
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs 10Mississippi State | L 16–34 | -8.8 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs Austin Peay FCS | W 52–6 | +8.2 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 113Texas State | W 56–50 | -4.0 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | @ 41Nebraska | L 28–36 | -0.1 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 128North TexasCONF | W 49–14 | +6.0 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 9 | @ 47MarshallCONF | L 10–31 | -14.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 112UT San AntonioCONF | W 32–10 | +7.4 | — | |
| 8 | Oct 24 | @ 127CharlotteCONF | W 44–10 | +11.8 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 31 | vs 116UTEPCONF | W 34–13 | +4.9 | — | |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 106RiceCONF | W 65–10 | +27.0 | — | |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 117Old DominionCONF | W 56–31 | +8.1 | — | |
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 53Louisiana TechCONF | W 58–24 | +33.4 | — | |
| 14 | Dec 5 | @ 20Western Kentucky | L 28–45 | -4.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 21WashingtonNEUTRAL | L 31–44 | -4.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.0% | 61st | 37.5% | 22nd |
| Rushing success rate | 40.1% | 100th | 38.4% | 27th |
| Passing success rate | 45.2% | 31st | 36.7% | 25th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.7% | 64th | 14.1% | 56th |
| Explosive pass rate | 15.2% | 8th | 8.8% | 36th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.94 | 75th | 2.59 | 15th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.1% | 83rd | 34.7% | 27th |
| Stuff rate | 19.8% | 77th | 24.9% | 14th |
| Sack rate | 4.3% | 35th | 6.7% | 38th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.6% | 21st | 38.0% | 49th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.4% | 28th | 54.5% | 34th |
| Havoc rate | 13.5% | 86th | 15.2% | 13th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 39.9 | 19th | 25.6 | 40th |
| Yards / game | 509.5 | 12th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.74 | 10th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 329.7 | 12th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.69 | 20th | — | — |
| Completion % | 63.6% | 21st | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 179.8 | 54th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.01 | 26th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.9% | 21st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.86 | 55th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 66.9 | 113th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →