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Sun Belt · 2026

Southern Miss Golden Eagles

Head coach Blake Anderson · M. M. Roberts Stadium
3-52-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#121
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-15.6
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-6.9
111th in FBS
Defense
-8.7
125th in FBS
Schedule so far
-9.8
108th toughest
Projected
4.1-7.9
bowl-eligible 5%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-15.6 now, -20.2 preseason · up 7 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#121

Final record odds

4.1-7.9 expected · most likely 4-8 (44%)
27%3-944%4-824%5-75%6-6

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Landry Lyddy
QB · SR · 94th in FBS
1326yds
8 TD · 4 INT
Rushing
Steven Robinson
RB · JR · 23rd in FBS
728yds
142 car · 9 TD
Receiving
Mario Sanders
WR · SR · 41st in FBS
600yds
44 rec · 5 TD
Tackles
Mathis Haygood
LB · JR · 30th in FBS
70tkl
5.5 TFL
Sacks
Jameer Lewis
DL · SR · 75th in FBS
4sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
Kobi Albert
DB · JR · 16th in FBS
3INT
4 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vsAlcorn State FCSW 49–3 ›-1.2—ESPN+
2Sep 12@27AuburnL 8–43 ›-11.8—SEC Network
3Sep 19vs80UConnL 20–48 ›-32.1—ESPN+
4Sep 26@90TulaneL 21–24 ›-5.6—ESPN+
5—Bye
6Oct 6@107TroyCONFL 34–55 ›-28.3—ESPN2
7Oct 17vs105Arkansas StateCONFL 13–23 ›-24.4—ESPN+
8Oct 24vs89LouisianaCONFW 35–31 ›-5.6—ESPN+
9Oct 31@136UL MonroeCONFW 35–21 ›-6.1—ESPN+
10Nov 5vs59James MadisonCONFJames Madison −14.9 · o/u 57.4—16%ESPN2
11Nov 14@73Louisiana TechCONFLouisiana Tech −18.6 · o/u 52.8—11%ESPN+
12Nov 21vs106South AlabamaCONFSouth Alabama −1.0 · o/u 64.8—47%
13Nov 28@114Old DominionCONFOld Dominion −5.8 · o/u 46.0—35%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.024117th+0.13592nd
Success rate40.4%96th42.5%86th
Explosiveness1.25266th1.20247th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.4%100th42.9%85th
Rushing success rate45.8%44th44.2%92nd
Passing success rate35.7%120th41.1%77th
Explosive run rate14.5%56th12.6%58th
Explosive pass rate9.9%78th9.7%69th
Line yards / carry3.5112th3.26112th
Opportunity rate43.6%14th39.7%97th
Stuff rate12.3%12th14.2%114th
Sack rate3.8%35th8.5%10th
3rd-down conversion28.1%137th40.9%84th
Red-zone TD rate63.6%64th59.3%69th
Havoc rate11.8%39th13.0%87th
Box score · season totals
Points / game26.977th31.0118th
Yards / game399.555th432.4129th
Yards / play5.5577th5.5189th
Pass yards / game232.464th209.066th
Yards / pass att.6.60108th7.2179th
Completion %58.4%112th62.1%75th
Rush yards / game167.154th223.4136th
Yards / carry4.8040th4.78113th
3rd-down conv. %30.9%133rd40.5%95th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3876th1.2558th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.8864th2.7525th
Penalty yards / game61.589th65.529th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.3
92nd of 138
YAC per catch
4.8
107th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
15%
65th of 138
Shotgun
99%
11th of 138
No-huddle
60%
73rd of 138
QB pressured
12%
80th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
18%
25th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.6
42nd of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws269 throws charted

58% comp8.3 avg. depth4.8 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds11–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 25 throws (9%), 19 caught (76%), 109 yds, 4.4 per throw2576% · 109yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (9%), 13 caught (54%), 68 yds, 2.8 per throw2454% · 68yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (8%), 13 caught (62%), 119 yds, 5.7 per throw2162% · 119yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 40 yds, 5.7 per throw743% · 40yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 7 caught (70%), 171 yds, 17.1 per throw1070% · 171yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 4 caught (36%), 112 yds, 10.2 per throw1136% · 112yLeft, 30+ air yards: 11 throws (4%), 4 caught (36%), 146 yds, 13.3 per throw1136% · 146yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), -5 yds, -5.0 per throw1100% · -5yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 19 throws (7%), 9 caught (47%), 48 yds, 2.5 per throw1947% · 48yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 9 caught (60%), 113 yds, 7.5 per throw1560% · 113yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 10 caught (67%), 137 yds, 9.1 per throw1567% · 137yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 20 yds, 20.0 per throw1100% · 20yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 25 yds, 25.0 per throw1100% · 25yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 27 throws (10%), 22 caught (81%), 170 yds, 6.3 per throw2781% · 170yRight, 0–4 air yards: 30 throws (11%), 19 caught (63%), 83 yds, 2.8 per throw3063% · 83yRight, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 11 caught (73%), 109 yds, 7.3 per throw1573% · 109yRight, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 7 caught (54%), 92 yds, 7.1 per throw1354% · 92yRight, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 61 yds, 8.7 per throw743% · 61yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 4 caught (44%), 142 yds, 15.8 per throw944% · 142yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 41 yds, 20.5 per throw250% · 41y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on222 throws charted

62% comp9.1 avg. depth5.6 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds12–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 24 throws (11%), 21 caught (88%), 138 yds, 5.8 per throw2488% · 138yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (8%), 14 caught (78%), 127 yds, 7.1 per throw1878% · 127yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 8 caught (57%), 74 yds, 5.3 per throw1457% · 74yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 53 yds, 8.8 per throw650% · 53yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 24 yds, 8.0 per throw333% · 24yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 31 yds, 7.8 per throw425% · 31yLeft, 30+ air yards: 10 throws (5%), 2 caught (20%), 82 yds, 8.2 per throw1020% · 82yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), -1 yds, -1.0 per throw1100% · -1yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 15 yds, 2.1 per throw743% · 15yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 6 caught (60%), 56 yds, 5.6 per throw1060% · 56yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 4 caught (67%), 68 yds, 11.3 per throw667% · 68yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 14 throws (6%), 9 caught (64%), 217 yds, 15.5 per throw1464% · 217yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 93 yds, 23.3 per throw475% · 93yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (3%), 3 caught (50%), 167 yds, 27.8 per throw650% · 167yRight, Behind air yards: 19 throws (9%), 16 caught (84%), 88 yds, 4.6 per throw1984% · 88yRight, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (13%), 19 caught (66%), 92 yds, 3.2 per throw2966% · 92yRight, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (9%), 16 caught (80%), 123 yds, 6.2 per throw2080% · 123yRight, 10–14 air yards: 10 throws (5%), 4 caught (40%), 52 yds, 5.2 per throw1040% · 52yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (4%), 6 caught (67%), 150 yds, 16.7 per throw967% · 150yRight, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (3%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw60% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction260 carries

Left
6%
9.5 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
83%
5.3 YPC · 46% succ.
Right
11%
6.0 YPC · 59% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced343 carries

Left
13%
7.2 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
71%
5.2 YPC · 45% succ.
Right
17%
5.7 YPC · 48% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Blake Anderson

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
5Ethan HamptonQBSR6' 3"220Elburn, IL
15Hugh PriceQBFR6' 6"204Nashville, TN
16Maddox McCroryQBFR6' 1"185Cabot, AR
18Landry LyddyQBSR6' 0"208Stonewall, LA
2Robert BriggsRBSR5' 7"183New Orleans, LA
14Steven RobinsonRBJR5' 9"208Baltimore, MD
21Robert HendersonRBSO5' 10"195Atlanta, GA
22Jaylen FosterRBJR5' 11"190Greenwood, SC
25Josiah BastenRBJR5' 9"190Bonduel, WI
26Brandon HoodRBSO5' 10"200Conyers, GA
27John FordRBFR5' 9"180Birmingham, AL
0Eelijah SingletonWRJR5' 10"190Tampa, FL
1Mario SandersWRSR5' 10"191Minneapolis, MN
3MJ JohnsonWRJR5' 10"180Enterprise, AL
7Kaden SaundersWRJR5' 10"175Columbus, OH
8AJ LittleWRJR5' 11"200Macon, MS
9Jaylen HimesWRSO5' 9"185Statesville, NC
11Davis DaltonWRSR6' 3"207Madison, MS
13Grant PageWRSR6' 3"200Boulder, CO
19Cace ReedWRSO5' 10"160Hammond, LA
23Trey HorneWRJR6' 3"200Columbia, SC
38Nehemiah TaylorWRSO5' 11"190Hattiesburg, MS
80King David AboyaWRFR6' 3"195Milton, FL
83Dillon RowleyWRSO5' 10"174Columbia, MS
86Israel LeamonWRFR5' 11"180Greer, SC
81Preston KilgoreTEJR6' 4"240Terrell, TX
82Connor GoodingTESO6' 4"230Gilbert, SC
84Broderick PetersTEFR6' 4"245Hammond, LA
85Javery MayberryTESO6' 3"245Chandler, AZ
87Caston BrownTESO6' 2"228Hattiesburg, MS
88Jeremiah Beck Jr.TEJR6' 2"237Fontana, CA
89Drew BilderbackTEFR6' 3"235Columbia, MS
50Joe RoundsOLSR6' 0"315Suffolk, VA
53Toby MealerOLFR6' 5"335Eugene, OR
54Dante DevineOLJR6' 7"325Orlando, FL
55Zerian HudsonOLSR6' 3"334Brookhaven, MS
58Greg NunneryOLSR6' 4"320Mccomb, MS
62Aloali'i MauiOLSR6' 1"310Pago Pago, American Samoa
64Camden MyersOLSO6' 3"300Irmo, SC
68Grant KitchensOLFR6' 7"329Louisville, MS
70Braden CainOLJR6' 4"310Houston, TX
71Jahmir DavisOLSO6' 5"301Cincinnati, OH
72Will BurgessOLSO6' 6"275Birmingham, AL
73Hayden BrealOLFR6' 0"281Mobile, AL
74Luke RogersOLJR6' 3"305Brandon, MS
75Casey Jean-BaptisteOLJR6' 5"320West Palm Beach, FL
76Larry EdwardsOLJR6' 5"290Belzoni, MS
77Chase MalamalaOLSO6' 6"297Palm Beach Gardens, FL
79Liam CassidyOLJR6' 5"320Vancouver, WA
5Nasim CairoDLSR6' 2"280Edwardsville, IL
7Kameron CyprienDLJR6' 3"250Lafayette, LA
9Jameer LewisDLSR6' 2"230Mccomb, MS
15Jeffery Rush Jr.DLSO6' 1"265Pascagoula, MS
17Ramon PernasDLSO6' 3"237Tomball, TX
31Zachariah KeithDLJR6' 6"280Atlanta, GA
41Will SmithDLSO6' 2"240Choctaw, OK
52Xavier McIverDLSR6' 0"305Cheraw, SC
57Jeramie PoseyDLJR6' 2"266Hattiesburg, MS
88Darrell GrossDLJR6' 1"292Madison, MS
90JR StegallDLJR6' 2"326Fort Worth, TX
92David GriffinDLJR6' 1"299New Orleans, LA
93Travis BendolphDLJR6' 1"285Mobile, AL
94Talik ParkmanDLFR6' 3"295Sumrall, MS
95Josh JohnsonDLJR6' 0"320New Orleans, LA
97Ari SlocumDLFR6' 3"305Farmerville, LA
98Kei'shaun MashburnDLJR6' 2"300Quincy, FL
99Cam'ron HoyteDLJR6' 4"295Jacksonville, FL
2Tyler LassiterLBSO6' 3"230Raleigh, NC
6Andrew MartinLBSR6' 0"212Mcdonough, GA
13Mathis HaygoodLBJR6' 4"230Fayetteville, GA
33Avery SledgeLBSR6' 2"220Hattiesburg, MS
35Wesley EdisonLBSO6' 3"230Lawrence, KS
42Melvin SpriggsLBJR6' 2"220Landstuhl, Germany
49BJ MitchellLBJR5' 9"218Hattiesburg, MS
51Ricky HardingLBJR6' 1"220Bushnell, FL
1Champ LewisDBJR6' 0"183New Orleans, LA
3Jyaire BrownDBSR5' 11"180New Orleans, LA
12Laquan RobinsonDBSR6' 1"210Greenville, AL
14Jordan PrideDBSO6' 1"210Blountstown, FL
16Jonah MartinezDBJR6' 0"180Orange County, CA
20Kolby PeavyDBJR5' 11"193Monroeville, AL
21Sammy Anderson Jr.DBSR6' 1"190Dayton, OH
22Kobi AlbertDBJR5' 11"175Birmingham, AL
23Hiroshi CarrDBJR6' 1"186Stafford, VA
24Michael Robinson IIIDBJR6' 0"190Columbus, OH
25Landon SylvieDBJR5' 10"183Shreveport, LA
26Baron TaylorDBJR6' 0"190Sacramento, CA
28Kelby HamptonDBSO6' 1"189Philadelphia, PA
39Johnnie EvansDBJR5' 11"195Hattiesburg, MS
47Cannon McClainDBJR6' 2"184Hattiesburg, MS
8Ishmael IbraheemCBSR6' 0"178Dallas, TX
19Malakai MurphyCBSO6' 1"195High Springs, FL
29Jeremiah DillonCBSR6' 2"193Tylertown, MS
18MaLik CaswellSSO6' 0"185Midway, GA
27Chauncey Davis Jr.SFR6' 1"195Suwanee, GA
37Aidan HorneSFR6' 3"187Columbia, SC
96Reed HarradinePKJR6' 4"225Birmingham, AL
30Andrew TateLSJR5' 11"203Kosciusko, MS
46Luke BeardLSJR6' 1"218Ackerman, MS
48Colin KapilovicLSSO6' 0"212Chapel Hill, NC

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2015 (+3.1, #54) · worst: 2024 (-18.0, #133)
-20-100FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#102
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-52-2#121-15.6-6.9-8.7
20257-65-3#102-6.3-1.7-4.5
20241-110-8#133-18.0-10.2-7.8
20233-92-6#114-9.0-3.0-6.1
20227-64-4#88-4.2-4.6+0.4
20213-92-6#118-11.5-9.7-1.8
20203-72-4#111-9.2-3.6-5.6
20197-65-3#81-2.3-2.3+0.1
20186-55-3#85-2.7-4.1+1.5
20178-56-2#88-3.8-2.3-1.6
20167-64-4#75-2.2+0.9-3.2
20159-57-1#54+3.1+4.2-1.1
20143-91-7#118-12.7-7.9-4.8

Southern Miss's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →