
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | @ 95Michigan State | L 7–31 | -26.6 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs New Hampshire FCS | W 45–42 | -20.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 7Notre Dame | L 17–41 | -5.7 | — | Peacock |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 46South Alabama | W 34–30 | +9.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 124Eastern MichiganCONF | W 26–23 | -11.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 116BuffaloCONF | L 13–37 | -31.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 131AkronCONF | W 17–10 | -10.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 112Ball StateCONF | L 17–24 | -13.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 31 | vs 98Northern IllinoisCONF | W 37–31 | -1.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 7 | @ 117Western MichiganCONF | L 28–38 | -17.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 62OhioCONF | L 20–34 | -11.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 50ToledoCONF | L 17–32 | -14.6 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.3% | 104th | 45.4% | 109th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.9% | 78th | 47.8% | 112th |
| Passing success rate | 34.8% | 118th | 43.0% | 96th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.5% | 69th | 17.7% | 119th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.4% | 71st | 13.2% | 119th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.26 | 52nd | 3.39 | 112th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.8% | 68th | 41.8% | 110th |
| Stuff rate | 14.0% | 35th | 13.0% | 115th |
| Sack rate | 7.1% | 99th | 4.5% | 111th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.9% | 90th | 38.5% | 52nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 76.5% | 10th | 76.3% | 125th |
| Havoc rate | 7.1% | 38th | 5.4% | 125th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 22.9 | 104th | 31.1 | 105th |
| Yards / game | 344.1 | 98th | 407.1 | 101st |
| Yards / play | 5.12 | 91st | 6.18 | 120th |
| Pass yards / game | 184.7 | 109th | 237.5 | 109th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.82 | 90th | 8.24 | 118th |
| Completion % | 56.3% | 106th | 61.9% | 90th |
| Rush yards / game | 159.4 | 63rd | 159.8 | 85th |
| Yards / carry | 4.20 | 78th | 4.67 | 99th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.1% | 111th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.25 | 43rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.17 | 77th | 1.67 | 108th |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.1 | 100th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →