The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | vs 93Miami (OH) | W 45–21 | +15.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 88Iowa State | W 42–3 | +22.4 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 17 | vs North Dakota State FCS | L 21–23 | -25.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 113RutgersCONF | W 14–7 | -1.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 47NorthwesternCONF | L 31–38 | -5.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 40MinnesotaCONF | W 14–7 | +14.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 115PurdueCONF | W 49–35 | +5.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs 9WisconsinCONF | L 9–17 | +2.2 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 11Penn StateCONF | L 14–41 | -10.6 | — | BTN |
| 11 | Nov 12 | vs 4MichiganCONF | W 14–13 | +16.2 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 19 | @ 102IllinoisCONF | W 28–0 | +19.6 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 45NebraskaCONF | W 40–10 | +27.7 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 2 | vs 21FloridaNEUTRAL | L 3–30 | -16.9 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.6% | 84th | 40.1% | 32nd |
| Rushing success rate | 46.2% | 50th | 42.7% | 51st |
| Passing success rate | 35.3% | 117th | 37.1% | 28th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.5% | 58th | 8.4% | 1st |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.7% | 96th | 9.1% | 23rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.07 | 63rd | 3.10 | 77th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.1% | 84th | 35.0% | 30th |
| Stuff rate | 17.2% | 49th | 13.2% | 121st |
| Sack rate | 8.3% | 108th | 6.6% | 46th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 35.4% | 113th | 36.7% | 26th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 40th | 50.0% | 12th |
| Havoc rate | 12.2% | 65th | 9.8% | 115th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.9 | 103rd | 20.4 | 13th |
| Yards / game | 325.0 | 121st | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.02 | 104th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 153.2 | 118th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.42 | 104th | — | — |
| Completion % | 56.5% | 86th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 171.8 | 67th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.45 | 65th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 32.2% | 119th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.31 | 84th | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 41.3 | 15th | — | — |
56 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nate Stanley | QB | ||||
| 16 | C.J. Beathard | QB | ||||
| 22 | Toks Akinribade | RB | ||||
| 25 | Akrum Wadley | RB | ||||
| 26 | Brian Bonacci | RB | ||||
| 28 | Toren Young | RB | ||||
| 29 | LeShun Daniels Jr. | RB | ||||
| 32 | Derrick Mitchell Jr. | RB | ||||
| 33 | Austin Kelly | FB | ||||
| 36 | Brady Ross | FB | ||||
| 45 | Drake Kulick | FB | ||||
| 3 | Jay Scheel | WR | ||||
| 5 | Ronald Nash | WR | ||||
| 9 | Jerminic Smith | WR | ||||
| 83 | Riley McCarron | WR | ||||
| 86 | Peter Pekar | WR | ||||
| 89 | Matt VandeBerg | WR | ||||
| 46 | George Kittle | TE | ||||
| 87 | Noah Fant | TE | ||||
| 53 | Garret Jansen | DL | ||||
| 56 | Faith Ekakitie | DL | ||||
| 57 | Chauncey Golston | DL | ||||
| 91 | Brady Reiff | DL | ||||
| 95 | Cedrick Lattimore | DL | ||||
| 40 | Parker Hesse | DE | ||||
| 90 | Sam Brincks | DE | ||||
| 96 | Matt Nelson | DE | ||||
| 98 | Anthony Nelson | DE | ||||
| 67 | Jaleel Johnson | DT | ||||
| 99 | Nathan Bazata | DT | ||||
| 8 | Angelo Garbutt | LB | ||||
| 26 | Kevin Ward | LB | ||||
| 31 | Aaron Mends | LB | ||||
| 41 | Bo Bower | LB | ||||
| 42 | Marcel Spears Jr. | LB | ||||
| 43 | Josey Jewell | LB | ||||
| 44 | Ben Niemann | LB | ||||
| 48 | Jack Hockaday | LB | ||||
| 5 | Emmanuel Rugamba | DB | ||||
| 5 | Ronnie James | DB | ||||
| 10 | Alonzo Mayo | DB | ||||
| 12 | Anthony Gair | DB | ||||
| 13 | Greg Mabin | DB | ||||
| 19 | Miles Taylor | DB | ||||
| 11 | Michael Ojemudia | CB | ||||
| 14 | Desmond King II | CB | ||||
| 15 | Josh Jackson | CB | ||||
| 27 | Amani Hooker | S | ||||
| 37 | Brandon Snyder | S | ||||
| 3 | Keith Duncan | PK | ||||
| 91 | Miguel Recinos | PK | ||||
| 7 | Colten Rastetter | P | ||||
| 16 | Ron Coluzzi | P | ||||
| 25 | Payton Jordahl | LS | ||||
| 39 | Steven Wirtel | LS | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →