ACC · 2016 · Final

NC State Wolfpack 2016

7-63-5 in conference
Final TDC rank
#39
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+5.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.1
59th in FBS
Defense
+5.1
22nd in FBS
Schedule
+1.9
28th toughest
Preseason
+2.4
rating going in

2016 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

+5.2 now, +2.4 preseason · up 8 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Bowls#39

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 1vsWilliam & Mary FCSW 48–14+4.5—ACCNX
2Sep 10@104East CarolinaL 30–33-9.2—ESPNU
3Sep 17vs64Old DominionW 49–22+22.2—ACCNX
4—Bye
5Oct 1vs71Wake ForestCONFW 33–16+12.9—ACCNX
6Oct 8vs43Notre DameW 10–3+9.0—ABC
7Oct 15@3ClemsonCONFL 17–24+13.7—ABC
8Oct 22@12LouisvilleCONFL 13–54-15.7—ABC
9Oct 29vs76Boston CollegeCONFL 14–21-11.9—ACCNX
10Nov 5vs10Florida StateCONFL 20–24+5.4—ESPNU
11Nov 12@95SyracuseCONFW 35–20+10.9—ACCNX
12Nov 19vs14MiamiCONFL 13–27-4.9—ACCNX
13Nov 25@33North CarolinaCONFW 28–21+15.7—ESPN
BowlsDec 26vs60VanderbiltNEUTRALW 41–17+24.4—ESPN2

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.0%57th37.2%17th
Rushing success rate44.8%68th36.2%12th
Passing success rate43.2%48th37.9%32nd
Explosive run rate12.7%102nd12.5%28th
Explosive pass rate11.2%53rd9.1%23rd
Line yards / carry2.9190th2.426th
Opportunity rate38.8%77th35.3%32nd
Stuff rate17.4%55th23.0%18th
Sack rate3.5%15th6.8%38th
3rd-down conversion47.0%21st36.3%20th
Red-zone TD rate58.3%96th50.0%12th
Havoc rate11.1%38th14.2%23rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game27.085th33.282nd
Yards / game416.463rd——
Yards / play5.6464th——
Pass yards / game260.238th——
Yards / pass att.7.7246th——
Completion %60.0%44th——
Rush yards / game156.286th——
Yards / carry4.0393rd——
3rd-down conv. %43.5%37th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)————
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.3120th——
Penalty yards / game62.3104th——

Players

53 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)

53 players

Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →