 69th |
| Sack rate | 4.3% | 34th | 6.1% | 64th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.7% | 74th | 39.4% | 57th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.9% | 55th | 45.9% | 9th |
| Havoc rate | 7.7% | 57th | 8.2% | 70th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.4 | 40th | 19.0 | 16th |
| Yards / game | 348.1 | 96th | 352.7 | 42nd |
| Yards / play | 5.50 | 72nd | 4.99 | 32nd |
| Pass yards / game | 180.8 | 112th | 197.4 | 45th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.58 | 99th | 6.57 | 23rd |
| Completion % | 56.0% | 110th | 62.4% | 96th |
| Rush yards / game | 167.2 | 57th | 141.9 | 46th |
| Yards / carry | 4.85 | 29th | 3.90 | 46th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 36.1% | 94th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 34th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.31 | 25th | 2.23 | 58th |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.0 | 44th | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →