
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs 50Ole MissNEUTRAL | W 45–34 | +14.4 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs Charleston Southern FCS | W 52–8 | +8.0 | — | ACCNX |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 12LouisvilleCONF | L 20–63 | -16.4 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 28South Florida | W 55–35 | +29.1 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 33North CarolinaCONF | L 35–37 | +1.7 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 14MiamiCONF | W 20–19 | +15.0 | — | ABC |
| 7 | Oct 15 | vs 71Wake ForestCONF | W 17–6 | +6.9 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 29 | vs 3ClemsonCONF | L 34–37 | +12.7 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 39NC StateCONF | W 24–20 | +11.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 76Boston CollegeCONF | W 45–7 | +24.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 95SyracuseCONF | W 45–14 | +22.4 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 21Florida | W 31–13 | +23.6 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 4MichiganNEUTRAL | W 33–32 | +18.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 50.2% | 7th | 38.2% | 26th |
| Rushing success rate | 52.4% | 8th | 38.0% | 17th |
| Passing success rate | 47.9% | 13th | 38.4% | 36th |
| Explosive run rate | 20.0% | 8th | 16.9% | 98th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.5% | 13th | 12.1% | 98th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.13 | 53rd | 2.91 | 45th |
| Opportunity rate | 41.1% | 44th | 36.8% | 38th |
| Stuff rate | 19.6% | 85th | 20.6% | 42nd |
| Sack rate | 7.5% | 101st | 10.4% | 2nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.7% | 18th | 36.5% | 22nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 78.4% | 4th | 52.6% | 18th |
| Havoc rate | 12.7% | 79th | 14.6% | 18th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.1 | 41st | 35.3 | 96th |
| Yards / game | 466.4 | 25th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 6.22 | 30th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 264.1 | 33rd | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.15 | 28th | — | — |
| Completion % | 58.0% | 73rd | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 202.3 | 40th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 5.08 | 38th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.5% | 36th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.77 | 106th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 72.9 | 124th | — | — |
54 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sean Maguire | QB | ||||
| 12 | Deondre Francois | QB | ||||
| 16 | J.J. Cosentino | QB | ||||
| 4 | Dalvin Cook | RB | ||||
| 7 | Ryan Green | RB | ||||
| 9 | Jacques Patrick | RB | ||||
| 22 | Amir Rasul | RB | ||||
| 31 | Omari Albert | RB | ||||
| 32 | Steven Williams | RB | ||||
| 23 | Freddie Stevenson | FB | ||||
| 33 | Colton Plante | FB | ||||
| 3 | Bobo Wilson | WR | ||||
| 5 | Da'Vante Phillips | WR | ||||
| 8 | Kermit Whitfield | WR | ||||
| 13 | Ja'Vonn Harrison | WR | ||||
| 15 | Travis Rudolph | WR | ||||
| 18 | Auden Tate | WR | ||||
| 80 | Nyqwan Murray | WR | ||||
| 87 | Jared Jackson | WR | ||||
| 89 | Keith Gavin | WR | ||||
| 26 | Johnathan Vickers | TE | ||||
| 81 | Ryan Izzo | TE | ||||
| 88 | Mavin Saunders | TE | ||||
| 9 | Josh Sweat | DE | ||||
| 44 | DeMarcus Walker | DE | ||||
| 84 | Jalen Wilkerson | DE | ||||
| 94 | Walvenski Aime | DE | ||||
| 55 | Fredrick Jones | DT | ||||
| 90 | Demarcus Christmas | DT | ||||
| 91 | Derrick Nnadi | DT | ||||
| 5 | Dontavious Jackson | LB | ||||
| 16 | Jake Pugh | LB | ||||
| 18 | Ro'Derrick Hoskins | LB | ||||
| 40 | Nick Patti | LB | ||||
| 56 | Emmett Rice | LB | ||||
| 99 | Brian Burns | LB | ||||
| 1 | Levonta Taylor | DB | ||||
| 15 | Carlos Becker III | DB | ||||
| 19 | A.J. Westbrook | DB | ||||
| 24 | Marcus Lewis | DB | ||||
| 37 | Kyle Meyers | DB | ||||
| 4 | Tarvarus McFadden | CB | ||||
| 27 | Marquez White | CB | ||||
| 1 | Ermon Lane | S | ||||
| 3 | Derwin James Jr. | S | ||||
| 10 | Calvin Brewton | S | ||||
| 20 | Trey Marshall | S | ||||
| 29 | Nate Andrews | S | ||||
| 23 | Ricky Aguayo | PK | ||||
| 21 | Logan Tyler | P | ||||
| 41 | Jack Steed | P | ||||
| 47 | Stephen Gabbard | LS | ||||
| 6 | Matthew Thomas | DEF | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →