
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 96South Florida | W 41–24 | +9.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Houston Christian FCS | W 52–22 | +2.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 4Ohio State | L 10–63 | -14.1 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 19Troy | L 24–27 | +8.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 103Middle TennesseeCONF | W 31–10 | +12.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 120Louisiana TechCONF | W 35–28 | -0.8 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 17 | @ 69Jacksonville StateCONF | L 17–20 | -1.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | Oct 24 | vs 28LibertyCONF | L 29–42 | -8.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 121UTEPCONF | W 21–13 | -0.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 78New Mexico StateCONF | L 29–38 | -13.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 119Sam HoustonCONF | W 28–23 | -7.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 130Florida InternationalCONF | W 41–28 | +0.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 18 | vs 94Old DominionNEUTRAL | W 38–35 | -2.0 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.2% | 94th | 44.5% | 97th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.0% | 122nd | 49.2% | 121st |
| Passing success rate | 41.5% | 63rd | 39.6% | 44th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.9% | 124th | 16.9% | 106th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.6% | 86th | 9.1% | 37th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.02 | 91st | 3.52 | 124th |
| Opportunity rate | 31.0% | 128th | 44.3% | 127th |
| Stuff rate | 13.4% | 28th | 12.6% | 119th |
| Sack rate | 2.1% | 3rd | 5.2% | 87th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.8% | 18th | 40.3% | 67th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 80.6% | 1st | 65.9% | 95th |
| Havoc rate | 4.4% | 2nd | 6.7% | 100th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.5 | 48th | 28.7 | 90th |
| Yards / game | 401.8 | 53rd | 419.9 | 111th |
| Yards / play | 5.75 | 52nd | 5.66 | 86th |
| Pass yards / game | 296.4 | 15th | 217.9 | 76th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.15 | 77th | 6.94 | 47th |
| Completion % | 63.6% | 43rd | 58.4% | 32nd |
| Rush yards / game | 105.4 | 119th | 190.2 | 123rd |
| Yards / carry | 3.84 | 99th | 4.85 | 112th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.5% | 32nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.77 | 115th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.00 | 9th | 1.85 | 88th |
| Penalty yards / game | 36.8 | 11th | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →