
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 23 | vs 35Iowa StateCONFNEUTRAL | L 21–24 | +2.6 | — | ESPN |
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs North Dakota FCS | W 38–35 | -21.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 69Army | L 21–24 | -5.9 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 12 | @ 29Arizona | L 17–23 | +4.0 | — | FOX |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 27 | vs 76UCFCONF | W 34–20 | +9.8 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 70BaylorCONF | L 34–35 | +1.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 34TCUCONF | W 41–28 | +16.0 | — | FOX |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 25 | @ 60KansasCONF | W 42–17 | +28.7 | — | TNT |
| 10 | Nov 1 | vs 4Texas TechCONF | L 20–43 | -7.9 | — | FOX |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 15 | @ 124Oklahoma StateCONF | W 14–6 | -0.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 22 | @ 7UtahCONF | L 47–51 | +13.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 86ColoradoCONF | W 24–14 | +4.0 | — | FS1 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.5% | 97th | 40.6% | 50th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.4% | 105th | 42.9% | 66th |
| Passing success rate | 40.7% | 71st | 38.2% | 35th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.4% | 28th | 14.6% | 86th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.4% | 86th | 10.6% | 88th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.79 | 121st | 2.92 | 41st |
| Opportunity rate | 36.1% | 102nd | 37.4% | 56th |
| Stuff rate | 22.2% | 130th | 18.3% | 51st |
| Sack rate | 3.4% | 16th | 5.8% | 60th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.9% | 98th | 40.2% | 62nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.8% | 53rd | 58.5% | 81st |
| Havoc rate | 12.6% | 99th | 11.9% | 66th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.4 | 62nd | 26.5 | 66th |
| Yards / game | 370.1 | 83rd | 386.2 | 83rd |
| Yards / play | 5.84 | 40th | 5.13 | 48th |
| Pass yards / game | 198.8 | 97th | 204.8 | 61st |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.95 | 81st | 6.83 | 53rd |
| Completion % | 59.5% | 92nd | 56.8% | 21st |
| Rush yards / game | 171.3 | 52nd | 163.8 | 89th |
| Yards / carry | 5.09 | 23rd | 4.06 | 59th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.2% | 94th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.25 | 69th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.08 | 10th | 2.33 | 44th |
| Penalty yards / game | 38.3 | 12th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2025 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2025, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2025 power rankings →