Big Ten · 2016 · Final

Michigan Wolverines 2016

10-37-2 in conference
Final TDC rank
#4
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+17.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+5.9
21st in FBS
Defense
+11.8
3rd in FBS
Schedule
+2.7
18th toughest
Preseason
+6.8
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+17.7 now, +6.8 preseason · up 3 spots since preseason
0+10+20FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#4

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3vs108Hawai'iW 63–3+25.0—ESPN
2Sep 10vs70UCFW 51–14+24.7—ABC
3Sep 17vs20ColoradoW 45–28+22.7—BTN
4Sep 24vs11Penn StateCONFW 49–10+38.7—ABC
5Oct 1vs9WisconsinCONFW 14–7+17.2—ABC
6Oct 8@113RutgersCONFW 78–0+34.9—ESPN2
7—Bye
8Oct 22vs102IllinoisCONFW 41–8+16.3—BTN
9Oct 29@66Michigan StateCONFW 32–23+10.8—ESPN
10Nov 5vs77MarylandCONFW 59–3+30.2—ESPN
11Nov 12@41IowaCONFL 13–14+6.2—ABC
12Nov 19vs65IndianaCONFW 20–10+6.9—ESPN
13Nov 26@2Ohio StateCONFL 27–30+17.9—ABC
BowlsDec 30vs10Florida StateNEUTRALL 32–33+10.9—ESPN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate46.0%32nd31.0%2nd
Rushing success rate47.7%34th35.4%5th
Passing success rate43.8%42nd26.2%1st
Explosive run rate14.7%72nd13.7%43rd
Explosive pass rate12.9%34th8.2%11th
Line yards / carry2.8499th2.221st
Opportunity rate37.1%97th31.7%8th
Stuff rate19.0%73rd27.1%1st
Sack rate5.5%56th12.1%1st
3rd-down conversion42.2%63rd22.4%1st
Red-zone TD rate67.3%38th54.2%26th
Havoc rate11.7%52nd18.5%1st
Box score · season totals
Points / game40.019th15.33rd
Yards / game424.958th——
Yards / play5.7259th——
Pass yards / game212.085th——
Yards / pass att.7.4558th——
Completion %61.6%32nd——
Rush yards / game212.933rd——
Yards / carry4.8247th——
3rd-down conv. %43.2%39th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.6940th——
Penalty yards / game45.635th——

Players

53 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

53 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →