The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Colgate FCS | W 65–0 | +15.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 117Western Michigan | W 48–7 | +17.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 79Purdue | W 35–20 | +15.1 | — | NBC |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 89Army | W 29–16 | +6.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 21ClemsonCONF | L 14–31 | -11.6 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 39North CarolinaCONF | L 7–40 | -20.4 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 10Florida StateCONF | L 3–41 | -12.7 | — | ABC |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 47Virginia TechCONF | L 10–38 | -19.6 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 3 | vs 91Boston CollegeCONF | L 10–17 | -14.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 84PittsburghCONFNEUTRAL | W 28–13 | +11.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 58Georgia TechCONF | L 22–31 | -5.4 | — | ACC Network |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 82Wake ForestCONF | W 35–31 | -1.9 | — | CW |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 96South FloridaNEUTRAL | L 0–45 | -36.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.5% | 90th | 44.8% | 100th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.4% | 94th | 48.3% | 117th |
| Passing success rate | 39.0% | 87th | 41.5% | 73rd |
| Explosive run rate | 14.6% | 66th | 11.4% | 19th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.0% | 79th | 9.1% | 37th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.00 | 97th | 3.15 | 70th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.1% | 93rd | 39.2% | 84th |
| Stuff rate | 18.7% | 105th | 16.5% | 66th |
| Sack rate | 9.1% | 120th | 6.6% | 46th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.5% | 54th | 42.5% | 90th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 59.4% | 82nd | 52.4% | 21st |
| Havoc rate | 10.2% | 117th | 10.1% | 23rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 23.5 | 94th | 25.4 | 58th |
| Yards / game | 343.3 | 99th | 380.5 | 67th |
| Yards / play | 5.10 | 95th | 5.19 | 52nd |
| Pass yards / game | 171.0 | 116th | 220.0 | 82nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.04 | 81st | 7.11 | 59th |
| Completion % | 60.8% | 70th | 63.3% | 104th |
| Rush yards / game | 172.3 | 49th | 148.2 | 60th |
| Yards / carry | 4.23 | 74th | 3.85 | 42nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.1% | 63rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.85 | 123rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.31 | 89th | 2.23 | 58th |
| Penalty yards / game | 61.6 | 115th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →