The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | @ 16Arkansas | L 13–48 | -15.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 12 | @ 66Texas Tech | L 20–69 | -29.6 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 19 | @ 123New Mexico State | W 50–47 | -9.4 | — | ESPN3 |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs Incarnate Word FCS | W 27–17 | -13.5 | — | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | vs 112UT San AntonioCONF | L 6–25 | -33.6 | — | |
| 6 | Oct 10 | @ 100Florida IntlCONF | L 12–52 | -35.0 | — | |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 24 | vs 101Florida AtlanticCONF | W 27–17 | -1.7 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 31 | @ 54Southern MississippiCONF | L 13–34 | -15.5 | — | |
| 10 | Nov 6 | vs 106RiceCONF | W 24–21 | -9.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 117Old DominionCONF | L 21–31 | -21.3 | — | |
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 53Louisiana TechCONF | L 15–17 | -1.0 | — | FOXNET |
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 128North TexasCONF | W 20–17 | -14.0 | — | FOXNET |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.7% | 105th | 41.1% | 59th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.4% | 97th | 39.8% | 41st |
| Passing success rate | 37.0% | 96th | 42.4% | 77th |
| Explosive run rate | 10.7% | 121st | 17.4% | 107th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.7% | 77th | 14.0% | 119th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.73 | 104th | 2.90 | 54th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.2% | 82nd | 35.4% | 36th |
| Stuff rate | 21.9% | 102nd | 19.6% | 56th |
| Sack rate | 2.3% | 7th | 5.2% | 78th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.9% | 58th | 36.3% | 34th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.9% | 111th | 58.3% | 51st |
| Havoc rate | 14.8% | 105th | 13.8% | 36th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.5 | 97th | 32.9 | 78th |
| Yards / game | 341.3 | 107th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 4.84 | 109th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 195.5 | 94th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.08 | 109th | — | — |
| Completion % | 55.4% | 91st | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 145.8 | 98th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 3.91 | 97th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.1% | 66th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.08 | 11th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 40.8 | 17th | — | — |
49 players who recorded a stat in 2015 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mack Leftwich | QB | ||||
| 12 | Ryan Metz | QB | ||||
| 3 | Treyvon Hughes | RB | ||||
| 4 | Jeremiah Laufasa | RB | ||||
| 16 | TK Powell | RB | ||||
| 29 | Aaron Jones Sr. | RB | ||||
| 15 | Darrin Laufasa | FB | ||||
| 5 | Warren Redix | WR | ||||
| 8 | Autrey Golden | WR | ||||
| 9 | Jaquan White | WR | ||||
| 14 | Kavika Johnson | WR | ||||
| 19 | Daniel Siller | WR | ||||
| 32 | Donovan Walker | WR | ||||
| 83 | Tyler Batson | WR | ||||
| 84 | Cole Freytag | WR | ||||
| 84 | Trevor Long | WR | ||||
| 25 | Sloan Spiller | TE | ||||
| 80 | Cedrick Lang | TE | ||||
| 81 | Sterling Napier | TE | ||||
| 85 | Hayden Plinke | TE | ||||
| 86 | Cole Ford | TE | ||||
| 43 | Roy Robertson-Harris | DL | ||||
| 56 | Sky Logan | DL | ||||
| 63 | Gino Bresolin | DL | ||||
| 92 | Alex Villarreal | DL | ||||
| 97 | Brian Madunezim | DL | ||||
| 10 | Jimmy Musgrave | LB | ||||
| 16 | Alvin Jones | LB | ||||
| 33 | Lawrence Montegut | LB | ||||
| 35 | Trey Brown | LB | ||||
| 36 | Nick Usher | LB | ||||
| 37 | Kristopher Christian | LB | ||||
| 54 | Silas Firstley | LB | ||||
| 1 | Trent Trammell | DB | ||||
| 2 | Ishmael Harrison | DB | ||||
| 2 | Michael Lewis | DB | ||||
| 3 | Traun Roberson | DB | ||||
| 5 | Leon Hayes | DB | ||||
| 6 | Da'Carlos Renfro | DB | ||||
| 7 | LaQuintus Dowell | DB | ||||
| 7 | Mookie Carlile | DB | ||||
| 8 | Kelvin Fisher Jr. | DB | ||||
| 12 | Adrian Hynson | DB | ||||
| 20 | Nik Needham | DB | ||||
| 21 | Dashone Smith | DB | ||||
| 32 | Kalon Beverly | DB | ||||
| 38 | Natanael Rodriguez | DB | ||||
| 46 | Alan Luna | PK | ||||
| 47 | Jay Mattox | PK |
Final ratings for 2015, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2015 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2015 power rankings →