Final TDC rank
#60
of 128 FBS teams
Rating
+0.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.3
97th in FBS
Defense
+4.7
27th in FBS
Schedule
+1.6
32nd toughest
Preseason
-1.8
rating going in
2016 Season
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Rating by week
+0.4 now, -1.8 preseason · up 21 spots since preseason
Team Leaders
Results
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs 84South CarolinaCONF | L 10–13 | -9.3 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 10 | vs 83Middle Tennessee | W 47–24 | +17.4 | — | SEC Network |
| 3 | Sep 17 | @ 49Georgia Tech | L 7–38 | -20.5 | — | ACCNX |
| 4 | Sep 24 | @ 15Western Kentucky | W 31–30 | +14.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 5 | Oct 1 | vs 21FloridaCONF | L 6–13 | -1.4 | — | SEC Network |
| 6 | Oct 8 | @ 67KentuckyCONF | L 13–20 | -5.2 | — | SEC Network |
| 7 | Oct 15 | @ 55GeorgiaCONF | W 17–16 | +5.0 | — | SEC Network |
| 8 | Oct 22 | vs Tennessee State FCS | W 35–17 | -5.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 5 | @ 16AuburnCONF | L 16–23 | +5.9 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 12 | @ 81MissouriCONF | L 17–26 | -9.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 12 | Nov 19 | vs 50Ole MissCONF | W 38–17 | +21.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 13 | Nov 26 | vs 22TennesseeCONF | W 45–34 | +16.6 | — | SEC Network |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 39NC StateNEUTRAL | L 17–41 | -18.8 | — | ESPN2 |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.1% | 82nd | 43.3% | 65th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.8% | 52nd | 43.8% | 61st |
| Passing success rate | 38.1% | 96th | 42.8% | 74th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.0% | 68th | 19.1% | 121st |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.4% | 102nd | 7.2% | 4th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.12 | 54th | 2.96 | 53rd |
| Opportunity rate | 39.0% | 75th | 40.4% | 82nd |
| Stuff rate | 17.0% | 44th | 21.8% | 27th |
| Sack rate | 7.3% | 98th | 3.2% | 123rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.1% | 101st | 41.0% | 62nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 68.9% | 32nd | 48.9% | 11th |
| Havoc rate | 13.4% | 89th | 14.0% | 28th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.5 | 76th | 24.0 | 27th |
| Yards / game | 355.7 | 110th | — | — |
| Yards / play | 5.01 | 106th | — | — |
| Pass yards / game | 191.2 | 100th | — | — |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.31 | 112th | — | — |
| Completion % | 53.3% | 114th | — | — |
| Rush yards / game | 164.5 | 77th | — | — |
| Yards / carry | 4.30 | 79th | — | — |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.5% | 102nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | — | — | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.46 | 92nd | — | — |
| Penalty yards / game | 44.2 | 28th | — | — |
Players
52 players who recorded a stat in 2016 (from box scores)
52 players
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wade Freebeck | QB | ||||
| 14 | Kyle Shurmur | QB | ||||
| 7 | Ralph Webb | RB | ||||
| 22 | Josh Crawford | RB | ||||
| 23 | Khari Blasingame | RB | ||||
| 28 | Dallas Rivers | RB | ||||
| 46 | Glenn Welch | FB | ||||
| 4 | Donaven Tennyson | WR | ||||
| 6 | Darrius Sims | WR | ||||
| 9 | Caleb Scott | WR | ||||
| 10 | Trent Sherfield | WR | ||||
| 16 | Kalija Lipscomb | WR | ||||
| 19 | C.J. Duncan | WR | ||||
| 39 | Bailey McElwain | WR | ||||
| 48 | Winston Guillory III | WR | ||||
| 86 | Latevius Rayford | WR | ||||
| 89 | Sean Dowling | WR | ||||
| 80 | Jared Pinkney | TE | ||||
| 83 | Nathan Marcus | TE | ||||
| 84 | Sam Dobbs | TE | ||||
| 50 | Sean Rawlings | OL | ||||
| 34 | Dare Odeyingbo | DL | ||||
| 44 | Nehemiah Mitchell | DL | ||||
| 69 | Adam Butler | DL | ||||
| 74 | Jay Woods | DL | ||||
| 94 | Torey Agee | DL | ||||
| 49 | Jonathan Wynn | DE | ||||
| 77 | Nifae Lealao | DT | ||||
| 4 | Emmanuel Smith | LB | ||||
| 9 | Caleb Peart | LB | ||||
| 11 | Charles Wright | LB | ||||
| 20 | Oren Burks | LB | ||||
| 25 | Josh Smith | LB | ||||
| 40 | Jordan Griffin | LB | ||||
| 40 | Ja'karri Thomas | LB | ||||
| 41 | Zach Cunningham | LB | ||||
| 52 | Nigel Bowden | LB | ||||
| 99 | Landon Stokes | LB | ||||
| 26 | Tyrique McGhee | DB | ||||
| 3 | Taurean Ferguson | CB | ||||
| 5 | Torren McGaster | CB | ||||
| 8 | Joejuan Williams | CB | ||||
| 21 | Donovan Sheffield | CB | ||||
| 30 | Bryce Lewis | CB | ||||
| 31 | Tre Herndon | CB | ||||
| 2 | Tre Tarpley III | S | ||||
| 13 | LaDarius Wiley | S | ||||
| 14 | Ryan White | S | ||||
| 17 | Tommy Openshaw | PK | ||||
| 19 | Sam Loy | P | ||||
| 97 | Reid Nelson | P | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2016, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2016 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2016 power rankings →